2026 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
2.04
WHIP
0.74
K
23
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Tolle was the No. 50 overall pick in 2024, and in 2025 he had one of the best debut seasons of a pitching prospect in recent memory. An intimidating presence on the mound, the 6-foot-6, 250-pound mustachioed Tolle added a couple ticks to his fastball after getting drafted, which significantly raised his ceiling. He logged a 3.04 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 30.2 K-BB% in 91.2 innings while climbing from High-A to Triple-A. Tolle logged an unlucky 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings in the majors to close the year and pitched out of the bullpen during the postseason. He is a flyball pitcher, but even so, his 27.8% HR/FB in the majors was a significant outlier, and he was uncharacteristically wild, logging a 10.8 BB% after posting a 6.3 BB% in the minors. Tolle's power attack starts with his upper-90s fastball, which averaged 96.6 mph and touched 99.7 mph in 2025. He rounds things out with a cutter, changeup, curveball and slider, with none of his pitches averaging less than 83 mph. Tolle's poor MLB results and the chance that he opens the year at Triple-A should keep his redraft price affordable all offseason, but prior to his MLB debut, he was seen as one of the best pitching prospects in the minors. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2026.
Rays-Red Sox rained out
Tolle and the Red Sox won't face the Rays on Saturday, as the game was postponed due to rain, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
Analysis
The two teams will make up Saturday's contest during a doubleheader July 17, and Tolle will presumably make his next start during Sunday's series finale. He'll look to continue his hot streak after turning in a 2.04 ERA and 0.74 WHIP through his first three outings.
The two teams will make up Saturday's contest during a doubleheader July 17, and Tolle will presumably make his next start during Sunday's series finale. He'll look to continue his hot streak after turning in a 2.04 ERA and 0.74 WHIP through his first three outings.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Payton Tolle generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Payton Tolle generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-70%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .267 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .179 | 33 | 12 | 17 | 4 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .235 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .070 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .308 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .269 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-70%
ERA at Home
2026
-35%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 1.76 | 0.85 | 15.1 | 14.1 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 5.79 | 1.39 | 18.2 | 8.7 | 5.3 | ||||
| 2026Home | 1.50 | 0.67 | 6.0 | 16.5 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.31 | 0.77 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.93 | 0.96 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 11.57 | 2.43 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 7.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Payton Tolle compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.83K/9
11.7BB/9
3.1HR/9
0.5Fastball
95.8 mphERA
2.04WHIP
0.74BABIP
.183GB/FB
0.69Left On Base
60.3%Exit Velocity
80.8 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2206 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.8%Swinging Strike
13.5%Prospect Rankings History
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Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Dominates for first MLB win
Tolle (1-1) earned the win Monday against the Tigers, allowing two unearned runs on one hit and one walk while striking out eight over seven innings.
Analysis
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Experiences velocity drop
Tolle's fastball averaged 95 mph in Tuesday's loss to the Blue Jays, a drop from 97.1 during last Thursday's outing, Zack Worden of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Yields three runs in loss
Tolle (0-1) took the loss against the Blue Jays on Tuesday, allowing three runs on three hits and four walks while striking out four across 4.2 innings.
Analysis
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Sticking around for another start
Tolle is slated to make his next start Tuesday against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre, Chris Henrique of BostonSportsJournal.com reports.
Analysis
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Racks up 11 punchouts in 2026 debut
Tolle allowed one run on three hits and one walk while striking out 11 batters over six innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Thursday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to pitch in relief
Tolle isn't expected to pitch as a reliever if he doesn't make the rotation out of spring training, according to Sean McAdam of MassLive.com.
Analysis
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.
The Red Sox are thin in terms of lefty relievers, as they have only three on their 40-man roster, but Tolle isn't expected to be considered as such in case he doesn't win a spot in the rotation out of spring training. Tolle made three starts and seven total appearances with the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season, posting a 6.06 ERA across 16.1 innings. He made his MLB debut on Aug. 29, 2025, so he doesn't have much experience at the big-league level.