Blake Snell

33-Year-Old PitcherSP

Los Angeles Dodgers

Out

Injury Shoulder

Est. Return 3/26/2026

2025 Stats

W-L

5-4

ERA

2.35

WHIP

1.26

2026 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2026 Fantasy Outlook

"If you can't beat them, join them." That's exactly what Snell did last winter when he signed a five-year, $182 million contract with the Dodgers, the team that bested Snell's Rays in the 2020 World Series. A bout of shoulder inflammation put Snell on the injured list two starts into the 2025 season, costing him four months. The left-hander returned to go 4-4 with a 2.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 68:18 K:BB over 52.1 innings spanning nine starts down the stretch of the regular season before adding three wins with a 3.18 ERA and 41 more strikeouts over 34 postseason innings. His fastball was more hittable last season, though he only gave up three total homers in his 61.1 regular-season innings. A two-time Cy Young winner, Snell has often missed time due to injury throughout his career, twice reaching 30 starts. More of the same should be expected in 2026 -- both the missed time and the high-level performance when available. A third Cy Young is not out of the question but should be considered unlikely given his injury history and with the Dodgers always prioritizing the ultimate goal of winning a championship. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

#95

ADP

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 225

DOB 12/4/1992

Born Seattle, WA

College None

Drafted 2011 TB

Status for Opening Day uncertain

PLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

February 23, 2026

Manager Dave Roberts acknowledged Monday that Snell (shoulder) is uncertain to be part of the Dodgers' Opening Day rotation while the left-hander remains limited to throwing off flat ground, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports. "Time's ticking, but like I told him the other day, Opening Day is not necessarily a hard and fast target for us," Roberts said of Snell.

Analysis
Snell hasn't experienced any reported setbacks on the health front since the start of spring training, but the Dodgers are taking a deliberate approach with him during camp after he missed extensive time last season due to shoulder problems. He would still appear to be at least a couple weeks away from making his Cactus League debut, given that he'll need to throw multiple bullpen sessions and face hitters in live batting practice before being cleared to pitch in a game setting. So long as Snell is able to reach those checkpoints by around early-to-mid-March, any potential stint on the IL to begin the season would likely be abbreviated.

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Pitching Stats

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2025 MLB Game Log

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Blake Snell generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Blake Snell generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-4%

BAA vs LHP

2025

-3%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-44%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-14%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2023vs Left	.182	248	83	36	38	9	0	4
Since 2023vs Right	.189	1166	368	133	193	36	1	20
2025vs Left	.224	56	18	5	11	3	0	0
2025vs Right	.231	198	54	21	40	7	0	3
2024vs Left	.105	67	27	10	6	1	0	2
2024vs Right	.187	351	118	34	59	12	1	4
2023vs Left	.204	125	38	21	21	5	0	2
2023vs Right	.176	617	196	78	94	17	0	13
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-15%

ERA at Home

2025

-73%

ERA at Home

2024

-16%

ERA at Home

2023

-21%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2023Home	2.33	1.15	181.1	15	8	0	12.3	4.4	0.5
Since 2023Away	2.74	1.16	164.0	9	8	0	11.2	4.4	0.7
2025Home	1.17	1.20	38.1	5	1	0	11.3	4.7	0.2
2025Away	4.30	1.35	23.0	0	3	0	9.4	2.3	0.8
2024Home	2.85	1.10	53.2	1	2	0	12.9	3.5	0.3
2024Away	3.40	0.99	50.1	4	1	0	12.2	4.1	0.7
2023Home	2.52	1.16	89.1	9	5	0	12.3	4.7	0.8
2023Away	1.99	1.21	90.2	5	4	0	11.1	5.2	0.7
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Stat Review

How does Blake Snell compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.77

K/9

10.6

BB/9

3.8

HR/9

0.4

Fastball

96.2 mph

ERA

2.35

WHIP

1.26

BABIP

.322

GB/FB

1.92

Left On Base

76.9%

Exit Velocity

79.9 mph

Barrels/BBE

3.6%

Spin Rate

2307 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

22.9%

Swinging Strike

15.5%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Dodgers Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2025

2024

2023

2022

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2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

Snell didn't secure a contract for 2024 until signing with the Giants in mid-March, and the turbulent offseason carried over into the regular season. He joined San Francisco's rotation in early April but made just six starts and had a 9.51 ERA during the first three months of the campaign as he missed time due to groin and hamstring injuries. The left-hander was dominant once he returned from the injured list in July and closed the season with just 11 earned runs allowed in his final 14 starts, and he had a 114:30 K:BB over 80.1 innings during that stretch. Snell cashed in with a long-term deal with the Dodgers, so he is well positioned to log double-digit wins for the third time in his career. He's topped 130 frames in a season just twice in his eight full MLB campaigns, so fantasy managers shouldn't be counting on more than 20-to-25 starts. However, Snell won the Cy Young Award in those other two seasons, so he could be a league-winning pitcher if he's able to stay healthy.

