Super Bowl Odds: Current 2026 Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: Denver Broncos 49ers +1000 → +700 (14-3)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Baltimore Ravens +2200 → Eliminated (8-9)

Super Bowl Favorites – Wild Card Round

The Seattle Seahawks are currently own the best odds to win the Super Bowl, but it's a tight race up top. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-five teams as the Seahawks (+425), Rams (+475), Broncos (+700), Eagles (+950), and Bills (+1000). 

This is the most wide open the NFL has felt in quite some time. Mainstays like Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow are all on the outside looking in on the postseason. Josh Allen is essentially the last man standing, but his supporting cast may not be up to the task this year. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in the Wild Card Round. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into the Wild Card Round. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +700

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. And Bo Nix is finally making the second-year leap Broncos fans were hoping he would. Still, the Week 16 loss to Jacksonville was concerning; the defense has fallen off a bit lately, and the offense didn't look good down the stretch. But with that defense and home-field advantage, Denver is a very real threat to come out of the AFC. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is the recent defensive fall-off a blip on the radar or a sign of things to come?
• ❌ Inconsistent run game
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000

Recent history suggested Buffalo was about to go on a run. Since 2022, the Bills were 14-2 when playing a regular-season game in December and January. And one of those losses came while they were resting their starters in a meaningless game. They mostly held up their end of the bargain. Buffalo went 5-1 from Nov. 30 to the end of the season. Even so, their Week 16 win against the Browns wasn't exactly convincing. The Week 17 loss to Philly was even more worrying, and I'm not patting them on the back for blowing out the Jets in Week 18. 

This should be Josh Allen's year to win it all. Mahomes, Burrow, and Lamar all missed the playoffs. But Drake Maye's emergence as a force in the division couldn't have come at a worse time, and I'm not sure Allen has enough help this year. If he does do it, though, it could be one of the most Herculean playoff runs in NFL history. If anyone is capable, it's probably Josh Allen. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in an NFL Playoffs full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Receiving corps is one of the worst in the league
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail the season

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 

I think this team is probably still a year away. But the AFC is more wide open than ever. At the end of the day, they're 14-3, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is available at 10-to-1 odds this late into the season.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye 
• ✅ Stefon Diggs looks like a legit No. 1 when New England increases his snap count
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can they survive mounting injuries to the offensive and defensive lines?
• ❌ Outside of Diggs, the receiving corps doesn't scare anyone
• ❌ Young and inconsistent – probably a year away

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into the Wild Card Round. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +425 

I've thought the Seahawks have a legitimate shot to come out of the NFC for a while. The oddsmakers finally agree – Seattle has the best Super Bowl odds in the league. This is arguably the most complete team in football. Seattle has a Super Bowl-caliber roster, and Sam Darnold has (mostly) played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. 

The concern with Seattle is Darnold's tendency to make head-scratching mistakes under pressure. But I'm not sure he'll face an NFC opponent who can put him in those positions. He struggles in chaos, but most of the remaining NFC contenders have terrible pass-rushing units. The lone exceptions are the Eagles (who Seattle won't face until the NFC Championship Game), and the Rams (who Seattle won't face next round unless the Bears pull off an upset). Otherwise, I don't think the NFC defenses are capable of pressuring Darnold much. 

If he keeps himself in check, Seattle could very well be playing in February. With that defense, JSN, an emerging run game, and home-field advantage, the Seahawks will be a tough out. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Signs of life from the running game – Walker retaking the backfield from Charbonnet

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Will Bad Sam Darnold show up in the postseason?
• ❌ Someone needs to step up behind JSN – they need more from Shaheed
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line outside of Zabel

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +475

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This feels like the year they get it done. 

The oddsmakers seem to agree. LA owns the second-best Super Bowl odds. For my money, this is the most well-rounded team in football. They just don't have many weaknesses. Gun to my head, they're my Super Bowl pick. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can Emmanuel Forbes and Cobie Durant maintain this level of play?
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players – will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +950

With Jalen Carter finally back to full strength, Philly is a scary matchup in the playoffs. He made an impact right away, shutting Buffalo out for the first 55 minutes of their Week 17 matchup while dominating the fantastic Bills' OL. It's hard to get too excited about the offense, but with this much talent on defense, the offense shouldn't need to do much. And Jalen Hurts tends to play his best ball in big games. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent additions round out a dominant defense
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Looming return of Lane Johnson could give offense a much-needed boost 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Inconsistent play from the passing game
• ❌ Continued shaky play from CB2 

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

49ers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2800

Technically, I should be writing about the Bears or Packers here. They both have better Super Bowl odds than San Francisco. But they'll play each other in Round 1, and I don't think either team has a shot to win the next round. Instead, I'll touch on the 49ers. 

