Parker Messick

Parker Messick

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2026 Fantasy Outlook
While Messick is clearly a big-league starter due to the depth of his arsenal and his ability to handle a heavy workload, he performed a little over his head across seven starts in the majors to close 2025. Messick is a crafty, 25-year-old lefty with a burly 6-foot, 225-pound frame and three straight years of 121-plus innings. He logged a 3.47 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 18.8 K-BB% across 98.2 innings (20 starts) at Triple-A before logging a 2.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 38 strikeouts in 39.2 innings for the big club. His 3.6 percent walk rate and 47.9 percent groundball rate in the majors were easily better than any such rates he logged in the minors, while his 11.5 percent swinging-strike rate was lower than at any of his minor-league stops. Messick throws two distinct low-90s fastballs as well as a slider, curveball and changeup -- all of which were thrown at least 13 percent of the time in the majors. His two breaking balls have extreme horizontal movement and he logged a 31.2 percent whiff rate with his changeup, which is reserved primarily for right-handed batters. Given how well he pitched in the majors, Messick should be penciled into the Opening Day rotation, just don't expect him to prevent runs at the same clip over a full season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#308
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in August of 2025.
Wins rotation spot
PCleveland Guardians
March 21, 2026
Messick will begin the regular season in the Guardians' rotation, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
The race for the final spot came down to Messick and Logan Allen, and after the latter gave up a dozen runs in just 2.1 frames Friday, the Guardians decided to go with Messick. The 25-year-old southpaw performed well over seven starts during the late stages of the 2025 regular season, recording a 2.72 ERA and 1.31 WHIP alongside a 38:6 K:BB across 39.2 innings. His success has carried over into Cactus League play (3.60 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), though he gave up three solo home runs during his most recent spring outing.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .256 44 9 1 11 1 0 1
Since 2024vs Right .302 121 29 5 35 6 0 3
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .256 44 9 1 11 1 0 1
2025vs Right .302 121 29 5 35 6 0 3
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 2.50 1.06 18.0 2 1 0 8.5 1.0 1.5
Since 2024Away 2.91 1.52 21.2 1 0 0 8.7 1.7 0.4
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 2.50 1.06 18.0 2 1 0 8.5 1.0 1.5
2025Away 2.91 1.52 21.2 1 0 0 8.7 1.7 0.4
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Parker Messick compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.33
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
1.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
92.5 mph
 
ERA
2.72
 
WHIP
1.31
 
BABIP
.363
 
GB/FB
1.90
 
Left On Base
86.2%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.4%
 
Spin Rate
2098 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Parker Messick See More
Rotowire Staff
5 days ago
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Parker Messick See More
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Messick's dominance at Double-A last season oversells his pure stuff, but he's a crafty southpaw with a deep repertoire and good enough command to start. The 6-foot, 225-pound lefty was his normal solid self at High-A (20.1 K-BB%, 3.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but he took things up a notch at Double-A, logging a 2.06 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 24.3 K-BB% over 65.2 innings. Messick logged over 120 innings for the second year in a row, building up to a career-best 133.2 frames while splitting the year evenly between High-A and Double-A. His low-90s fastball (touches 96 mph) has good movement, which allows the pitch to play up in the zone, and his low-80s changeup is a borderline plus offering. He also mixes in a cutter, slider and curveball, none of which are above-average, but they're good enough offerings to keep hitters off balance. The Guardians have no shortage of rotation options in the upper levels of the minors, and Messick isn't on the 40-man roster yet, but he could still pitch his way to the show in the second half of 2025.
More Fantasy News
Stung by homers
PCleveland Guardians
March 20, 2026
Messick allowed four runs on seven hits while striking out three over 5.2 innings in Thursday's spring start against Kansas City.
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Strong effort Monday
PCleveland Guardians
March 10, 2026
Messick allowed two hits and one walk while striking out four over 4.2 scoreless innings in Monday's spring start against the Royals.
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Competing for rotation spot
PCleveland Guardians
February 22, 2026
Messick is one of four pitchers competing for three available spots in the Guardians' rotation, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
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Tagged for three homers in loss
PCleveland Guardians
September 25, 2025
Messick (3-1) took the loss Thursday against the Tigers, giving up four runs on six hits and a walk while striking out seven over five innings.
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Fans nine, settles for no-decision
PCleveland Guardians
September 20, 2025
Messick didn't factor into the decision Friday against the Twins, allowing two runs on five hits and one walk in 5.1 innings. He struck out nine.
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