Snell walked an incredible tightrope during a contract year in 2023, as he posted an MLB-best 2.25 ERA despite a league-worst 13.3 percent walk rate, securing the second Cy Young Award of his career. He excelled in spite of the free passes thanks to a 0.75 HR/9, 5.8 H/9 and 84.9 percent strand rate, which was also aided by the Padres' strong defense (42 DRS). Given all the free baserunners, it's not exactly a surprise his 3.77 xERA and 3.62 xFIP don't mesh with the actual results. The 31-year-old finished with 180 innings, falling one frame short of setting a career high and marking just the second time in his eight MLB seasons that he's topped 130 innings. Snell was a boon for fantasy managers in 2023 with his run prevention and punchout numbers (31.5 percent strikeout rate), but regression almost seems guaranteed between his durability and walk concerns. Even so, the left-hander's 3.56 ERA in 51 starts during the 2021-22 seasons presents a strong floor.

A groin injury cost Snell the first quarter of the season, but when he was able to take the hill, Snell picked up where he left off in 2021, throwing fewer changeups while relying more on his four-seam fastball and curveball. Snell made 24 starts, registering the second highest strikeout rate and K-BB% of his career. Snell's 8.4% HR/FB mark was a bit lucky and needed since he yielded a career-high 43% fly balls. However, a .307 BABIP was high, especially considering so many fly balls staying in the yard. Durability and control remain issues as Snell has only eclipsed 180 inning once in his career. He's ticketed for a spot in the middle of the Padres rotation. When healthy, Snell piles up punch outs while providing a solid ERA. Walks buoy a high WHIP, so plan accordingly.

Snell went into the break with a 4.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Coming out of the break, he all but bagged his changeup for more four-seam fastballs. He continued to struggle but then went on a tear, finishing the season with a 1.83 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last eight starts, fanning 65 over his final 44.1 innings. Snell's control and home run prevention also markedly improved over the second half. It took a groin injury in a September 12 start against the Dodgers to thwart Snell's second half surge. The two outs he collected in that game were the final pair of his season, though he could have come back had the Padres made the playoffs. While altering his pitch mix is a tangible cause for Snell's strong stretch run, he has a history of spotty control and it's a risk to expect he maintains a lower walk rate. That said, he checks enough other boxes (strikeouts, favorable home park, good run support) to find out.

Snell's 2020 will always be remembered for how it ended. He was quite good during his time on the mound, posting a 3.16 ERA and 100:32 K:BB over 79.2 innings (postseason included). The long ball was a problem; Snell served up 15 HR in total. His HR/FB during the regular season was all the way up at 29.4% after he was consistently in the 10-15% range the three seasons prior. Eight of the 10 homers he allowed during the regular season were against the fastball, leading to an ugly .326 BA and .663 SLG against the pitch, but we're talking about a sample of 50 innings with those stats. Snell's curveball remains a great put-away pitch and he's still just a few years removed from winning the Cy Young pitching in a brutal AL East. The trade from Tampa Bay to San Diego looks like a net positive as Snell will be pitching for another good team and may be allowed to go deeper into games, in theory padding wins and Ks.

Regression was expected for the 2018 AL Cy Young Award winner as Snell's 1.89 ERA was lower than his 3.16 xFIP and 3.30 SIERA. Sure enough, his 4.29 ERA last year was significantly higher than the 3.31 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA. In terms of skills, Snell was essentially the same pitcher he was the year he took home the hardware. Perhaps if Snell didn't miss about two months after surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow, his ERA would have corrected, but it didn't have the chance. The encouraging news is that when Snell returned in September, his velocity was just a tick below normal, so he should be 100% heading into 2020. The only blemish is a high walk rate, resulting in an elevated WHIP. However, a strikeout rate north of 30% helps mitigate the impact. Snell may fall a couple dozen innings short of the elite, but he's still a fantasy ace. Invest with confidence.

James Clear, in his book Atomic Habits, references The Plateau of Latent Potential. We expect all progress to be linear, and that it will come quickly. In reality, the results get delayed and we enter into the valley of disappointment. That aptly describes Snell from mid-2016 through the end of July 2017. For all the talent, the results were not there. Wise owners noticed changes Snell made over the final six weeks of the season and bought back in on Snell last season and were rewarded with a Cy Young-winning effort. Snell made outstanding gains across the board, both statistically and in his approach to the game, specifically his ability to command his pitches and throw non-fastballs for strikes early to force batters to chase pseudo-strikes later in the count. The ERA will regress, and the wins will come down, but Snell is now a staff ace.

