2026 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
3.98
WHIP
1.57
K
23
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Abel will be in contention for a starting rotation spot with the Twins after showing some promise last season. Abel has not lived up to his No. 15 overall draft pick selection in 2020 as before last season he had unimpressive ERAs and troubling walk rates (4.76 ERA the previous two seasons in Triple-A and Double-A with Philly). Able improved to begin the season at Triple-A with a 2.31 ERA, a 28.6% K% and career-best 10.1% BB% in 12 starts. He then dazzled in his first start in the majors with six scoreless innings with nine strikeouts and no walks. He struggled thereafter by allowing 14 earned runs in 19 innings with a 12:9 K:BB ratio. He was then traded to Minnesota where he continued to impress in the minors with a 1.85 ERA, 35.5% K% and 8.6% BB% in five starts. He then struggled in the majors again with the Twins giving up 13 earned runs in 14 innings. Abel has good velocity with a 96.2 mph average fastball that helps generate above-average strikeout rates (28.6% in Triple-A last year). His control is the main issue as he's never had a walk rate below 9% at at any level, but he did lower that rate at both levels last season. If he can continue to improve his control, he could win a rotation spot as early as this spring. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2026.
Fans career-high 10 in dominant win
Abel (1-2) earned the win Tuesday against the Red Sox, allowing no runs on four hits while striking out 10 over seven innings.
Analysis
Abel turned in the best start of his young career, tossing seven scoreless innings while setting a new career high in strikeouts with 10. The right-hander was overpowering throughout, including a stretch during which he struck out five consecutive batters. After a rocky start to the season, Abel has looked dominant over his last two outings, combining for 16 strikeouts and no runs allowed across 13 innings. The 24-year-old has now lowered his season ERA to 3.98 with a 1.57 WHIP and 23:10 K:BB across 20.1 innings and will look to stay hot in his next scheduled start against a Mets lineup that has gotten off to a sluggish start offensively.
Abel turned in the best start of his young career, tossing seven scoreless innings while setting a new career high in strikeouts with 10. The right-hander was overpowering throughout, including a stretch during which he struck out five consecutive batters. After a rocky start to the season, Abel has looked dominant over his last two outings, combining for 16 strikeouts and no runs allowed across 13 innings. The 24-year-old has now lowered his season ERA to 3.98 with a 1.57 WHIP and 23:10 K:BB across 20.1 innings and will look to stay hot in his next scheduled start against a Mets lineup that has gotten off to a sluggish start offensively.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Mick Abel generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Mick Abel generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-17%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .289 | 36 | 15 | 37 | 7 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .257 | 26 | 11 | 28 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .300 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .250 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .284 | 25 | 9 | 25 | 7 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .261 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
ERA on Road
2026
-84%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 5.65 | 1.61 | 36.2 | 10.3 | 4.4 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 5.16 | 1.41 | 22.2 | 7.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 2.12 | 1.18 | 17.0 | 10.1 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2026Away | 13.50 | 3.60 | 3.1 | 10.8 | 10.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 8.69 | 1.98 | 19.2 | 10.5 | 5.5 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.72 | 1.03 | 19.1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Mick Abel compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.30K/9
10.2BB/9
4.4HR/9
0.0Fastball
94.8 mphERA
3.98WHIP
1.57BABIP
.390GB/FB
1.24Left On Base
71.9%Exit Velocity
80.2 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2341 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
14.8%Swinging Strike
13.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2021
Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025. The Phillies added him to the 40-man roster, which is the natural thing to do with a pitcher you've invested this much in, but Abel's name value and pedigree are doing all of the lifting with regards to any remaining perceived dynasty value.
More Fantasy News
Six shutout innings in no-decision
Abel didn't factor into the decision Thursday against the Tigers, allowing four hits and three walks with six strikeouts across six shutout innings.
Analysis
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Tagged with loss Saturday
Abel (0-2) was charged with the loss Saturday against the Rays after allowing four runs on six hits and three walks while fanning three across four innings.
Analysis
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Makes season debut in relief
Abel (0-1) was the pitcher of record in Sunday's 8-6 loss to the Orioles after allowing five earned runs on eight hits and four walks while striking out four batters over 3.1 innings of relief.
Analysis
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Unofficially wins rotation spot
Abel is poised to begin the season in Minnesota's starting rotation after Zebby Matthews was optioned to Triple-A St. Paul on Friday, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Ends scoreless streak
Abel gave up two earned runs over 3.1 innings with four strikeouts and one walk Friday, ending a 10-inning scoreless streak. He has a 1.35 ERA with a 17:1 K:BB in 13.1 innings this spring.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
The Phillies could consider trading Abel to improve the major-league roster this summer, reports Adam Aaronson of The Philly Voice.
Analysis
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.
Philadelphia has been reluctant to part with top prospects in recent years, but 2024 could be different with the club holding the best record in the National League. Abel has struggled at the Triple-A level this season with a 6.31 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 39:33 K:BB across 45.2 innings, so the Phillies wouldn't be selling high, but the 22-year-old could still turn things around ahead of the trade deadline.