2026 Stats
W-L
4-4
ERA
3.15
WHIP
0.91
K
75
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal has now logged more than 450 regular-season innings since putting his August 2022 Tommy John Surgery in the rearview mirror. Simply put, he has been a dominating force on the mound in that time, winning a Cy Young while leading all pitchers (min 450 IP) in ERA, strikeout rate, WHIP, K-BB percentage, opponents' batting average and kissing babies. His postseason efforts were just icing on the cake, even if Detroit could not muster enough offense in his support. He has garnered a win in nearly 50 percent of his starts and a quality start in 62 percent of his outings and has answered the durability concerns, which clouded his future as he came back from surgery in 2023. The only risk for Skubal now is, where does he go from here, literally and figuratively? Skubal is heading into the final year of his contract with Detroit, and the initial $100M contract extension offer was not well received according to the hot stove. There is a chance Skubal could be dealt away from Detroit, resulting in a different home park, but Skubal seems to be at his best against the best, as his 1.90 ERA against teams over .500 in 2025 would reinforce. Skubal has also pitched at an elite statistical level since returning from surgery, and the odds of him taking it to an even higher level are not a strong as the odds of him regressing a bit in 2026 under the spotlight of pending free agency and contract extension talks. Pitchers in the first round are risky, but nobody would blame you for pulling the trigger on Skubal. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $32 million contract with the Tigers in February of 2026.
Strikes out nine in statement win
Skubal (8-4) earned the win against the Yankees on Tuesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on one hit and no walks with nine strikeouts over six innings.
Analysis
Going against fellow ace Cam Schlittler, Skubal generated 13 swinging strikes on 87 pitches en route to his first win since April 18. The outing marked the first quality start in four turns since returning from the injured list for the 29-year-old, who has allowed seven homers during that span while still posting a strong 0.85 WHIP and 30:2 K:BB. He'll carry a 3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 75:8 K:BB across 65.2 innings this season into a home matchup with the Athletics next week.
Going against fellow ace Cam Schlittler, Skubal generated 13 swinging strikes on 87 pitches en route to his first win since April 18. The outing marked the first quality start in four turns since returning from the injured list for the 29-year-old, who has allowed seven homers during that span while still posting a strong 0.85 WHIP and 30:2 K:BB. He'll carry a 3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 75:8 K:BB across 65.2 innings this season into a home matchup with the Athletics next week.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-36%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .219 | 96 | 9 | 70 | 5 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .199 | 448 | 67 | 265 | 37 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .295 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 3 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .189 | 57 | 6 | 34 | 6 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .214 | 45 | 2 | 31 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .196 | 196 | 31 | 110 | 17 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .186 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .204 | 195 | 30 | 121 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
ERA at Home
2026
-46%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.31 | 0.88 | 229.2 | 10.9 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.54 | 0.94 | 223.1 | 10.7 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 4.44 | 0.95 | 24.1 | 10.7 | 1.1 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.40 | 0.90 | 41.1 | 10.0 | 1.1 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.13 | 0.92 | 101.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.30 | 0.86 | 94.0 | 10.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.99 | 0.83 | 104.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 11.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
9.38K/9
10.3BB/9
1.1HR/9
1.2Fastball
96.9 mphERA
3.15WHIP
0.91BABIP
.281GB/FB
1.60Left On Base
71.7%Exit Velocity
80.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.0%Spin Rate
2202 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.0%Swinging Strike
15.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
More Fantasy News
Stung by long ball in loss
Skubal (3-4) took the loss Wednesday against the Yankees, allowing four runs on four hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Records no-decision Friday
Skubal allowed three runs on seven hits across 5.2 innings and did not factor into the decision in Friday's 4-3 win over the White Sox. He walked one and struck out eight.
Analysis
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Gives up two runs in return
Skubal (3-3) was tagged with the loss Saturday against the Guardians after allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and a walk across 4.2 innings. He struck out four and hit a batter.
Analysis
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Activated ahead of start
The Tigers reinstated Skubal (elbow) from the injured list ahead of his start Saturday against Cleveland, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Confirmed to return Saturday
Tigers manager A.J. Hinch confirmed Thursday that Skubal (elbow) will rejoin the rotation Saturday in Cleveland, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Astros will try to land him
The Astros are expected to enter the sweepstakes to acquire Skubal before the trade deadline on Aug. 3, according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today Sports.
Analysis
The Astros need to significantly improve their roster for the second half of the season if they're looking to make a playoff push in a weak AL West, and adding Skubal to their rotation would be a huge move, even if he's just a rental until the end of the season. Skubal is expected to be targeted by every team with World Series aspirations between now and the trade deadline, and the Tigers aren't expected to pull the trigger on a deal until the final stages of the deadline.
The Astros need to significantly improve their roster for the second half of the season if they're looking to make a playoff push in a weak AL West, and adding Skubal to their rotation would be a huge move, even if he's just a rental until the end of the season. Skubal is expected to be targeted by every team with World Series aspirations between now and the trade deadline, and the Tigers aren't expected to pull the trigger on a deal until the final stages of the deadline.