2025 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
5.19
WHIP
1.85
K
10
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinski began the 2024 season on the injured list with an elbow injury, but he emerged as one of Pittsburgh's most reliable relievers by season's end. Across his final 35 appearances, he surrendered zero earned runs 27 times and maintained a 2.30 ERA in that span. While it took some time, the Pirates did take note of Mlodzinski's success and pushed him into a high-leverage role in the final two weeks the season, and he delivered two wins and a hold while working exclusively in the seventh and eighth innings. It's dangerous to draw conclusions from such a short sample, but the back end of Pittsburgh's bullpen is uncertain after David Bednar's struggles in 2024, with Mlodzinski a potential option for saves if Bednar's downturn carries over into 2025. The primary problem with considering Mlodzinski as a potential source of saves is that he has a relatively modest strikeout rate (22.2 percent in 86.2 career innings) and is instead reliant on keeping batted balls on the ground to get outs (career 46.7 percent groundball rate). Overall, Mlodzinski is more likely to be relevant in leagues that reward holds, but he's a name to keep on the radar as a potential source of saves. Read Past Outlooks
Fans six in win
Mlodzinski (1-1) allowed a run on five hits and two walks over five innings Monday, striking out six and earning a win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Mlodzinski worked four shutout frames before the Cardinals put a run on the board in the fifth inning. It was a much more effective outing after he coughed up four runs in 3.2 frames during his season debut against the Rays. Still, Mlodzinski needed 92 pitches (54 strikes) to get through five innings. He'll carry a 5.19 ERA into his next matchup, which is lined up to be in Cincinnati this weekend.
Mlodzinski worked four shutout frames before the Cardinals put a run on the board in the fifth inning. It was a much more effective outing after he coughed up four runs in 3.2 frames during his season debut against the Rays. Still, Mlodzinski needed 92 pitches (54 strikes) to get through five innings. He'll carry a 5.19 ERA into his next matchup, which is lined up to be in Cincinnati this weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
77
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
77
How many pitches does Carmen Mlodzinski generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Carmen Mlodzinski generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-52%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .242 | 39 | 16 | 38 | 2 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .221 | 51 | 25 | 43 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .444 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .211 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .217 | 18 | 7 | 18 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .228 | 28 | 12 | 23 | 2 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .214 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 1 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .213 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 2 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-39%
ERA at Home
2025
-82%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 2.35 | 1.24 | 46.0 | 7.8 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.83 | 1.32 | 49.1 | 9.1 | 4.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5.0 | 10.8 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2025Away | 9.82 | 2.45 | 3.2 | 9.8 | 4.9 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.38 | 1.29 | 24.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.38 | 1.09 | 26.2 | 8.8 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Home | 1.06 | 1.12 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.32 | 1.42 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 5.2 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Carmen Mlodzinski compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.50K/9
10.4BB/9
4.2HR/9
0.0Fastball
95.8 mphERA
5.19WHIP
1.85BABIP
.454GB/FB
2.60Left On Base
68.8%Exit Velocity
82.2 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2346 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.5%Swinging Strike
7.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinksi was a competitive balance pick for the Bucs in the 2020 draft, after he saw his draft stock spike due to his performance in the Cape Cod League. Unfortunately, he's found it difficult to stay on the mound, as he struggled to rack up innings both while at South Carolina and in his first season in the pros. That changed in 2022, as he threw 105.1 innings with Double-A Altoona while serving as a starter. He likely has the stuff to stick in that role thanks to a solid, albeit not standout, fastball-changeup-slider mix to turn to. His control doesn't grade out well on most scouting scales around the industry, but Mlodzinski managed a passable 9.4 and 8.7 BB% in his two seasons as a pro. Given the lack of impact arms at the big-league level under team control in Pittsburgh, Mlodzinski will likely get the chance to prove he can be a big-league starter and that journey will almost certainly begin with Triple-A Indianapolis in 2023. If he can stay healthy and show some improved control, he could rise quickly within the Pirates' system.
More Fantasy News
Runs into trouble in fourth inning
Mlodzinski (0-1) took the loss after giving up three runs on seven hits and two walks in 3.2 innings Monday against the Rays. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Opening season as fifth starter
Pirates manager Derek Shelton said Monday that Mlodzinski will begin the season as the team's fifth starter, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ramps up to three innings
Mlodzinski allowed one earned run on two hits and two walks while striking out three across three innings in a Grapefruit League game March 15 against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Working toward starting role
Mlodzinski said Saturday that he is building volume this spring to become a starter, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Will open Tuesday
Mlodzinski will serve as the Pirates' opening pitcher for Tuesday's game against the Marlins, Andrew Destin of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Higher-leverage role in 2025?
According to John Perrotto of Pittsburgh Baseball Now, Mlodzinski could step into a high-leverage role in 2025.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has spent most of the past two seasons in the big leagues and has a 2.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 80:37 K:BB over 86.2 frames in his first 86 appearances. David Bednar pitched his way out of the closer role in 2024, and Aroldis Chapman is headed for free agency, which leaves Pittsburgh with some question marks for the ninth inning heading into the offseason. Even if Mlodzinski doesn't end up in the mix for saves, he should see more high-leverage chances in 2025.
The right-hander has spent most of the past two seasons in the big leagues and has a 2.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 80:37 K:BB over 86.2 frames in his first 86 appearances. David Bednar pitched his way out of the closer role in 2024, and Aroldis Chapman is headed for free agency, which leaves Pittsburgh with some question marks for the ninth inning heading into the offseason. Even if Mlodzinski doesn't end up in the mix for saves, he should see more high-leverage chances in 2025.