2025 Stats
W-L
13-6
ERA
2.21
WHIP
0.89
K
241
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal has now logged more than 450 regular-season innings since putting his August 2022 Tommy John Surgery in the rearview mirror. Simply put, he has been a dominating force on the mound in that time, winning a Cy Young while leading all pitchers (min 450 IP) in ERA, strikeout rate, WHIP, K-BB percentage, opponents' batting average and kissing babies. His postseason efforts were just icing on the cake, even if Detroit could not muster enough offense in his support. He has garnered a win in nearly 50 percent of his starts and a quality start in 62 percent of his outings and has answered the durability concerns, which clouded his future as he came back from surgery in 2023. The only risk for Skubal now is, where does he go from here, literally and figuratively? Skubal is heading into the final year of his contract with Detroit, and the initial $100M contract extension offer was not well received according to the hot stove. There is a chance Skubal could be dealt away from Detroit, resulting in a different home park, but Skubal seems to be at his best against the best, as his 1.90 ERA against teams over .500 in 2025 would reinforce. Skubal has also pitched at an elite statistical level since returning from surgery, and the odds of him taking it to an even higher level are not a strong as the odds of him regressing a bit in 2026 under the spotlight of pending free agency and contract extension talks. Pitchers in the first round are risky, but nobody would blame you for pulling the trigger on Skubal. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $32 million contract with the Tigers in February of 2026.
Sharp in spring debut
Skubal allowed two hits across two scoreless innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins. He struck out four.
Analysis
The reigning back-to-back American League Cy Young Award winner picked up where he left off last season as he breezed through two strong innings on 31 pitches. Skubal has already been named Detroit's Opening Day starter, so his workload will likely be closely managed the rest of spring training as he gears up for that contest. The southpaw is also scheduled to play for the United States in the World Baseball Classic, though he only plans on making one start during pool play next week before returning to camp, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports. That should leave Skubal fairly fresh heading into Opening Day after he made 31 regular-season starts each of the last two years.
The reigning back-to-back American League Cy Young Award winner picked up where he left off last season as he breezed through two strong innings on 31 pitches. Skubal has already been named Detroit's Opening Day starter, so his workload will likely be closely managed the rest of spring training as he gears up for that contest. The southpaw is also scheduled to play for the United States in the World Baseball Classic, though he only plans on making one start during pool play next week before returning to camp, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports. That should leave Skubal fairly fresh heading into Opening Day after he made 31 regular-season starts each of the last two years.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024
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2022
2021
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
100
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-8%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .191 | 82 | 9 | 57 | 3 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .202 | 489 | 73 | 284 | 34 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .214 | 45 | 2 | 31 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .196 | 196 | 31 | 110 | 17 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .186 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .204 | 195 | 30 | 121 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .125 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .210 | 98 | 12 | 53 | 3 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-32%
ERA at Home
2025
-7%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 1.95 | 0.86 | 244.2 | 11.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 2.87 | 0.96 | 223.0 | 10.6 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.13 | 0.92 | 101.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.30 | 0.86 | 94.0 | 10.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.99 | 0.83 | 104.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 11.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 1.37 | 0.79 | 39.1 | 13.5 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.17 | 1.00 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
7.30K/9
11.1BB/9
1.5HR/9
0.8Fastball
98.6 mphERA
2.21WHIP
0.89BABIP
.284GB/FB
1.17Left On Base
80.0%Exit Velocity
80.2 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2170 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.3%Swinging Strike
17.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
More Fantasy News
Draws Opening Day nod
Manager A.J. Hinch announced Wednesday that Skubal will draw the starting nod for the Tigers' Opening Day game March 26 versus the Padres in San Diego, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Analysis
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Wins arbitration case
Skubal will make $32 million in 2026 after winning his arbitration hearing with the Tigers on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
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Wins second AL Cy Young Award
Skubal was named the winner of the 2025 American League Cy Young Award on Wednesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
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Fans 13 in ALDS finale
Skubal didn't factor into the decision in Game 5 of the ALDS against the Mariners on Friday, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out 13 batters across six innings. He did not issue a walk.
Analysis
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Strikes out nine in no-decision
Skubal permitted two runs on five hits and one walk over seven innings in a no-decision Sunday in Seattle. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expected to remain in Detroit
The Tigers are expected to keep Skubal even after their reported contract agreement with Framber Valdez, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic.
Analysis
A trade of Skubal this offseason has always been an unlikely proposition, and Rosenthal says that hasn't changed even after the Tigers reinforced their rotation with the top available free-agent starting pitcher. Skubal and the Tigers went through an arbitration hearing Wednesday, and an announcement on whether the panel chose the pitcher's $32 million request or the team's $19 million figure is expected Thursday.
A trade of Skubal this offseason has always been an unlikely proposition, and Rosenthal says that hasn't changed even after the Tigers reinforced their rotation with the top available free-agent starting pitcher. Skubal and the Tigers went through an arbitration hearing Wednesday, and an announcement on whether the panel chose the pitcher's $32 million request or the team's $19 million figure is expected Thursday.