15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/1/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
3.98
WHIP
1.57
K
23
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Abel will be in contention for a starting rotation spot with the Twins after showing some promise last season. Abel has not lived up to his No. 15 overall draft pick selection in 2020 as before last season he had unimpressive ERAs and troubling walk rates (4.76 ERA the previous two seasons in Triple-A and Double-A with Philly). Able improved to begin the season at Triple-A with a 2.31 ERA, a 28.6% K% and career-best 10.1% BB% in 12 starts. He then dazzled in his first start in the majors with six scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and no walks. He struggled thereafter by allowing 14 earned runs in 19 innings with a 12:9 K:BB ratio. He was then traded to Minnesota where he continued to impress in the minors with a 1.85 ERA, 35.5% K% and 8.6% BB% in five starts. He then struggled in the majors again with the Twins giving up 13 earned runs in 14 innings. Abel has good velocity with a 96.2 mph average fastball that helps generate above-average strikeout rates (28.6% in Triple-A last year). His control is the main issue as he's never had a walk rate below 9% at at any level, but he did lower that rate at both levels last season. If he can continue to improve his control, he could win a rotation spot as early as this spring. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2026.
Surgery completed
Abel underwent successful arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Though Abel's procedure went as expected, the Twins aren't expected to provide a timeline for his return from the 15-day injured list until he receives a checkup a few weeks later, per Hayes. Initially placed on the IL on April 20 due to elbow inflammation, Abel had his rehab slowed due by triceps soreness in May before being cleared to begin a rehab assignment June 10 and then suffering another setback that prompted him to undergo surgery.
Though Abel's procedure went as expected, the Twins aren't expected to provide a timeline for his return from the 15-day injured list until he receives a checkup a few weeks later, per Hayes. Initially placed on the IL on April 20 due to elbow inflammation, Abel had his rehab slowed due by triceps soreness in May before being cleared to begin a rehab assignment June 10 and then suffering another setback that prompted him to undergo surgery.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Mick Abel generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Mick Abel generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-17%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .289 | 36 | 15 | 37 | 7 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .257 | 26 | 11 | 28 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .300 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .250 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .284 | 25 | 9 | 25 | 7 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .261 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
ERA on Road
2026
-84%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 5.65 | 1.61 | 36.2 | 10.3 | 4.4 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 5.16 | 1.41 | 22.2 | 7.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 2.12 | 1.18 | 17.0 | 10.1 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2026Away | 13.50 | 3.60 | 3.1 | 10.8 | 10.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 8.69 | 1.98 | 19.2 | 10.5 | 5.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.72 | 1.03 | 19.1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Mick Abel compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.30K/9
10.2BB/9
4.4HR/9
0.0Fastball
94.8 mphERA
3.98WHIP
1.57BABIP
.390GB/FB
1.24Left On Base
71.9%Exit Velocity
81.0 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2378 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.2%Swinging Strike
13.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2021
Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025. The Phillies added him to the 40-man roster, which is the natural thing to do with a pitcher you've invested this much in, but Abel's name value and pedigree are doing all of the lifting with regards to any remaining perceived dynasty value.
More Fantasy News
Set for elbow scope
The Twins announced Wednesday that Abel will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.
Analysis
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Dealing with swelling in elbow
The Twins announced Monday that Abel was diagnosed with swelling in his right elbow following an MRI but avoided any ligament damage, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Suffers setback, set for MRI
Twins manager Derek Shelton said that Abel (elbow) had a setback with his recovery after his 20-pitch bullpen session Friday and won't return from the 15-day injured list this weekend, Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
Analysis
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Lined up to start Sunday
Abel (elbow) will travel with the Twins to Arizona this weekend and appears in line to return from the 15-day injured list for a start Sunday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Sharp in first rehab outing
Abel (elbow) struck out five and permitted two hits and no walks over three scoreless frames in his first rehab start with Triple-A St. Paul on Wednesday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
The Phillies could consider trading Abel to improve the major-league roster this summer, reports Adam Aaronson of The Philly Voice.
Analysis
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.