Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries and command woes continued to hold Cabrera back in 2023. He missed over a month with a right shoulder impingement and was optioned shortly after his return from the injured list to work on better commanding his pitches. Cabrera returned from the minors to go 2-1 with a 2.38 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 25:14 K:BB in his final five appearances, with only one home run allowed in 22.2 innings. When he's on, Cabrera can flash brilliance with his three primary pitches -- changeup, four-seamer, curveball. He has a career walk rate of 14 percent but also a career 26.2 percent strikeout rate. His surge at the end of the season may reignite interest among drafters, but Cabrera remains a health and performance risk. As he approaches his 26th birthday in April, the right-hander has only twice exceeded 100 innings in seven professional seasons. He projects to be in the Marlins' rotation, but another injury or prolonged fit of wildness could force a move to the bullpen full time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#306
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Marlins in March of 2024.
Notches no-decision Wednesday
PMiami Marlins
September 25, 2024
Cabrera allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits and one walk while striking out five batters over five innings in a no-decision against Minnesota on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Cabrera's own error led to two unearned runs in the third inning, and he served up a solo shot to Byron Buxton in the fourth. The most impressive part of the right-hander's outing was his 16 swinging strikes, though they led to a modest five punchouts. Cabrera didn't get the win, but this was a vast improvement over his previous start, when he gave up seven runs over 2.1 frames against the Dodgers.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Edward Cabrera generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Edward Cabrera generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .196 577 141 72 98 14 1 17
Since 2022vs Right .225 566 159 77 106 23 0 19
2024vs Left .239 212 45 31 43 7 1 8
2024vs Right .215 206 62 19 39 5 0 7
2023vs Left .173 228 64 31 34 4 0 7
2023vs Right .263 206 54 35 44 14 0 4
2022vs Left .168 137 32 10 21 3 0 2
2022vs Right .185 154 43 23 23 4 0 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.83 1.28 134.0 11 6 0 9.6 4.8 1.1
Since 2022Away 4.51 1.36 133.2 6 13 0 10.6 5.3 1.3
2024Home 4.65 1.35 50.1 1 3 0 8.9 5.2 1.1
2024Away 5.28 1.39 46.0 3 5 0 11.2 4.1 1.8
2023Home 2.42 1.26 48.1 7 0 0 11.5 5.0 0.6
2023Away 5.96 1.62 51.1 0 7 0 9.8 6.8 1.4
2022Home 4.58 1.19 35.1 3 3 0 7.9 3.8 2.0
2022Away 1.49 0.96 36.1 3 1 0 10.9 4.5 0.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Edward Cabrera compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.14
 
