Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

33-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
Day-To-Day
Injury Elbow
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta truthers were finally able to rejoice in 2025, as the enigmatic pitcher finally put together the season prognosticators and fans believed Pivetta could put together on an annual basis. The hurler crossed the country in free agency and found a home in San Diego, where he set career highs in wins, ERA, quality starts, strikeouts and, most importantly, his lowest home run total as a starter. Pivetta has long teased about his potential with strikeouts and control, but command issues in the strikezone along with the unforgiving run environments of Philadelphia and Boston led to too many home runs and annual ERAs over 4.00. Petco Park and the marine layer helped him put it all together, as Pivetta was able to avoid everything that had ailed him in the past. He adjusted his repertoire to include seven pitch types, and now throws at least five different pitches to both righties and lefties. The .235 BABIP and 79 percent LOB percentage are both career bests, so it would be wise to bake in some regression for 2026 and at least look for something halfway between 2024 and 2025 results. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#99
ADP
Signed a four-year, $55 million contract with the Padres in February of 2025. Contract includes opt-outs after 2026 and 2027.
Dealing with right elbow issue
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
April 12, 2026
Pivetta exited Sunday's start versus Colorado in the fourth inning with right elbow stiffness.
Analysis
Pivetta was cruising through three innings before he was suddenly unable to continue. The 33-year-old's injury was initially unspecified, but it is now understood to be an issue with his pitching elbow. It certainly doesn't sound like a positive outcome for Pivetta, who has now strung together 13 innings of two-run ball while striking out 20 batters in his last three outings. The Padres will likely have the right-hander undergo additional testing in the near future to determine the severity of his elbow issue.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
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2018
2017
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Nick Pivetta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Pivetta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2026
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .191 674 195 51 118 24 3 18
Since 2024vs Right .233 699 187 41 151 22 3 32
2026vs Left .286 31 12 3 8 3 0 0
2026vs Right .174 26 8 3 4 1 0 0
2025vs Left .185 354 93 27 60 12 1 7
2025vs Right .205 367 97 23 69 7 1 15
2024vs Left .188 289 90 21 50 9 2 11
2024vs Right .271 306 82 15 78 14 2 17
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2026
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.14 1.01 183.1 12 8 0 10.7 2.7 0.8
Since 2024Away 3.96 1.11 157.0 8 11 0 9.5 2.1 1.9
2026Home 6.75 1.63 8.0 1 1 0 13.5 5.6 0.0
2026Away 3.60 1.00 5.0 0 1 0 14.4 1.8 0.0
2025Home 2.36 0.86 103.0 8 1 0 9.9 2.4 0.8
2025Away 3.55 1.14 78.2 5 4 0 8.8 2.6 1.5
2024Home 3.86 1.16 72.1 3 6 0 11.4 2.9 1.0
2024Away 4.42 1.09 73.1 3 6 0 9.8 1.6 2.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.33
 
K/9
13.8
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
5.54
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.419
 
