2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Matthews struggled in the majors again even though his underlying metrics showed star potential. Matthews has good control (2.2 BB/9 at Triple-A in 2024), strong strikeout rates (11.7 K/9 at Triple-A) and velocity (96.2 average mph fastball in the majors). He began last season at Triple-A where he excelled with a 1.72 ERA and 31.8% K% in 12 starts. It was a different story once called up to the majors in May as he had a 5.56 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. However, he improved his home runs allowed (to 1.63 HR/9 from 2.63 HR/9) and his velocity (up from 94.9 mph) while maintaining above average strikeout (10.0 K/9) and walk rates (2.7 BB/9). He may have been unlucky with a high .357 BABIP as his 3.79 FIP would seem to indicate. He did have a .364 BABIP in the majors in 2024, however. He'll compete for a rotation spot this spring. Given his underlying metrics, he's a pitcher that could put together a surprise season. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2025.
Headed to Triple-A
The Twins optioned Matthews to Triple-A St. Paul on Friday.
Analysis
Matthews had been a candidate to make Minnesota's Opening Day rotation, but the 25-year-old will come up short. In 2025, the right-hander made 16 big-league starts, posting a 5.56 ERA and an 88:24 K:BB across 79.1 innings. Matthews' move to Triple-A likely means Mick Abel will have a spot in the Twins' rotation.
Matthews had been a candidate to make Minnesota's Opening Day rotation, but the 25-year-old will come up short. In 2025, the right-hander made 16 big-league starts, posting a 5.56 ERA and an 88:24 K:BB across 79.1 innings. Matthews' move to Triple-A likely means Mick Abel will have a spot in the Twins' rotation.
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .316 | 68 | 23 | 79 | 17 |
| Since 2024vs Right | .278 | 63 | 12 | 66 | 6 |
| 2026vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025vs Left | .316 | 45 | 14 | 50 | 9 |
| 2025vs Right | .267 | 43 | 10 | 44 | 3 |
| 2024vs Left | .315 | 23 | 9 | 29 | 8 |
| 2024vs Right | .306 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-31%
ERA on Road
2026
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 7.14 | 1.66 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.4 |
| Since 2024Away | 4.96 | 1.44 | 65.1 | 9.4 | 2.9 |
| 2026Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025Home | 5.67 | 1.50 | 33.1 | 9.7 | 2.4 |
| 2025Away | 5.48 | 1.48 | 46.0 | 10.2 | 2.9 |
| 2024Home | 9.82 | 1.96 | 18.1 | 13.3 | 2.5 |
| 2024Away | 3.72 | 1.34 | 19.1 | 7.4 | 2.8 |
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2024
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .281 | 23 | 6 | 27 | 2 |
| Since 2024vs Right | .231 | 47 | 4 | 28 | 3 |
| 2026vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025vs Left | .250 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 1 |
| 2025vs Right | .203 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| 2024vs Left | .344 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| 2024vs Right | .277 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 3 |
Stat Review
How does Zebby Matthews compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.67K/9
10.0BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.4Fastball
96.2 mphERA
5.56WHIP
1.49BABIP
.377GB/FB
0.85Left On Base
67.2%Exit Velocity
83.2 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2305 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.0%Swinging Strike
13.0%Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Matthews was a fast-rising prospect last season who rose from High-A to the majors based on his impeccable control and strong strikeout rates but struggled in his first trip to the majors. Matthews had a 1.84 ERA with a 10.5 K/9 and just six walks in 78 innings between High-A and Double-A. After four starts at Triple-A, he was called up in August and had a 3.00 ERA in his first three starts, before struggling in his next six outings (9.13 ERA). He had good (2.6 BB/9) but not elite control in the majors but struggled to keep the ball in the park (2.6 HR/9). He also failed to pitch more than five innings in any start, though the Twins may have been limiting his workload. Matthews could win a spot in the rotation this spring and he has promising signs given his miniscule walk rate (1.0 BB/9 career in minors), strong strikeout rates (10.2 K/9 career in minors) and velocity (94.9 average mph fastball in the majors).
More Fantasy News
Potential fifth starter
Matthews has a chance to win a rotation spot for the Twins this spring, and one more spot is now open in the wake of Pablo Lopez's elbow injury, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Won't make another start
Matthews is not scheduled to make a start this weekend in Philadelphia.
Analysis
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Fires seven strong innings
Matthews (5-6) got the win Tuesday against the Rangers, allowing one run on four hits while striking out six in seven innings. He did not issue a walk.
Analysis
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Knocked around in sixth loss
Matthews (4-6) took the loss Tuesday, allowing nine runs on 11 hits and two walks over three innings in a 10-9 loss against the Yankees. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Tagged for five runs in fifth loss
Matthews (4-5) took the loss Tuesday against the Angels, allowing five runs on seven hits and two walks in 4.2 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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