K/9
10.0
 
BB/9
4.7
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
96.3 mph
 
ERA
4.95
 
WHIP
1.37
 
BABIP
.289
 
GB/FB
1.74
 
Left On Base
64.9%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.6%
 
Spin Rate
2076 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.3%
 
Swinging Strike
12.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
If you are comfortable chasing upside be damned the risks, Cabrera should be a primary target for you this draft season. We're talking about a righty with above average velocity, a very unique changeup, and three pitches with greater than 30% whiff rates and his four primary offerings holding opposing hitters to a batting average of .182 or less. He made 14 starts for the Marlins, winning six of them around 10 homers and 33 walks in just 71.2 innings of work. That unique changeup is such because it is his primary pitch and he throws it in the low 90's. While it offers little velo separation from his fastball, it is tough to argue with the results of the pitch in 2022. The changeup heavy approach makes him deadly against lefties (.168/.241/.240) but righties were able to get on base due to the walks and take advantage of mistakes (.185/.344/.411.) Cabrera throws the changeup equally to righties and lefties, but gets into trouble with righties when he falls behind and attepts to climb back ahead with his fastball. The pieces are there for a successful 2023 campaign, but some assembly is still required.
Cabrera was able to throw 87.2 innings primarily across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors last season despite a biceps injury limiting him early and toe and finger injuries limiting him late. Back and arm injuries have limited Cabrera in past seasons as well, and given that he averages 97 mph on his fastball, he should still be seen as a significant injury risk until further notice. The slender 6-foot-5 righty also throws a 92-mph changeup, 88-mph slider and 83-mph curveball, all of which are thrown significantly harder than league average. His breaking balls are very effective, with his slider generating a 39.6 Whiff% in the majors and his curveball generating a 42.0 Whiff% in the minors. However his fourseam fastball doesn't play as well as its velocity would indicate, and his changeup was more like a batting practice fastball, with big leaguers teeing off to the tune of a .455 batting average and 1.091 slugging percentage (.511 xwOBA). Given the quality of his breaking balls, Cabrera needs to keep his changeup below hitters' knees if he is going to keep throwing it. The Marlins have some of the best starting pitching depth in the league, so while Cabrera will likely spend most of spring training in big-league camp, he will probably open the year in the rotation at Triple-A.
Cabrera dealt with right shoulder discomfort and a back issue at the alternate site in late July and didn't resume mound work until September. He likely would have made his MLB debut last summer if he'd been perfectly healthy. As with any young hurler who can touch triple digits, Cabrera has always been a high-risk prospect from a health standpoint. Add in the fact that he recently dealt with an arm/shoulder issue, and the risk of him missing significant time in the near future is up there with any top-100 pitching prospect. When fully healthy, Cabrera can match the high ceilings of the rest of Miami's young high-voltage starters. He pairs a plus breaking ball with his plus-plus fastball, while his third-pitch changeup is still a bit of a work in progress. If he develops average command, Cabrera could be a No. 2 starter. He will likely head to Triple-A and could debut in the first half if he stays healthy.
A projectable 6-foot-4, 175-pound righty, Cabrera had a breakout year across stops at High-A and Double-A, and now projects as at least a mid-rotation starter. He was unsurprisingly dominant (24.2 K-BB%) in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, then kept rolling (19.2 K-BB%) in eight starts in the Southern League. His sinking mid-90s fastball can touch triple digits and projects as a 70-grade pitch. The big development last year was that his slider and changeup now project as plus offerings, giving him the arsenal of a No. 2 starter. He has kept his walk rate under 10% at each stop in full-season ball, and should continue to improve as a strike thrower in his age-22 season. He missed a couple weeks with a back injury and almost a month with an infection. Building up to 120-plus innings will be a big goal for 2020. Nonetheless, he is on a clear starter's track, and should be a rotation fixture in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Blasted in loss
PMiami Marlins
September 19, 2024
Cabrera (4-8) took the loss Thursday, allowing seven runs on four hits and five walks over 2.1 innings against the Dodgers. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in loss
PMiami Marlins
September 13, 2024
Cabrera (4-7) allowed two unearned runs on one hit and one walk over six innings Friday, striking out nine and taking a loss against Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Earns win with seven strong innings
PMiami Marlins
September 8, 2024
Cabrera (4-6) earned the win Sunday, allowing three hits and one walk over seven scoreless innings against the Phillies. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to start Sunday
PMiami Marlins
September 8, 2024
Cabrera (head) is slated to start Sunday's game against the Phillies in Miami.
ANALYSIS
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Could be available Sunday
PMiami Marlins
Head
September 6, 2024
Cabrera (migraine) could be available to start Sunday against the Phillies, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Drawing trade interest
PMiami Marlins
November 30, 2023
Cabrera is drawing trade interest, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Marlins' rotation depth for 2024 isn't as stout as it has been with Sandy Alcantara out for the season following Tommy John surgery. However, they could still deal an arm like Cabrera or Trevor Rogers in an effort to shore up their offense. Cabrera is undoubtedly talented but also can be maddening. He fanned 118 batters in 99.2 innings in 2023 but also walked 66 while posting a pedestrian 4.24 ERA. The 25-year-old is under team control through 2028.
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