Mick Abel

Mick Abel

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Abel will be in contention for a starting rotation spot with the Twins after showing some promise last season. Abel has not lived up to his No. 15 overall draft pick selection in 2020 as before last season he had unimpressive ERAs and troubling walk rates (4.76 ERA the previous two seasons in Triple-A and Double-A with Philly). Able improved to begin the season at Triple-A with a 2.31 ERA, a 28.6% K% and career-best 10.1% BB% in 12 starts. He then dazzled in his first start in the majors with six scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and no walks. He struggled thereafter by allowing 14 earned runs in 19 innings with a 12:9 K:BB ratio. He was then traded to Minnesota where he continued to impress in the minors with a 1.85 ERA, 35.5% K% and 8.6% BB% in five starts. He then struggled in the majors again with the Twins giving up 13 earned runs in 14 innings. Abel has good velocity with a 96.2 mph average fastball that helps generate above-average strikeout rates (28.6% in Triple-A last year). His control is the main issue as he's never had a walk rate below 9% at at any level, but he did lower that rate at both levels last season. If he can continue to improve his control, he could win a rotation spot as early as this spring. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
#407
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'5"
Weight 210
DOB 8/18/2001
Born Portland, OR
College None
Drafted 1st Rd 2020 PHI
Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2025. Traded to the Twins in July of 2025.
Unofficially wins rotation spot
PMinnesota Twins
March 20, 2026
Abel is poised to begin the season in Minnesota's starting rotation after Zebby Matthews was optioned to Triple-A St. Paul on Friday, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
The Twins have yet to announce their official rotation plans, but Abel has apparently won the battle for the No. 5 spot. The 24-year-old was dominant during spring training with a 1.35 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and 17:1 K:BB across 13.1 innings. Abel struggled to a 6.23 ERA in 10 appearances between the Phillies and Twins in his first taste of the majors last season, but he should find more success if he's able to keep limiting free passes, as he's had a walk rate of at least nine percent at every professional level.
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .284 97 25 9 25 0 1 7
Since 2024vs Right .261 77 14 7 18 2 1 1
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .284 97 25 9 25 0 1 7
2025vs Right .261 77 14 7 18 2 1 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 8.69 1.98 19.2 1 3 0 10.5 5.5 3.2
Since 2024Away 3.72 1.03 19.1 2 1 0 7.4 1.9 0.5
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 8.69 1.98 19.2 1 3 0 10.5 5.5 3.2
2025Away 3.72 1.03 19.1 2 1 0 7.4 1.9 0.5
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Mick Abel compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.44
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
96.2 mph
 
ERA
6.23
 
WHIP
1.51
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
64.9%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2475 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Mick Abel Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Twins Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2021
Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025. The Phillies added him to the 40-man roster, which is the natural thing to do with a pitcher you've invested this much in, but Abel's name value and pedigree are doing all of the lifting with regards to any remaining perceived dynasty value.
Abel may have been passed by Andrew Painter as the most exciting pitching prospect in the Phillies' organization, but he got to spend 2023 as the team's most exciting healthy pitching prospect after Painter suffered an elbow injury in March which wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. In some circumstances, that status would have led Abel to a potentially premature MLB debut, but the Phillies didn't wind up needing to reach into their minor-league system for additional depth, and Abel's numbers in 22 outings for Double-A Reading meant he wasn't forcing his way in. Abel's 27.5% strikeout rate was strong and was nearly an exact match for his 27.6% mark from 2022, but his already worrisome 10.6% walk rate jumped all the way to 13.5%. The result was a rather ordinary 4.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Abel won't turn 23 until August, so he has plenty of time to get his 6-foot-5 frame under control and learn to find the zone on a more regular basis. If he does, his stuff will make him a frontline arm, but each season in which he continues to walk too many batters increases the likelihood that he tops out as an unreliable back-end starter or a reliever.
The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline.
The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.
More Fantasy News
Ends scoreless streak
PMinnesota Twins
March 13, 2026
Abel gave up two earned runs over 3.1 innings with four strikeouts and one walk Friday, ending a 10-inning scoreless streak. He has a 1.35 ERA with a 17:1 K:BB in 13.1 innings this spring.
Analysis
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Shines in spring debut
PMinnesota Twins
February 24, 2026
Abel threw three scoreless innings with five strikeouts and no walks in his spring debut Monday against Detroit. He reached 97 mph with his fastball during the outing, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
Analysis
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Impressive live batting practice
PMinnesota Twins
February 17, 2026
Abel was impressive in Tuesday's live batting practice, hitting 96-to-98 mph with his fastball, Bobby Nightengale of The Minneapolis Star-Tribune reports. "Abel is one of those guys that, I mean, you guys saw it last year, what he did to the Phillies late in the year," manager Derek Shelton said. "He's got electric stuff."
Analysis
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Dazzles in first win
PMinnesota Twins
September 27, 2025
Abel (1-2) earned the win Saturday against the Phillies, allowing three hits and one walk in six scoreless innings. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Drawing start Saturday
PMinnesota Twins
September 25, 2025
Abel is scheduled to start Saturday in Philadelphia.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
PPhiladelphia Phillies
June 12, 2024
The Phillies could consider trading Abel to improve the major-league roster this summer, reports Adam Aaronson of The Philly Voice.
Analysis
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.
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