Blake Snell

Blake Snell

33-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
15-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 5/14/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
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2026 Fantasy Outlook
"If you can't beat them, join them." That's exactly what Snell did last winter when he signed a five-year, $182 million contract with the Dodgers, the team that bested Snell's Rays in the 2020 World Series. A bout of shoulder inflammation put Snell on the injured list two starts into the 2025 season, costing him four months. The left-hander returned to go 4-4 with a 2.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 68:18 K:BB over 52.1 innings spanning nine starts down the stretch of the regular season before adding three wins with a 3.18 ERA and 41 more strikeouts over 34 postseason innings. His fastball was more hittable last season, though he only gave up three total homers in his 61.1 regular-season innings. A two-time Cy Young winner, Snell has often missed time due to injury throughout his career, twice reaching 30 starts. More of the same should be expected in 2026 -- both the missed time and the high-level performance when available. A third Cy Young is not out of the question but should be considered unlikely given his injury history and with the Dodgers always prioritizing the ultimate goal of winning a championship. The injury bug didn't waste any time in 2026 either, as Snell will have a delayed start to the campaign due to shoulder problems. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
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Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
#127
ADP
League Majors
Bats L
Throws L
40 Man Yes
Height 6'4"
Weight 180
DOB 12/4/1992
Drafted 2011
Signed a five-year, $182 million contract with the Dodgers in November of 2024. $10 million team option for 2030 triggered in 2025.
Throws 55 pitches in rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
May 3, 2026
Snell (shoulder) completed four innings in a rehab outing with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Sunday, allowing two earned runs on two hits and one walk while striking out four batters.
Analysis
Snell threw 55 pitches (37 strikes), and his fastball topped out at 97.4 miles per hour. He served up a two-run home run in the first inning but didn't give up any hits thereafter. Snell is through three rehab appearances spanning eight total innings, during which he has given up four runs (three earned) while posting a 10:2 K:BB. Per Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register, Snell is expected to make one more rehab start and will aim for five innings and 75 pitches in that outing.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-44%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .160 123 45 15 17 4 0 2
Since 2024vs Right .202 549 172 55 99 19 1 7
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .224 56 18 5 11 3 0 0
2025vs Right .231 198 54 21 40 7 0 3
2024vs Left .105 67 27 10 6 1 0 2
2024vs Right .187 351 118 34 59 12 1 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-73%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 2.15 1.14 92.0 6 3 0 12.2 4.0 0.3
Since 2024Away 3.68 1.10 73.1 4 4 0 11.3 3.6 0.7
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 1.17 1.20 38.1 5 1 0 11.3 4.7 0.2
2025Away 4.30 1.35 23.0 0 3 0 9.4 2.3 0.8
2024Home 2.85 1.10 53.2 1 2 0 12.9 3.5 0.3
2024Away 3.40 0.99 50.1 4 1 0 12.2 4.1 0.7
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Snell didn't secure a contract for 2024 until signing with the Giants in mid-March, and the turbulent offseason carried over into the regular season. He joined San Francisco's rotation in early April but made just six starts and had a 9.51 ERA during the first three months of the campaign as he missed time due to groin and hamstring injuries. The left-hander was dominant once he returned from the injured list in July and closed the season with just 11 earned runs allowed in his final 14 starts, and he had a 114:30 K:BB over 80.1 innings during that stretch. Snell cashed in with a long-term deal with the Dodgers, so he is well positioned to log double-digit wins for the third time in his career. He's topped 130 frames in a season just twice in his eight full MLB campaigns, so fantasy managers shouldn't be counting on more than 20-to-25 starts. However, Snell won the Cy Young Award in those other two seasons, so he could be a league-winning pitcher if he's able to stay healthy.
Snell walked an incredible tightrope during a contract year in 2023, as he posted an MLB-best 2.25 ERA despite a league-worst 13.3 percent walk rate, securing the second Cy Young Award of his career. He excelled in spite of the free passes thanks to a 0.75 HR/9, 5.8 H/9 and 84.9 percent strand rate, which was also aided by the Padres' strong defense (42 DRS). Given all the free baserunners, it's not exactly a surprise his 3.77 xERA and 3.62 xFIP don't mesh with the actual results. The 31-year-old finished with 180 innings, falling one frame short of setting a career high and marking just the second time in his eight MLB seasons that he's topped 130 innings. Snell was a boon for fantasy managers in 2023 with his run prevention and punchout numbers (31.5 percent strikeout rate), but regression almost seems guaranteed between his durability and walk concerns. Even so, the left-hander's 3.56 ERA in 51 starts during the 2021-22 seasons presents a strong floor.
