2026 Stats
W-L
5-6
ERA
3.14
WHIP
1.07
K
80
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Tolle was the No. 50 overall pick in 2024, and in 2025 he had one of the best debut seasons of a pitching prospect in recent memory. An intimidating presence on the mound, the 6-foot-6, 250-pound mustachioed Tolle added a couple ticks to his fastball after getting drafted, which significantly raised his ceiling. He logged a 3.04 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 30.2 K-BB% in 91.2 innings while climbing from High-A to Triple-A. Tolle logged an unlucky 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings in the majors to close the year and pitched out of the bullpen during the postseason. He is a flyball pitcher, but even so, his 27.8% HR/FB in the majors was a significant outlier, and he was uncharacteristically wild, logging a 10.8 BB% after posting a 6.3 BB% in the minors. Tolle's power attack starts with his upper-90s fastball, which averaged 96.6 mph and touched 99.7 mph in 2025. He rounds things out with a cutter, changeup, curveball and slider, with none of his pitches averaging less than 83 mph. Tolle's poor MLB results and the chance that he opens the year at Triple-A should keep his redraft price affordable all offseason, but prior to his MLB debut, he was seen as one of the best pitching prospects in the minors. Read Past Outlooks
Tosses six scoreless innings
Tolle (5-6) earned the win Tuesday against the White Sox, allowing two hits and one walk while striking out six over six scoreless innings.
Analysis
Tolle threw 60 of his 91 pitches for strikes and generated 15 whiffs. After Boston handed him a lead in the second inning, the left-hander retired 15 of the final 16 batters he faced. It was a strong bounce-back performance after he was tagged for six runs over three innings in his previous start against Washington. Tolle now owns a 3.14 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 80:24 K:BB across 80.1 innings and is tentatively scheduled to make one more start before the All-Star break against the Mets.
Tolle threw 60 of his 91 pitches for strikes and generated 15 whiffs. After Boston handed him a lead in the second inning, the left-hander retired 15 of the final 16 batters he faced. It was a strong bounce-back performance after he was tagged for six runs over three innings in his previous start against Washington. Tolle now owns a 3.14 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 80:24 K:BB across 80.1 innings and is tentatively scheduled to make one more start before the All-Star break against the Mets.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Payton Tolle generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Payton Tolle generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-14%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .239 | 17 | 5 | 26 | 5 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .213 | 82 | 27 | 54 | 8 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .229 | 14 | 3 | 22 | 4 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .198 | 66 | 21 | 40 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .308 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .269 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-26%
ERA at Home
2026
-15%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.12 | 1.15 | 52.0 | 11.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.23 | 1.16 | 44.2 | 6.4 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 3.38 | 1.20 | 42.2 | 11.4 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.87 | 0.93 | 37.2 | 6.2 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.93 | 0.96 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 11.57 | 2.43 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 7.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Payton Tolle compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.33K/9
9.0BB/9
2.7HR/9
0.9Fastball
95.7 mphERA
3.14WHIP
1.07BABIP
.269GB/FB
0.77Left On Base
72.2%Exit Velocity
81.2 mphBarrels/BBE
3.5%Spin Rate
2235 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.3%Swinging Strike
12.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Chased early by Nats
Tolle (4-6) took the loss Wednesday as the Red Sox were routed 10-2 by the Nationals, coughing up six runs on seven hits and three walks over three-plus innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Dazzles during win
Tolle (4-5) earned the win Friday against the Yankees, allowing one hit and two walks while striking out seven batters over seven shutout innings.
Analysis
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Charged with fifth loss
Tolle (3-5) took the loss Sunday, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks over six innings against the Mariners. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Fans six in Tuesday's loss
Tolle (3-4) took the loss Tuesday, giving up three runs on four hits and two walks over five innings as the Red Sox fell 6-1 to the Blue Jays. He struck out six.
Analysis
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Gives up four runs in loss
Tolle (3-3) took the loss against Tampa Bay on Tuesday, allowing four runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out three across six innings.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to pitch in relief
Tolle isn't expected to pitch as a reliever if he doesn't make the rotation out of spring training, according to Sean McAdam of MassLive.com.
Analysis
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.





