2026 Stats
W-L
3-5
ERA
4.97
WHIP
1.24
K
62
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Despite being the team's most consistent starter in 2024, Nelson was shifted to the bullpen in 2025 to make room for free agent Corbin Burnes. How fitting that Burnes' elbow surgery (and Tommy John surgery) got Nelson back into the rotation. The right-hander was a top pitcher on the staff for a second consecutive season. In 23 starts, Nelson pitched 128 innings with a 3.16 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Arizona will commit to Nelson in the rotation to start 2026, as Burnes will be unavailable until at least the second half, and Zac Gallen rejected a qualifying offer. While Nelson's performed well as a starter the last two seasons, there are some warning signs. He's heavily reliant on his four-seamer (61.7 percent usage) and defense dependent (7.7 K/9). The next highest pitch was his cutter (12.2 percent). If he continues to locate the fastball (+23 Run Value), limit walks, and mix in more of the secondary offerings, Nelson could become more than a mid-rotation starter. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2026.
Rebounds with quality start
Nelson (3-5) tossed seven innings against the Angels on Monday, allowing two runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out five batters to earn the win.
Analysis
Nelson yielded seven runs over four innings against Miami in his previous start, but he bounced back nicely Monday. The right-hander started a bit shakily by giving up a run on two hits in the first frame, but the Angels crossed the plate only once more over the remainder of Nelson's time in the game. While Nelson registered a modest five punchouts, that was his highest mark since he struck out eight Rangers six starts ago. Nelson has a mediocre 4.97 ERA on the campaign and has experienced several blowups, but he also has six quality starts over his past eight outings, so he's still been useful in the right matchups.
Nelson yielded seven runs over four innings against Miami in his previous start, but he bounced back nicely Monday. The right-hander started a bit shakily by giving up a run on two hits in the first frame, but the Angels crossed the plate only once more over the remainder of Nelson's time in the game. While Nelson registered a modest five punchouts, that was his highest mark since he struck out eight Rangers six starts ago. Nelson has a mediocre 4.97 ERA on the campaign and has experienced several blowups, but he also has six quality starts over his past eight outings, so he's still been useful in the right matchups.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-15%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .221 | 139 | 51 | 159 | 25 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .264 | 181 | 46 | 201 | 27 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .229 | 27 | 11 | 39 | 10 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .271 | 35 | 11 | 42 | 8 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .191 | 54 | 20 | 50 | 5 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .239 | 78 | 21 | 74 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .243 | 58 | 20 | 70 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .288 | 68 | 14 | 85 | 7 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
ERA at Home
2026
-2%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.82 | 1.16 | 197.2 | 7.1 | 1.9 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.30 | 1.20 | 190.1 | 7.8 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2026Home | 4.93 | 1.36 | 45.2 | 5.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2026Away | 5.02 | 1.09 | 37.2 | 7.9 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.71 | 0.97 | 86.1 | 7.7 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.26 | 1.20 | 67.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.52 | 1.26 | 65.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.02 | 1.25 | 85.0 | 7.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.82K/9
6.7BB/9
2.4HR/9
1.9Fastball
96.3 mphERA
4.97WHIP
1.24BABIP
.267GB/FB
0.73Left On Base
64.3%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
6.4%Spin Rate
2318 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.5%Swinging Strike
9.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Nelson's improved strike-throwing ability in spring training earned him a spot in the Diamondbacks' rotation in 2024. He maintained that skill into the regular season and finished with 10 wins and the second-most innings among Arizona starters. The 26-year-old right-hander upped his strikeout rate to 20.0 percent (from 15.5 in 2023), moving from the sixth percentile to the 26th. An already good walk rate got better, while he shaved one run off his ERA (5.31 to 4.24) and cut down on home runs. In a promising sign, Nelson's performance improved deeper into the season, posting a 3.23 ERA and 28.7 K% over the second half. Still very much a two-pitch pitcher (fastballs and cutters), developing a third pitch might continue the righty's upward trajectory. There was enough development in his performance last year that he should not need to compete for a rotation spot in 2025, but Arizona signed free agent Corbin Burnes, which could push Nelson to the bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Tough outing in loss
Nelson (2-5) picked up the loss Wednesday, allowing seven runs on eight hits and one walk over four innings during the 8-0 loss against the Marlins. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Tosses seven strong frames
Nelson allowed two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three batters over seven innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Thursday.
Analysis
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Hammered by Mariners
Nelson (2-4) allowed five runs (four earned) on seven hits and a hit batsman while striking out three and walking none over 5.1 innings, taking the loss versus the Mariners on Saturday.
Analysis
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Lasts eight innings in second win
Nelson (2-3) earned the win Sunday, allowing one run on six hits and three walks over eight innings against the Rockies. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Goes seven innings in no-decision
Nelson allowed three runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three over seven innings in a no-decision versus the Giants on Tuesday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension candidate?
Nelson is entering his first year of arbitration eligibility, which could prompt the Diamondbacks to pursue a contract extension, reports Jack Sommers of SI.com.
Analysis
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.