A groin injury cost Snell the first quarter of the season, but when he was able to take the hill, Snell picked up where he left off in 2021, throwing fewer changeups while relying more on his four-seam fastball and curveball. Snell made 24 starts, registering the second highest strikeout rate and K-BB% of his career. Snell's 8.4% HR/FB mark was a bit lucky and needed since he yielded a career-high 43% fly balls. However, a .307 BABIP was high, especially considering so many fly balls staying in the yard. Durability and control remain issues as Snell has only eclipsed 180 inning once in his career. He's ticketed for a spot in the middle of the Padres rotation. When healthy, Snell piles up punch outs while providing a solid ERA. Walks buoy a high WHIP, so plan accordingly.
Snell went into the break with a 4.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Coming out of the break, he all but bagged his changeup for more four-seam fastballs. He continued to struggle but then went on a tear, finishing the season with a 1.83 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last eight starts, fanning 65 over his final 44.1 innings. Snell's control and home run prevention also markedly improved over the second half. It took a groin injury in a September 12 start against the Dodgers to thwart Snell's second half surge. The two outs he collected in that game were the final pair of his season, though he could have come back had the Padres made the playoffs. While altering his pitch mix is a tangible cause for Snell's strong stretch run, he has a history of spotty control and it's a risk to expect he maintains a lower walk rate. That said, he checks enough other boxes (strikeouts, favorable home park, good run support) to find out.
Snell's 2020 will always be remembered for how it ended. He was quite good during his time on the mound, posting a 3.16 ERA and 100:32 K:BB over 79.2 innings (postseason included). The long ball was a problem; Snell served up 15 HR in total. His HR/FB during the regular season was all the way up at 29.4% after he was consistently in the 10-15% range the three seasons prior. Eight of the 10 homers he allowed during the regular season were against the fastball, leading to an ugly .326 BA and .663 SLG against the pitch, but we're talking about a sample of 50 innings with those stats. Snell's curveball remains a great put-away pitch and he's still just a few years removed from winning the Cy Young pitching in a brutal AL East. The trade from Tampa Bay to San Diego looks like a net positive as Snell will be pitching for another good team and may be allowed to go deeper into games, in theory padding wins and Ks.
Regression was expected for the 2018 AL Cy Young Award winner as Snell's 1.89 ERA was lower than his 3.16 xFIP and 3.30 SIERA. Sure enough, his 4.29 ERA last year was significantly higher than the 3.31 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA. In terms of skills, Snell was essentially the same pitcher he was the year he took home the hardware. Perhaps if Snell didn't miss about two months after surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow, his ERA would have corrected, but it didn't have the chance. The encouraging news is that when Snell returned in September, his velocity was just a tick below normal, so he should be 100% heading into 2020. The only blemish is a high walk rate, resulting in an elevated WHIP. However, a strikeout rate north of 30% helps mitigate the impact. Snell may fall a couple dozen innings short of the elite, but he's still a fantasy ace. Invest with confidence.
James Clear, in his book Atomic Habits, references The Plateau of Latent Potential. We expect all progress to be linear, and that it will come quickly. In reality, the results get delayed and we enter into the valley of disappointment. That aptly describes Snell from mid-2016 through the end of July 2017. For all the talent, the results were not there. Wise owners noticed changes Snell made over the final six weeks of the season and bought back in on Snell last season and were rewarded with a Cy Young-winning effort. Snell made outstanding gains across the board, both statistically and in his approach to the game, specifically his ability to command his pitches and throw non-fastballs for strikes early to force batters to chase pseudo-strikes later in the count. The ERA will regress, and the wins will come down, but Snell is now a staff ace.
