Pavel Buchnevich

Pavel Buchnevich

29-Year-Old Left WingLW
St. Louis Blues
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After racking up 27 goals and 36 assists, including 18 power-play points, in 80 regular-season games last year, Buchnevich agreed to terms on a sizeable six-year, $48 million contract extension with St. Louis in July. It was the fourth straight year in which the winger was able to reach the 20-goal mark while also hitting 60 points for the third consecutive campaign. Looking ahead to 2024-25, Buchnevich is a near-lock for a first-line role, in addition to remaining with the top power-play unit. As such, fantasy managers should feel confident the Russian winger can continue to produce at a high level and put up similar numbers to his last two seasons. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a six-year, $48 million contract extension with the Blues in July of 2024.
Deposits empty-netter
LWSt. Louis Blues
November 3, 2024
Buchnevich scored an empty-net goal on two shots and added five PIM in Saturday's 4-2 win over the Maple Leafs.
ANALYSIS
Buchnevich took out some frustration on Pontus Holmberg following the Toronto forward's slash against Jake Neighbours in the third period. Buchnevich was released from the penalty box in time to score an empty-netter, ending a three-game dry spell on offense. The 29-year-old has four goals, three assists, 20 shots on net, eight hits, 10 blocked shots, seven PIM and a plus-3 rating over 12 contests this season. That's modest offense for a player that's topped the 60-point mark in three straight years, though he may be hampered by focusing on the increased defensive responsibilities that have come with his move to playing center full-time -- he's also a paltry 42-for-144 on faceoffs, a 29.2 percent win rate.
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2024–25 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    18:31
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    2:35
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    0:46
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2022–23
19:27
2:54
1:45
2023–24
19:49
3:09
1:42
2024–25
18:31
2:35
0:46
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2013
While he played in just 63 games in 2022-23, Buchnevich was still one of the Blues' best players with 26 goals and 41 assists. He's also racked up 40 power-play points across two years in St. Louis. The 28-year-old was tried as a center late in the season, but he should be on the wing regularly in 2023-24, allowing him to once again threaten for a 30-goal campaign if he can increase his shot volume to a rate well above two per game. A top-six role and plenty of power-play time makes Buchnevich a solid mid-round selection in fantasy this year, especially given that he's operated at over a point-per-game pace over the last three years cumulatively.
Plenty of the Blues' forwards took a significant step forward in 2021-22 in terms of production, Buchnevich chief among them. Acquired from the Rangers in the summer of 2021, Buchnevich posted 30 goals, 46 assists, 76 points, 199 shots on goal, 19 power-play points, and a plus-29 rating in his first year with St. Louis, all career-best marks. Buchnevich's greatest asset is his versatility. He can play on any line, in addition to helping with both the man advantage and on the penalty kill. Buchnevich doesn't have the same long-term ceiling as guys like Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas, but his floor is similar and that should pay dividends in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts this year.
After another productive year on Broadway, Buchnevich was traded to the Blues as the Rangers decided to put an emphasis on toughness. Despite not playing more than 74 games in any season, the Russian winger has logged over 40 points in three of the last four campaigns. He showed great chemistry with Mika Zibanejad in New York, so there's hope that Buchnevich will continue to play well on the wing of either Ryan O'Reilly or Brayden Schenn in St. Louis. The 26-year-old Buchnevich has yet to have a breakout season, but he's got 50-point potential with modest physicality and power-play production. That'll work as a mid-round option on the wings in fantasy, although he probably shouldn't be a No. 1 winger on virtual rosters.
We're still waiting for that big season from Buchnevich. He scored a career-high 46 points in 2019-20, a modest eight-point improvement from the prior campaign, though he also played four more games. A big winger with soft hands, Buchnevich has yet to find the offensive consistency to be a reliable top-six forward. The Rangers don't have a lot of depth, so Buchnevich's roster spot won't be in jeopardy in 2020-21, but they do have some very talented wingers in the pipeline that could jeopardize his ice time, especially on the power play. Without much upside on offense, Buchnevich should only be considered a modest fantasy asset worth drafting in the middle-to-late rounds this year.
Buchnevich took some time to adjust to new head coach David Quinn's system last season, occasionally serving as a healthy scratch in the early part of the campaign. Despite dressing for only 64 games, the Russian winger still scored a career-high 21 goals while finishing five points shy of the 43 he mustered in 2017-18. It feels like the 24-year-old Buchnevich hasn't quite managed to put it all together, and maybe he never will, but there's some untapped offensive potential here that could finally bubble up to the surface this season.
