2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Tolle was the No. 50 overall pick in 2024, and in 2025 he had one of the best debut seasons of a pitching prospect in recent memory. An intimidating presence on the mound, the 6-foot-6, 250-pound mustachioed Tolle added a couple ticks to his fastball after getting drafted, which significantly raised his ceiling. He logged a 3.04 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 30.2 K-BB% in 91.2 innings while climbing from High-A to Triple-A. Tolle logged an unlucky 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings in the majors to close the year and pitched out of the bullpen during the postseason. He is a flyball pitcher, but even so, his 27.8% HR/FB in the majors was a significant outlier, and he was uncharacteristically wild, logging a 10.8 BB% after posting a 6.3 BB% in the minors. Tolle's power attack starts with his upper-90s fastball, which averaged 96.6 mph and touched 99.7 mph in 2025. He rounds things out with a cutter, changeup, curveball and slider, with none of his pitches averaging less than 83 mph. Tolle's poor MLB results and the chance that he opens the year at Triple-A should keep his redraft price affordable all offseason, but prior to his MLB debut, he was seen as one of the best pitching prospects in the minors. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2026.
Opening 2026 in minors
The Red Sox optioned Tolle to minor-league camp Monday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
Tolle entered spring training battling with Connelly Early and Johan Oviedo for the fifth spot in the Red Sox's rotation. Tolle showed promise in four Grapefruit League outings, posting a 2.53 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 13:1 K:BB across 10.2 innings. He will likely open the 2026 season with Triple-A Worcester, and while he didn't crack the Red Sox's Opening Day roster, Tolle should see some time in the majors this season when Boston needs an extra arm in the rotation.
Tolle entered spring training battling with Connelly Early and Johan Oviedo for the fifth spot in the Red Sox's rotation. Tolle showed promise in four Grapefruit League outings, posting a 2.53 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 13:1 K:BB across 10.2 innings. He will likely open the 2026 season with Triple-A Worcester, and while he didn't crack the Red Sox's Opening Day roster, Tolle should see some time in the majors this season when Boston needs an extra arm in the rotation.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .308 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Since 2024vs Right | .269 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
| 2026vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025vs Left | .308 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 2025vs Right | .269 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-83%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 1.93 | 0.96 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 1.9 |
| Since 2024Away | 11.57 | 2.43 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 7.7 |
| 2026Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025Home | 1.93 | 0.96 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 1.9 |
| 2025Away | 11.57 | 2.43 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 7.7 |
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2024
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .211 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Since 2024vs Right | .184 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 2026vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025vs Left | .211 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025vs Right | .184 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stat Review
How does Payton Tolle compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.38K/9
10.5BB/9
4.4HR/9
2.8Fastball
96.9 mphERA
6.06WHIP
1.59BABIP
.325GB/FB
1.07Left On Base
73.7%Exit Velocity
82.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.6%Spin Rate
2306 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.1%Swinging Strike
15.5%Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Dynamic relief outing
Tolle allowed one hit and one walk while striking out seven over three innings of relief in Tuesday's spring game against the Yankees.
Analysis
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Likely bound for Triple-A
Tolle is expected to be optioned to Triple-A Worcester to begin the season if frontrunner Johan Oviedo wins the final spot in Boston's rotation, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Makes spring debut
Tolle allowed one run on one hit and struck out one over two innings in Saturday's spring game against the Twins.
Analysis
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Looking to protect fastball
Tolle plans to mix in more secondary offerings to complement his fastball during the upcoming season, Christoper Smith of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Makes relief appearance
Tolle allowed one unearned run on three hits while striking out four over three relief innings in Thursday's 5-3 loss to the Athletics.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to pitch in relief
Tolle isn't expected to pitch as a reliever if he doesn't make the rotation out of spring training, according to Sean McAdam of MassLive.com.
Analysis
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.