2026 Stats
W-L
3-3
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.43
K
37
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Lowder impressed with Cincinnati down the stretch in 2024, but injuries prevented him from making a single big-league appearance in 2025. While rehabbing from a forearm injury, Lowder suffered a significant oblique strain, which cost him most of the season. After a lone Triple-A appearance in September, Lowder underwent an MRI on his shoulder that came back negative. It was a troubling year up and down the kinetic chain, but Lowder was able to make up for lost time a bit in the Arizona Fall League, pitching nine innings with an 8:1 K:BB across four starts. While the right-hander lacks an overpowering fastball, he throws four distinct pitches, keeping hitters off balance. The Reds selected Lowder with the seventh overall pick in 2023 and gave him a $5.7 million signing bonus, so they are heavily invested. He will compete for a rotation spot this spring, but the team may ultimately need to manage him coming off the lost year. Read Past Outlooks
Shows improved control Saturday
Lowder allowed one run on five hits and two walks while striking out six batters over 5.2 innings in a no-decision against Arizona on Saturday.
Analysis
Lowder returned from a one-month absence in his previous start and looked quite rusty, issuing five walks over three scoreless innings. The right-hander was much more in control Saturday, handing out a tolerable two free passes and throwing 62 of 96 pitches for strikes. Lowder also racked up a solid 15 whiffs and fanned six batters, and the only run he allowed came on a first-inning homer by Corbin Carroll. This was a promising outing for Lowder, but he's projected for a tough challenge his next time out, as he's lined up for a road matchup against the Yankees.
Lowder returned from a one-month absence in his previous start and looked quite rusty, issuing five walks over three scoreless innings. The right-hander was much more in control Saturday, handing out a tolerable two free passes and throwing 62 of 96 pitches for strikes. Lowder also racked up a solid 15 whiffs and fanned six batters, and the only run he allowed came on a first-inning homer by Corbin Carroll. This was a promising outing for Lowder, but he's projected for a tough challenge his next time out, as he's lined up for a road matchup against the Yankees.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Rhett Lowder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Rhett Lowder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-5%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .213 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 3 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .243 | 28 | 8 | 35 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .228 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 3 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .241 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .184 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .246 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-50%
ERA at Home
2026
-45%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.15 | 1.22 | 37.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.28 | 1.50 | 40.0 | 5.4 | 5.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 3.22 | 1.12 | 22.1 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2026Away | 5.84 | 1.70 | 24.2 | 5.5 | 6.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0.59 | 1.37 | 15.1 | 7.6 | 5.9 | ||||
| 2024Away | 1.76 | 1.17 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Rhett Lowder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.48K/9
7.1BB/9
4.8HR/9
0.6Fastball
92.8 mphERA
4.60WHIP
1.43BABIP
.290GB/FB
1.49Left On Base
66.9%Exit Velocity
84.3 mphBarrels/BBE
3.4%Spin Rate
2341 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.5%Swinging Strike
7.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
The Reds didn't seem to want to bring Lowder up after just one start at Triple-A, but injuries had ravaged the rotation by late August and they decided to go with it. Impressively, he more than held his own after being thrown into the deep end, pitching to a 1.17 ERA over six starts in the major leagues. Lowder, the seventh overall pick in 2023, began his first professional season at High-A Daytona before quickly advancing to Double-A Chattanooga. While it wasn't all luck by any means, the right-hander was quite fortunate during his in the majors and outperformed his underlying metrics. Lowder has four pitches and a bright future, but Cincinnati is likely hoping it can afford him additional time in the minor leagues refine his craft before giving him an extended look in the big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Signs of rust in return
Lowder took a no-decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing no runs on one hit and five walks in three innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Officially activated ahead of start
The Reds activated Lowder (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list Sunday.
Analysis
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Confirmed for start Sunday
Reds manager Terry Francona confirmed Wednesday that Lowder (shoulder) will be reinstated from the injured list to start Sunday's game in St. Louis, Charlie Clifford of NBC 5 Cincinnati reports.
Analysis
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Throws 70 pitches in rehab start
Lowder (shoulder) allowed three earned runs on six hits while striking out eight with no walks over five innings in a rehab start for Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday.
Analysis
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Making rehab start Tuesday
Lowder (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
Analysis
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