Last spring, not many had Gil on their list of top AL Rookie of the Year candidates, but he has some hardware to display on his mantle. His award-winning campaign was driven by a .070 ERA in May (3.01 xFIP). His ERA was 4.00 or higher in four of the six months, with three months of an xFIP over 4.35. His season-long 4.36 xFIP and 4.22 SIERA warn of a correction from a 3.50 actual mark. A low .237 BABIP and a high 78.8 percent left on base mark are candidates to regress. Gil can fend off regression by lowering a high 12.1 percent walk rate. His 26.8 percent strikeout rate was 14th highest among pitchers with at least 150 innings, but his K-BB% was just 39th. Pitchers usually improve control the second season removed from Tommy John surgery, so optimism is warranted, just remember he's also due a visit from the regression monster. Read Past Outlooks