GB/FB
0.73
 
Left On Base
55.6%
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
1.3%
 
Spin Rate
2388 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
13.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Pivetta See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
After bouncing between the bullpen and rotation in 2023, Pivetta was mostly a starter in 2024. He once again had stretches of dominance but had an up-and-down season. The right-hander finished with a 4.14 ERA (3.51 xERA) over 145.2 innings. Pivetta lived in the strike zone - not unusual - with success (28.9 strikeout percentage) and failure (1.7 HR/9). He tends to hit a lot of barrels which can lead to elevated hard-hit rates, but he's pitched in a difficult market, missed some bats and doesn't walk many. That sounds like a major league starter, and the Red Sox extended him a $21.05 million qualifying offer, triple what he made in 2024. While the payday was enticing, Pivetta rejected the offer and will seek a multi-year offer. A couple of sources estimated he could get a three-year deal in the $50-60 million range.
After eight starts, Pivetta was sporting a 6.30 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with 42 strikeouts and nine homers allowed in 40 innings. He was moved to a multi-inning relief role where he excelled, posting a 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over 12 appearances spanning 20 frames. He fanned 25 with just one homer in that stretch. Pivetta spent the last three months of the season jumping between the rotation and serving as a bulk reliever, registering a 3.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his final 82.2 innings, punching out 116 while surrendering a reasonable 13 homers. Pivetta's velocity picked up after he was initially demoted to the bullpen, and he started throwing his slider with more cutting action, both tweaks fueling Pivetta's second half success. He's a bit of a wild card this season as Pivetta exhibited success in several roles, and seemed to be at his best when he wasn't expected to pitch more than five frames, though he ended the season with two scoreless seven-inning starts. Pivetta's second half success can't be ignored, but paying for a repeat is a precarious proposition.
Pivetta struggled early and late in 2022 with a 6.52 ERA between his first five and final eight outings of the season, but he pitched much better during the heart of the campaign with a 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 118:38 K:BB across his other 20 starts. Now entering his age-30 season, Pivetta lost a tick off his fastball and saw his strikeout rate drop nearly four percentage points to 22.6 percent compared to 2021, and he had a career-worst 45.4 percent hard-hit rate. He has a 4.54 ERA across 63 starts for Boston across the past two seasons and has a secure rotation spot heading into 2023, but his inconsistency makes him a difficult option to trust for fantasy managers. Pivetta's best value is likely to come as a streaming option.
Pivetta was one of the league's biggest first half surprises as he was sitting with a 3.78 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in early June. His 11.4% BB% was high, but a dominant 27.3% K% minimized damage. This is when umpires were instructed to check for grip enhancers. From this point on, Pivetta recorded a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but his BB% significantly fell to 8.7% while his K% dipped only slightly 25.9%. Pivetta's curve and slider spin rates fell for the first five outings after the umpires did their search, but recovered for the remainder of the season. This points to variance, and not a tackier explanation. Considering Pivetta was all but written off, last season was encouraging, but walks and homers remain an issue. He's a rotation lock and the strikeouts and win potential are nice, but they come with ratio risk, and the AL East isn't an easy division to take advantage of favorable matchups.
Pivetta failed to win a starting job with the Phillies, so he began the 2020 season as a reliever. Through three appearances, Pivetta was sporting a 15.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP with three homers and just four whiffs in 5.2 innings. The struggles prompted Pivetta to lose his roster spot before he was dealt to the Red Sox on Aug. 21. Pivetta was stretched out at Boston's alternate training facility as the Red Sox viewed him as a starter. Pivetta was recalled and made two starts, each lasting five frames with four hits and one earned run allowed. In those 10 innings, he fanned 13 with five walks. The results were enough for Pivetta to get a spring audition as a back-end starter in Boston's depleted rotation. Pivetta will be just 28 years old and the Red Sox are hoping he can rediscover the promising skills displayed in his first two seasons. Perhaps a change of scenery will help, but the wait-and-see approach is recommended.
2019 was supposed to be Pivetta's breakout campaign, as his underlying numbers suggested that a big improvement from his 4.77 ERA was coming. Unfortunately for those who bought into the hype, that didn't come close to happening. He was sent to the minors in mid-April after posting an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts and never really got things together even after returning in late May, posting a 4.66 ERA the rest of way. He lost his rotation spot for good in mid-July, spending the rest of the year in the bullpen. Pivetta's rough season was the product of his numbers falling off across the board. His BB% rose from 7.4% to 9.3%, while his formerly promising 27.1 K% plummeted to 21.1 K%. He also saw his HR/9 balloon to 1.92. The Phillies don't have much reason to bring the Canadian back into the rotation, and there's little reason to believe he'll suddenly become a relief ace.
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs.
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Exits early Sunday
PSan Diego Padres
Undisclosed
April 12, 2026
Pivetta (undisclosed) exited Sunday's contest against the Rockies in the top of the fourth inning, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Strikes out eight in loss
PSan Diego Padres
April 7, 2026
Pivetta (1-2) took the loss Tuesday against the Pirates, allowing two runs on four hits and one walk with eight strikeouts across five innings.
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Rebounds in second start
PSan Diego Padres
April 1, 2026
Pivetta (1-1) allowed one hit and two walks while striking out eight over five scoreless innings to earn the win over the Giants on Wednesday.
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Roughed up on Opening Day
PSan Diego Padres
March 26, 2026
Pivetta (0-1) took the loss Thursday versus Detroit, allowing six runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out four batters over three innings.
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Receives Opening Day assignment
PSan Diego Padres
March 23, 2026
The Padres announced Pivetta as their starting pitcher for Thursday's season opener versus the Tigers at Petco Park.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Padres open to trade offers
PSan Diego Padres
December 8, 2025
The Padres are willing to entertain trade offers for Pivetta, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
A deal is considered unlikely, as the Padres need to add to their rotation, not subtract. However, they also need to rejigger their payroll and have limited avenues to accomplish that goal. Pivetta is owed $19 million in 2026 and can then opt out of the remaining two years and $32 million on his deal from 2027-2028. The right-hander posted a 2.87 ERA and 190:50 K:BB over 181.2 innings covering 31 regular-season starts for San Diego in 2025.
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