2026 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
2.55
WHIP
1.08
K
16
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal has now logged more than 450 regular-season innings since putting his August 2022 Tommy John Surgery in the rearview mirror. Simply put, he has been a dominating force on the mound in that time, winning a Cy Young while leading all pitchers (min 450 IP) in ERA, strikeout rate, WHIP, K-BB percentage, opponents' batting average and kissing babies. His postseason efforts were just icing on the cake, even if Detroit could not muster enough offense in his support. He has garnered a win in nearly 50 percent of his starts and a quality start in 62 percent of his outings and has answered the durability concerns, which clouded his future as he came back from surgery in 2023. The only risk for Skubal now is, where does he go from here, literally and figuratively? Skubal is heading into the final year of his contract with Detroit, and the initial $100M contract extension offer was not well received according to the hot stove. There is a chance Skubal could be dealt away from Detroit, resulting in a different home park, but Skubal seems to be at his best against the best, as his 1.90 ERA against teams over .500 in 2025 would reinforce. Skubal has also pitched at an elite statistical level since returning from surgery, and the odds of him taking it to an even higher level are not a strong as the odds of him regressing a bit in 2026 under the spotlight of pending free agency and contract extension talks. Pitchers in the first round are risky, but nobody would blame you for pulling the trigger on Skubal. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $32 million contract with the Tigers in February of 2026.
Falls apart in fifth frame
Skubal (1-2) took the loss against the Twins on Tuesday, allowing four runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out seven across 4.2 innings.
Analysis
Skubal opened things up by striking out four of the first seven batters he faced. He kept the Twins off the board through four frames, but things fell apart for the reigning AL Cy Young winner in the fifth, when he yielded four runs on three hits and two walks before being pulled. Skubal gave up just one earned run through his first two starts of the season, so Tuesday's outing can be considered a blip on the radar for the 29-year-old southpaw. He still generated 19 whiffs while recording 65 strikes on 95 pitches (68.4 percent). Skubal's next start is tentatively slated for this weekend at home against the Marlins.
Skubal opened things up by striking out four of the first seven batters he faced. He kept the Twins off the board through four frames, but things fell apart for the reigning AL Cy Young winner in the fifth, when he yielded four runs on three hits and two walks before being pulled. Skubal gave up just one earned run through his first two starts of the season, so Tuesday's outing can be considered a blip on the radar for the 29-year-old southpaw. He still generated 19 whiffs while recording 65 strikes on 95 pitches (68.4 percent). Skubal's next start is tentatively slated for this weekend at home against the Marlins.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
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2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-2%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .204 | 82 | 7 | 55 | 3 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .202 | 403 | 63 | 245 | 31 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .250 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .246 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .214 | 45 | 2 | 31 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .196 | 196 | 31 | 110 | 17 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .186 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .204 | 195 | 30 | 121 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-20%
ERA at Home
2026
-100%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.06 | 0.87 | 205.1 | 11.0 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.57 | 0.96 | 199.2 | 10.6 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.55 | 1.08 | 17.2 | 8.2 | 1.0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.13 | 0.92 | 101.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.30 | 0.86 | 94.0 | 10.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.99 | 0.83 | 104.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 11.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
8.00K/9
8.2BB/9
1.0HR/9
0.5Fastball
97.0 mphERA
2.55WHIP
1.08BABIP
.321GB/FB
1.83Left On Base
73.9%Exit Velocity
82.1 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2237 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.4%Swinging Strike
12.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
More Fantasy News
Tough-luck loss Wednesday
Skubal (0-1) took the loss Wednesday against the Diamondbacks, allowing one run on six hits and no walks in seven innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Kicks off season with victory
Skubal (1-0) earned the win over San Diego on Thursday, allowing one unearned run on three hits and no walks while striking out six batters over six innings.
Analysis
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Strikes out seven in return to camp
Skubal allowed one run on three hits across 4.2 innings in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Returning to Tigers after WBC start
Skubal said Monday that he will return to Tigers camp rather than make another start for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
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May extend WBC run
Skubal, who made his World Baseball Classic debut in the United States' victory over Great Britain on Saturday, may end up pitching for the team again after previously planning to make only one appearance, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension chances reducing
The Tigers didn't offer Skubal a long-term contract in the offseason, so the chances of both parties reaching an extension are reducing by the day, according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today Sports.
Analysis
It was Skubal who told Nightengale about the lack of talks with the Tigers regarding an extension. "There is no offer" from the team right now, Skubal said, and "there won't be an offer until the end of the season....My focus is on playing baseball and winning this year. I'll deal with the contract stuff at the end of the year, and then we'll kind of see. And that's fine. It's their decision." If he hits the open market next winter after another elite season, Skubal could become the first pitcher in baseball history to command a contract worth more than $500 million in present value.
It was Skubal who told Nightengale about the lack of talks with the Tigers regarding an extension. "There is no offer" from the team right now, Skubal said, and "there won't be an offer until the end of the season....My focus is on playing baseball and winning this year. I'll deal with the contract stuff at the end of the year, and then we'll kind of see. And that's fine. It's their decision." If he hits the open market next winter after another elite season, Skubal could become the first pitcher in baseball history to command a contract worth more than $500 million in present value.