Snell has mostly struggled so far at the highest level, failing to meet the hype as a former top prospect, but he made strides late in 2017 and may be on the verge of a breakout. The young left-hander shaved a full walk from his BB/9 from the previous season (to 4.1) and got sharper as the season wore on, posting a 2.9 BB/9 in the second half. Meanwhile, Snell added to his strikeout percentage in each of the season's final three months, finishing with a 26.5-percent mark in September, while also trimming his HR/9 from 1.21 to 0.93 from the first half to the second half. It's not uncommon for pitchers to struggle with fastball command like Snell did with the jump to the big leagues; Snell seems to have regained his trust in the pitch, but continuing to locate well will be critical to his success moving forward. With plenty of owners disappointed by his struggles last season, Snell's second-half improvement may not be baked into his price on draft day.
Snell's eagerly anticipated major league debut was by and large a successful one. The young southpaw posted five quality starts overall but was also lifted before the fourth inning on five occasions, a perfect example of the inconsistencies a rookie pitcher can often display, regardless of their talent level. The one major blemish that Snell carried over from the minors was an issue with control, as he posted a bloated 5.2 BB/9 and 1.62 WHIP at the big league level. He was as stingy as ever with the long ball, however, generating a minuscule 0.5 HR/9 that essentially mirrored or represented an improvement on his figure in that category at his various minor league stops. With a full offseason to prepare for the grind of a major league campaign, Snell could take a formidable leap forward in 2017 and has plenty of proven strikeout upside, having tallied a double-digit K/9 from High-A to Triple-A. Control will presumably still be an issue for the time being, but the talented southpaw still has plenty to offer in several other fantasy categories.
There aren’t enough superlatives to describe Snell’s 2015 season. Across three levels, the lefty went 15-4 with a 1.41 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and struck out 163 batters in 134 innings and seemed to look better with each level. At Triple-A Durham, he went 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and struck out 57 batter while allowing 29 hits in 44.1 innings of work. That type of resume would normally be a lock for a job in a rotation the next season, but he pitches for Tampa Bay. Like Hellickson and Price before him, he’ll return to Durham for (insert made up BS reason here) until arbitrary Super 2 date passes. The Rays have a set rotation of Archer, Smyly, Odorizzi, Moore, and Ramirez as the roster stands now even after dealing Karns, so they do at least have a legit reason to send him back to the minors. Unless there is a trade or an injury, don’t look for him sometime in June, at the earliest.
It is said that lefties take a bit longer to develop, especially with their command. That may be the case for Snell. He pitched at two levels last season and struck out 119 batters in 115.2 innings of work while permitting just 95 hits and two home runs. He also walked 56 batters, including 37 in just 75 innings of work in High-A ball. He throws in the low 90s and the team really likes his changeup, which is a required pitch to move up in the organization. He will likely report to Double-A Montgomery in 2015 and should be watched to see how his progression continues.
Snell put together a successful first year in full-season baseball with Low-A Bowling Green. In 23 starts, he went 4-9 with a 4.27 ERA and had 106 strikeouts in 99 innings. A tall left-hander, he features a big fastball that can hover in the mid-90s. A 2011 draft selection out of high school, the Rays have brought Snell along slowly to build up his innings and preserve his arm. He had a very high walk rate of 6.6 BB/9 in 2013, which can be expected of most young pitchers. He features an interesting set of pitches and is expected to develop those and continue to work as a starter. He will likely start 2014 with High-A Charlotte, as he makes a bid to surpass 100 innings for the first time in his professional career.
More Fantasy News
Next rehab start set
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
April 26, 2026
Snell (shoulder) will draw another start with Single-A Ontario on Tuesday.
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Tosses 32 pitches in rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
April 23, 2026
Snell (shoulder) threw one-plus inning in a rehab outing with Single-A Ontario on Wednesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits and one walk. He didn't strike out any batters.
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Cleared for rehab assignment
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
April 21, 2026
Snell (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Ontario on Wednesday, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
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Live BP session Wednesday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
April 15, 2026
Snell (shoulder) tossed a live bullpen session Wednesday, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
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Tosses 15 pitches during live BP
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
April 11, 2026
Snell (shoulder) threw 15 pitches in a live bullpen session Saturday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could make season debut in April
PLos Angeles Dodgers
March 14, 2026
Snell could make his 2026 season debut in April as he continues to work his way back from shoulder issues, according to Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic.
Analysis
While manager Dave Roberts hasn't offered a specific timeline, all signs point to Snell making his season debut in the final days of April. He's had a delayed start to spring training after experiencing some shoulder soreness after the World Series run, and he recently tossed a 15-pitch bullpen session Thursday, which was his first mound work in the spring.
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