Aaron Rai

Aaron Rai

30-Year-Old Golfer
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2026 Fantasy Outlook
Rai not only picked up his first PGA Tour win during the 2024 season, but he ended that season in the top 30. That season was the end of a three-year run that saw improvement each season. His 2025 season saw some regression, but he closed it out with a win overseas at the Abu Dhabi Championship. It makes for a great set up in salary cap pools as Rai's number are well off of his 2024 numbers, but the level of play in total is similar, he just doesn't have to absorb the winnings from Abu Dhabi in his PGA total. Though his production on the PGA Tour fell off a little this past season, Rai seems like he's still ascending. That, combined with the discounted number from this past year make Rai a solid salary cap play for this season. Read Past Outlooks
Solid week at PGA National
March 1, 2026
Rai carded an even par 71 in the final round of the Cognizant Classic at PGA National to finish tied for 23rd.
ANALYSIS
When you think of Rai there is only one word that comes to mind, consistency. This week at PGA National, there weren't many other players more consistent in their scoring than Rai. He began his week with three straight sub-70 rounds with a 68-69-69. While Rai didn't score as well on Sunday than he did on the other three previous rounds, he still was steady and almost robotic off the tee and with his irons as he still hit 9 of 14 fairways and 13 of 18 greens in regulation. What doomed Rai on Sunday was his inability to make any putts, as he made only 55'8 feet of putts, ranking 55th among all players making the cut. Still on the week Rai ranked 11th in SG: Off the Tee, 33rd in SG: Approach, and 19th in SG: Around the Green, gaining more than one stroke on his fellow competitors.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
Rai had a career year in 2024 going 21-for-25 with six top-10s and 13 top-25s. He also collected his first career PGA Tour victory at the Wyndham Championship. It was part of a red hot stretch that included four top-seven finishes in five starts. Rai ranked sixth last season in SG: Total led by his terrific iron play. The Englishman was seventh in SG: Approach and ninth in GIR percentage. He also led the PGA Tour in driving accuracy. Given his ball-striking numbers, if Rai is able to have a good week on the greens he is going to find himself in the mix. It's probably unlikely he reaches his earnings total from 2024, but Rai's floor remains pretty respectable.
Rai is coming off a respectable second season on Tour in which he once again qualified for the playoffs. He primarily turned his attention to the DP World Tour this past fall, posting three top-10s across five events, most notably at T-2 result at the marquee BMW PGA Championship. The 28-year-old is an accurate driver and solid iron player (35th in strokes-gained approach) that is capable of having an even better third season if he can improve his putting. Rai's other downside is that he's not very long (151st in driving distance), but it wouldn't be a surprise to see him in contention often on shorter setups.
Rai captured his PGA Tour card through the Korn Ferry Tour finals in 2021 after playing overseas to start his career, and he responded with a solid rookie campaign in which he ranked 46th in strokes-gained tee-to-green. While he was overshadowed by a stellar rookie class, Rai is capable of having an improved sophomore season if he can improve his putting.
Although he'll be considered a rookie on the PGA Tour, Rai already owns two career wins on the European Tour since 2018. The 26-year-old Englishman also posted a top-20 result at the 2021 Open Championship in addition to respectable performances at the WGC-Workday Championship and the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. He earned his PGA Tour card via the Korn Ferry Tour Finals, highlighted by a T2 at the Albertsons Boise Open. On the Euro Tour in 2021, Rai ranks 26th or better in GIR percentage and driving accuracy.
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Rough final round at Riviera
February 23, 2026
Rai closed with a five-over 76 on Sunday at The Genesis Invitational to finish six-under and tied for 28th.
ANALYSIS
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Career-worst SG: Putting at Pebble
February 17, 2026
Rai closed with a two-under 70 on Sunday at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to finish one-over and tied for 73rd.
ANALYSIS
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Listed in Pebble Beach field
February 9, 2026
Rai (undisclosed) is listed in the field for this week's AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
ANALYSIS
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Withdraws from Farmers Insurance
Undisclosed
January 29, 2026
Rai has withdrawn from the Farmers Insurance Open, per the official PGA Tour Communications X account.
ANALYSIS
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Beats Fleetwood in playoff
November 10, 2025
Rai defeated Tommy Fleetwood on the first playoff hole to win the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship following his five-under 67 in the final round.
ANALYSIS
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