Snell has mostly struggled so far at the highest level, failing to meet the hype as a former top prospect, but he made strides late in 2017 and may be on the verge of a breakout. The young left-hander shaved a full walk from his BB/9 from the previous season (to 4.1) and got sharper as the season wore on, posting a 2.9 BB/9 in the second half. Meanwhile, Snell added to his strikeout percentage in each of the season's final three months, finishing with a 26.5-percent mark in September, while also trimming his HR/9 from 1.21 to 0.93 from the first half to the second half. It's not uncommon for pitchers to struggle with fastball command like Snell did with the jump to the big leagues; Snell seems to have regained his trust in the pitch, but continuing to locate well will be critical to his success moving forward. With plenty of owners disappointed by his struggles last season, Snell's second-half improvement may not be baked into his price on draft day.

Snell's eagerly anticipated major league debut was by and large a successful one. The young southpaw posted five quality starts overall but was also lifted before the fourth inning on five occasions, a perfect example of the inconsistencies a rookie pitcher can often display, regardless of their talent level. The one major blemish that Snell carried over from the minors was an issue with control, as he posted a bloated 5.2 BB/9 and 1.62 WHIP at the big league level. He was as stingy as ever with the long ball, however, generating a minuscule 0.5 HR/9 that essentially mirrored or represented an improvement on his figure in that category at his various minor league stops. With a full offseason to prepare for the grind of a major league campaign, Snell could take a formidable leap forward in 2017 and has plenty of proven strikeout upside, having tallied a double-digit K/9 from High-A to Triple-A. Control will presumably still be an issue for the time being, but the talented southpaw still has plenty to offer in several other fantasy categories.

There aren’t enough superlatives to describe Snell’s 2015 season. Across three levels, the lefty went 15-4 with a 1.41 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and struck out 163 batters in 134 innings and seemed to look better with each level. At Triple-A Durham, he went 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and struck out 57 batter while allowing 29 hits in 44.1 innings of work. That type of resume would normally be a lock for a job in a rotation the next season, but he pitches for Tampa Bay. Like Hellickson and Price before him, he’ll return to Durham for (insert made up BS reason here) until arbitrary Super 2 date passes. The Rays have a set rotation of Archer, Smyly, Odorizzi, Moore, and Ramirez as the roster stands now even after dealing Karns, so they do at least have a legit reason to send him back to the minors. Unless there is a trade or an injury, don’t look for him sometime in June, at the earliest.

It is said that lefties take a bit longer to develop, especially with their command. That may be the case for Snell. He pitched at two levels last season and struck out 119 batters in 115.2 innings of work while permitting just 95 hits and two home runs. He also walked 56 batters, including 37 in just 75 innings of work in High-A ball. He throws in the low 90s and the team really likes his changeup, which is a required pitch to move up in the organization. He will likely report to Double-A Montgomery in 2015 and should be watched to see how his progression continues.

Snell put together a successful first year in full-season baseball with Low-A Bowling Green. In 23 starts, he went 4-9 with a 4.27 ERA and had 106 strikeouts in 99 innings. A tall left-hander, he features a big fastball that can hover in the mid-90s. A 2011 draft selection out of high school, the Rays have brought Snell along slowly to build up his innings and preserve his arm. He had a very high walk rate of 6.6 BB/9 in 2013, which can be expected of most young pitchers. He features an interesting set of pitches and is expected to develop those and continue to work as a starter. He will likely start 2014 with High-A Charlotte, as he makes a bid to surpass 100 innings for the first time in his professional career.

More Fantasy News

Yet to throw off mound

PLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

February 16, 2026

Manager Dave Roberts stated Monday that Snell has yet to take part in any mound work, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.

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Could begin season on injured list

PLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

February 4, 2026

Snell could begin the season on the injured list due to lingering shoulder issues, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.

Analysis
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Ramping up slowly

PLos Angeles Dodgers

January 29, 2026

Snell has ramped up slowly this winter in an effort to recover from his postseason workload, Jack Harris of the New York Post reports.

Analysis
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Takes second World Series loss

PLos Angeles Dodgers

October 29, 2025

Snell took the loss in Game 5 of the World Series against the Blue Jays on Wednesday, giving up five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out seven batters across 6.2 innings.

Analysis
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Struggles in Game 1 loss

PLos Angeles Dodgers

October 24, 2025

Snell took the loss in Game 1 of the World Series against Toronto on Friday after giving up five earned runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out four batters over five-plus innings.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Deal has conditional club option

PLos Angeles Dodgers

December 3, 2024

Snell's five-year, $182 million contract with the Dodgers features a $10 million club option for 2030 if he goes untraded and spends more than 90 consecutive days on the IL due to a specific injury, reports Jon Heyman of the New York Post.

Analysis
Half of the left-hander's $26 million salary is deferred each year, which reduces the present-day value of the deal to about $150.3 million. Snell was unable to secure a contract for 2024 until March when he signed with the Giants, but he's the first big name off the market this winter. The 31-year-old had a 3.12 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 145:44 K:BB over 104 innings with San Francisco last season, and he finished the campaign in dominant fashion with just 11 earned runs allowed in his final 14 starts.

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