Brock Purdy looks all the way back from that turf toe injury. From Week 9-17, San Francisco averaged an absurd 34.25 PPG, which would've been the 10th-best mark in NFL history over the course of a full season. Unfortunately, they came crashing down to earth against Seattle, scoring just three points and losing out on a chance for the division title and No. 1 seed. 

As strong as this offense has been, the defense has been equally underwhelming. I'm not sure they have enough talent to match up against any competent offense. Luckily, they're not facing one this weekend. They'll take on the Eagles. And if the 49ers make it far enough, it's possible future Hall-of-Fame LB Fred Warner could get back on the field. 

SF has the fourth-worst odds of the 14 playoff teams, but they're a sneaky value at +2800. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offensive dominance of Kyle Shanahan CMC, Purdy, and Kittle
• ✅ Proven playoff pedigree
• ✅ Could Ricky Pearsall be an X-factor down the stretch? 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Mounting injuries have ravaged the defense
• ❌ Can the offensive line hold up & is Trent Williams healthy?
• ❌ Do they have enough juice at WR?

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Jaguars Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1400

Entering Week 16, it was easy to overlook the 10-4 Jaguars. While Trevor Lawrence was finally in the midst of a breakout during their five-game win streak, they hadn't really beaten any surefire contenders outside of the Chargers. But in Week 16, Jacksonville proved it's for real. They dominated the Broncos, who hadn't lost since Week 3, 34-20. The Jags might be the hottest team in football right now. They haven't lost since Nov. 9.

But their reward for a 13-4 season is a matchup with Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. Since his breakout campaign in 2020, Allen is 0-5 in the NFL Playoffs against Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow, and 7-0 against literally anyone else. 

Jacksonville matches up really well with Buffalo. The Jags are an elite run defense and an explosive offense, and that's the ideal formula to beat this Bills team. But unless you're Patrick Mahomes, beating Josh Allen in the Playoffs is easier said than done. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Trevor Lawrence finally delivering on his remarkable pre-draft pedigree 
• ✅ Scary skill-position group
• ✅ Dominant run defense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Beatable secondary
• ❌ Can the offensive line hold up against the elite pass-rushes?
• ❌ Brian Thomas Jr. needs to return to form to truly unlock the offense's ceiling

Texans Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1300

I wrote about Houston as my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse pick back in Week 12. Since then, they jumped from +5000 to +1300. They're too high to be considered a real dark horse anymore, but they still offer fantastic value. At 13-to-1 odds, Houston is a sneaky good bet. 

They should have no trouble beating Pittsburgh in the Wild Card Round. No one will want to face them in Round 2. Houston is 2-0 against the Bills and Chargers, 1-1 against Jacksonville, and 0-1 against Denver this season. But that Jacksonville loss came back in Week 3, and they're a much different team now. They were actually on track to beat Denver in Week 9 until C.J. Stroud got knocked out with a concussion. The only AFC team Houston hasn't faced is the Patriots, who have a shaky offensive line. That's a death sentence against Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. 

I love the +470 value at FanDuel Sportsbook for Houston to make the Super Bowl this year. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Scariest defense in football – no one has eclipsed 21 points since Week 10 (except the Colts in Week 18, when Houston had the backups in)
• ✅ C.J. Stroud finally looks like the player we saw in his rookie season (and won a playoff game in back-to-back years) 
• ✅ Nico Collins resurgence and breakouts from Woody Marks & Jayden Higgins

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is the offensive line ready for primetime? 
• ❌ Inconsistency from offense
• ❌ No clear-cut No. 2 option after Nico Collins

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Wild Card Round

Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into the Wild Card Round. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

Buffalo Bills: +1000  

The NFL is more open than it has been in years. The traditional AFC powerhouses like Mahomes, Lamar and Burrow all missed the playoffs. Sometimes this league is simple: bet on the best quarterback. For my money, that's still Josh Allen. 

This feels like the worst supporting cast he's had since his first breakout season. But that just sets Allen up for one of the most legendary postseason runs we've seen in a while. At 10-to-1 odds, I wouldn't rule it out. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Best Dark-Horse Super Bowl Bet: Wild Card Round

• ⭐️ Houston Texans (+1300) – DraftKings Sportsbook

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team