2026 Stats
W-L
5-6
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.23
K
83
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elder made just 10 big-league starts in 2024 due to a bloated 6.52 ERA, and he wasn't much better over 28 starts last season with a 5.30 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 131:51 K:BB across 156.1 innings. However, the right-hander did close the campaign on a high note with a 2.82 ERA in his last seven outings. A 4.67 xERA and 4.54 FIP indicate he may have deserved some better results, but there's still a lot to be desired with a career 18.9 percent strikeout rate. Elder excels at keeping the ball on the ground but has also struggled with the long ball, as evidenced by a 1.4 HR/9 the past two seasons. He could be a bounce-back candidate in 2026 based on the strong finish, but Elder isn't guaranteed to receive significant run in Atlanta's rotation and has poor strikeout potential, limiting any upside. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2026.
Next start getting skipped
Atlanta will skip Elder's turn in the rotation this week, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Elder had been lined up to make his next start Friday against the Mets, but Atlanta will give him extra time to rest after he displayed diminished velocity during his last outing Saturday. Grant Holmes will now take the mound to begin Friday's contest. Meanwhile, Elder's next start is likely to come next week in Pittsburgh.
Elder had been lined up to make his next start Friday against the Mets, but Atlanta will give him extra time to rest after he displayed diminished velocity during his last outing Saturday. Grant Holmes will now take the mound to begin Friday's contest. Meanwhile, Elder's next start is likely to come next week in Pittsburgh.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-31%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .243 | 139 | 66 | 156 | 22 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .297 | 121 | 32 | 166 | 22 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .206 | 53 | 23 | 49 | 7 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .300 | 30 | 7 | 42 | 5 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .239 | 67 | 32 | 71 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .301 | 64 | 19 | 96 | 14 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .336 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .283 | 27 | 6 | 28 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-18%
ERA on Road
2026
-35%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 5.53 | 1.55 | 162.2 | 7.1 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.56 | 1.18 | 142.0 | 8.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2026Home | 3.34 | 1.18 | 62.0 | 6.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2026Away | 5.15 | 1.31 | 36.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 6.55 | 1.71 | 77.0 | 7.0 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.08 | 1.08 | 79.1 | 8.1 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 7.99 | 1.99 | 23.2 | 9.1 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 5.19 | 1.31 | 26.0 | 7.6 | 2.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.77K/9
7.6BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.1Fastball
91.9 mphERA
4.01WHIP
1.23BABIP
.288GB/FB
1.29Left On Base
70.1%Exit Velocity
83.9 mphBarrels/BBE
3.7%Spin Rate
2171 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.6%Swinging Strike
9.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
Elder reeked of pitchability in 2023 as he came out of nowhere to provide Atlanta with some much-needed innings and out-pitched his stuff. In 2024, he simply reeked. Elder is normally a high ground-ball rate pitcher, but he left too many balls up, and the league hit eight homers off him in 49.2 innings of work, which pushed his ERA up and pushed him up the road on I-85 to Gwinnett to work most of the season. Elder pitched better in Triple-A but will be coming to camp competing with multiple names who have better stuff. Since Elder's fastball is a poor pitch by both velocity and stuff measures, his success is wholly contingent upon his ability to keep the ball on the ground and to stay out of fastball counts. He showed that is possible in 2023 when he was at his best, but 2024 also reminded us how fine a line pitchers of this build must walk. NL Only leaguers should keep an eye on Elder for the depth purposes and spot starts, but not fill out a rotation with him as he is unlikely to work a big load this season with Atlanta.
More Fantasy News
Could get extra rest before ASB
Elder's velocity was down about one mph on all his pitches in his most recent start, and Atlanta is likely to look for opportunities to give him extra rest, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Tagged for five runs in loss
Elder (5-6) allowed five runs on five hits and a walk while striking out four over four innings to take the loss Saturday versus the Giants.
Analysis
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Hit hard in loss
Elder (5-5) took the loss Sunday against the Brewers, allowing eight runs on 12 hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out six.
Analysis
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Falls to the Mets
Elder (5-4) took the loss Sunday against the Mets, allowing six runs on 10 hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Logs another quality start
Elder did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Pirates, allowing two runs on two hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to earn rotation role
Elder is likely to earn a spot in Atlanta's rotation in the early stages of the 2026 season, according to Mark Bowman of MLB.com.
Analysis
Elder and Joey Wentz are reportedly competing for the fifth starter role, but there's a scenario in which both players open the season in the rotation. With Atlanta playing 13 straight games to open the campaign, the team could opt to open the 2026 season with a six-man rotation, allowing both Elder and Wentz to be starters in the early stages of the schedule. Elder made 28 starts for Atlanta in the 2025 regular season and delivered a 5.30 ERA.
Elder and Joey Wentz are reportedly competing for the fifth starter role, but there's a scenario in which both players open the season in the rotation. With Atlanta playing 13 straight games to open the campaign, the team could opt to open the 2026 season with a six-man rotation, allowing both Elder and Wentz to be starters in the early stages of the schedule. Elder made 28 starts for Atlanta in the 2025 regular season and delivered a 5.30 ERA.