Despite being just a third-round selection in 2013, Buchnevich probably has the most untapped offensive potential on the Rangers. The 23-year-old Russian jumped from 20 points in 41 appearances as a rookie in 2016-17 to 43 points in 74 games last season, including 17 on the power play. He's expected to start the year on the top line and No. 1 power-play unit, so Buchnevich will be given every opportunity to continue his upward trajectory. If he capitalizes on those opportunities, Buchnevich should blow last season's 15:01 average ice time out of the water and could compete for the team lead in points.
Like a number of other Rangers, Buchnevich had a promising start to 2016-17 derailed by injury, as he dealt with persistent back issues for much of the season's first half and ended up playing in just 41 games, totaling eight goals and 12 assists. While that's not the most impressive rookie campaign, the Russian winger still made a mostly successful transition to the NHL and was sometimes entrusted with top-six minutes by coach Alain Vigneault. He'll have opportunities to grow his game and his responsibilities as a sophomore, as Buchnevich has at least a third-line slot locked up and should challenge Rick Nash for second-line minutes (or at least fill in whenever Nash misses time to injury). The Rangers' top prospect ahead of last season, Buchnevich is only 22 with plenty of quality hockey ahead of him, and he should be pretty cheaply available on draft day. Snag him late and reap the rewards.
The Rangers’ top prospect appears bound for the NHL this year after four seasons of pro hockey in Russia. Last year, he put up 37 points in 58 games split between Cherepovets Severstal and St. Petersburg SKA, finishing second in scoring on Cherepovets despite being traded 40 games into the season. That’s spectacular work for a 20-year-old in the KHL, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see Buchnevich fit in at the NHL level immediately. He may not start out with top-six minutes or pile up the goals early on in his career, but Buchnevich is a slick playmaker whom fantasy owners should be monitoring with interest in all formats.
The Rangers’ third-round pick in 2013, Buchnevich has been blossoming into a considerable offensive force in Russia. He finished third in goals and points for the KHL's Cherepovets Severstal, and he did it in a league that tends to favor veteran players. The 20-year-old fits the mold of what the Rangers have coveted in recent years -- he’s a speedy forward with good hands, but not a lot of size. Buchnevich is primarily a dynasty-league consideration, as he’s already indicated that he plans to spend the 2015-16 season in Russia. If he shows further development there, it could send him skyrocketing up the prospect lists.
Yet another score from the Rangers’ trio of third-round draft picks in 2013, Buchnevich seems to be coming along quite nicely. The 19-year-old forward registered 18 points in 40 games with the KHL’s Severstal Cherepovets last season, and will likely spend the 2014-15 campaign with the club again. While we don’t see him trekking across the Atlantic for official NHL games this season, he certainly impressed at July's prospect camp and is a talent for dynasty owners to consider nabbing now.
Originally projected as a first round pick, however, wide speculation that he has a tendency to get 'lazy' combined with fears of the "Russian Factor" allowed the Rangers' to take him with their third round pick (75th overall) in the 2013 NHL Entry Draft. After registering a combined 13 goals, 21 assists and 38 penalty minutes with the Russian U18 team and Almaz Cherepovets (MHL), Buchnevich collected a goal and an assist in 12 games with a much older squad, the Severstal Cherepovets of the KHL. Listed at 6'1, 161-pounds, the 18-year-old Buchnevich seemingly has a lot more room to grow physically. The speedy forward has what scouts call phenomenal offensive instincts and a fantastic shot, so he is a wait-and-see project for those in keeper leagues.
More Fantasy News
Gets points, struggles at dot
LWSt. Louis Blues
October 24, 2024
Buchnevich put up two assists Thursday in a 5-1 win over Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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In on all three goals in loss
LWSt. Louis Blues
October 11, 2024
Buchnevich scored twice on four shots, added an assist and went plus-2 in Friday's 4-3 loss to the Golden Knights.
ANALYSIS
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Lights lamp Thursday
LWSt. Louis Blues
October 10, 2024
Buchnevich scored a goal on two shots and went plus-2 in Thursday's 5-4 overtime win over the Sharks.
ANALYSIS
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Signs six-year extension
LWSt. Louis Blues
July 2, 2024
Buchnevich agreed to terms on a six-year, $48 million contract extension with St. Louis on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes slight step back in 2023-24
LWSt. Louis Blues
April 23, 2024
Buchnevich contributed 27 goals and 36 assists across 80 games during 2023-24.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Might get contract extension offer
LWSt. Louis Blues
April 18, 2024
The Blues plan to discuss a contract extension with Buchnevich over the summer, according to Lou Korac of NHL.com.
ANALYSIS
Buchnevich scored 27 markers and 63 points in 80 contests in 2023-24, making it the fourth straight campaign he reached the 20-goal milestone and the third consecutive season he's eclipsed 60 points. He's provided great value relative to his current four-year, $23.2 million contract, which runs through 2024-25. St. Louis will probably have to offer Buchnevich a meaningful raise in order to retain his services.
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