2026 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
4.20
WHIP
1.07
K
12
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Despite being the team's most consistent starter in 2024, Nelson was shifted to the bullpen in 2025 to make room for free agent Corbin Burnes. How fitting that Burnes' elbow surgery (and Tommy John surgery) got Nelson back into the rotation. The right-hander was a top pitcher on the staff for a second consecutive season. In 23 starts, Nelson pitched 128 innings with a 3.16 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Arizona will commit to Nelson in the rotation to start 2026, as Burnes will be unavailable until at least the second half, and Zac Gallen rejected a qualifying offer. While Nelson's performed well as a starter the last two seasons, there are some warning signs. He's heavily reliant on his four-seamer (61.7 percent usage) and defense dependent (7.7 K/9). The next highest pitch was his cutter (12.2 percent). If he continues to locate the fastball (+23 Run Value), limit walks, and mix in more of the secondary offerings, Nelson could become more than a mid-rotation starter. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2026.
Earns first win
Nelson (1-1) allowed one run on five hits while striking out five over 5.2 innings, earning the win in Wednesday's 7-2 victory over the Mets.
Analysis
Nelson's first two starts of the season were marred by six walks and four home runs, uncharacteristic of the right-hander. There were no such issues the third time out. Nelson scattered two hits over five scoreless innings, before New York batters touched him for three singles and their lone run in the sixth. The bounce-back outing came it a good time for Nelson, as the Diamondbacks consider how best to incorporate Merrill Kelly (back) into the rotation. Kelly is scheduled for one more rehab start before being activated, meaning someone in the existing rotation will need to go. Based on the results thus far, the decision seemingly comes down to Nelson (4.20 ERA) and Brandon Pfaadt (6.75).
Nelson's first two starts of the season were marred by six walks and four home runs, uncharacteristic of the right-hander. There were no such issues the third time out. Nelson scattered two hits over five scoreless innings, before New York batters touched him for three singles and their lone run in the sixth. The bounce-back outing came it a good time for Nelson, as the Diamondbacks consider how best to incorporate Merrill Kelly (back) into the rotation. Kelly is scheduled for one more rehab start before being activated, meaning someone in the existing rotation will need to go. Based on the results thus far, the decision seemingly comes down to Nelson (4.20 ERA) and Brandon Pfaadt (6.75).
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-13%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .215 | 117 | 45 | 125 | 18 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .259 | 153 | 36 | 164 | 20 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .161 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .185 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .191 | 54 | 20 | 50 | 5 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .239 | 78 | 21 | 74 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .243 | 58 | 20 | 70 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .288 | 68 | 14 | 85 | 7 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-15%
ERA at Home
2026
-11%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.50 | 1.10 | 156.2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.14 | 1.21 | 163.0 | 7.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2026Home | 3.86 | 1.29 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 5.8 | ||||
| 2026Away | 4.35 | 0.97 | 10.1 | 7.8 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.71 | 0.97 | 86.1 | 7.7 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.26 | 1.20 | 67.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.52 | 1.26 | 65.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.02 | 1.25 | 85.0 | 7.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.17K/9
6.8BB/9
5.8HR/9
3.9Fastball
96.6 mphERA
5.79WHIP
1.18BABIP
.049GB/FB
0.50Left On Base
0.0%Exit Velocity
85.1 mphBarrels/BBE
10.7%Spin Rate
2422 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
33.9%Swinging Strike
10.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Nelson's improved strike-throwing ability in spring training earned him a spot in the Diamondbacks' rotation in 2024. He maintained that skill into the regular season and finished with 10 wins and the second-most innings among Arizona starters. The 26-year-old right-hander upped his strikeout rate to 20.0 percent (from 15.5 in 2023), moving from the sixth percentile to the 26th. An already good walk rate got better, while he shaved one run off his ERA (5.31 to 4.24) and cut down on home runs. In a promising sign, Nelson's performance improved deeper into the season, posting a 3.23 ERA and 28.7 K% over the second half. Still very much a two-pitch pitcher (fastballs and cutters), developing a third pitch might continue the righty's upward trajectory. There was enough development in his performance last year that he should not need to compete for a rotation spot in 2025, but Arizona signed free agent Corbin Burnes, which could push Nelson to the bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Done in by homers, defense
Nelson (0-1) took the loss against Atlanta on Thursday, allowing seven runs (two earned) on three hits and three walks while striking out three batters over 4.2 innings.
Analysis
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Struggles in third inning
Nelson allowed four runs on two hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Dodgers on Friday.
Analysis
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Makes final Cactus League start
Nelson allowed four hits and struck out seven over five scoreless innings in Saturday's spring start against Texas.
Analysis
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Works four innings
Nelson allowed one run on four hits and one walk while striking out six over four innings in Monday's spring start against the Reds.
Analysis
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Begins four innings Wednesday
Nelson allowed three runs one two hits and one walk while striking out four over 3.1 innings in Wednesday's spring start against the Athletics.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension candidate?
Nelson is entering his first year of arbitration eligibility, which could prompt the Diamondbacks to pursue a contract extension, reports Jack Sommers of SI.com.
Analysis
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.