Michael Toglia

Michael Toglia

26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Colorado Rockies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Toglia played in 45 games for the Rockies last season but spent the final month of the campaign in the minors. He had a .163/.224/.284 slash line with four homers in 152 plate appearances, and he had a 34.6 percent strikeout rate through 76 career big-league contests. The 2019 first-round pick had an .842 OPS with 16 homers in 78 games at Triple-A in 2023, so he has little else to prove offensively at the minor-league level. Toglia should have a chance to earn a place on Colorado's Opening Day roster, but his opportunities are likely to be inconsistent without a significant improvement. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#201
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rockies in March of 2024.
Knocks in two
1BColorado Rockies
September 27, 2024
Toglia went 3-for-4 with a double, a walk, and two RBI on Thursday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Toglia snapped out of a very short slump, as he entered Thursday's contest with only one hit across 14 at-bats in his last four games. He's enjoyed a breakout season and has picked things up in the second half, maintaining a .340 wOBA and .782 OPS with 35 runs scored and 21 RBI across 62 games.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
19
23
14
9
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
7
9
10
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+146%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .668 230 23 10 25 1 .202 .274 .394
Since 2022vs Right .703 499 67 21 51 11 .208 .293 .411
2024vs Left .833 146 18 9 19 1 .236 .329 .504
2024vs Right .736 311 44 16 36 9 .210 .302 .434
2023vs Left .255 48 2 0 1 0 .109 .146 .109
2023vs Right .628 104 16 4 8 1 .189 .260 .368
2022vs Left .594 36 3 1 5 0 .200 .222 .371
2022vs Right .679 84 7 1 7 1 .224 .298 .382
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2023
Even Split
2022
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .713 361 46 10 33 7 .227 .319 .394
Since 2022Away .672 368 44 21 43 5 .186 .255 .416
2024Home .761 228 30 8 22 5 .235 .338 .423
2024Away .772 229 32 17 33 5 .202 .284 .488
2023Home .506 81 10 1 4 1 .178 .259 .247
2023Away .507 71 8 3 5 0 .147 .183 .324
2022Home .827 52 6 1 7 1 .271 .327 .500
2022Away .521 68 4 1 5 0 .175 .235 .286
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Stat Review
How does Michael Toglia compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.37
 
BB Rate
11.8%
 
K Rate
32.2%
 
BABIP
.270
 
ISO
.238
 
AVG
.218
 
OBP
.311
 
SLG
.456
 
OPS
.767
 
wOBA
.334
 
Exit Velocity
92.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
45.1%
 
Barrels/PA
9.6%
 
Expected BA
.244
 
Expected SLG
.503
 
Sprint Speed
23.9 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
36.1%
 
Line Drive %
21.6%
 
Fly Ball %
42.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Michael Toglia See More
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72 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
Toglia has a path to playing time at Coors Field, which by itself is enough to put him on the fantasy map. Whether he has anything to offer beyond his role and home park remains to be seen. The 2019 first-round pick's first taste of the big leagues last year didn't go particularly well. He got the call at the tail end of August and went on to hit .216/.275/.378 in 31 games while struggling to a 36.7 K%. To be fair to him, he'd only played in 17 Triple-A games to that point, and those couldn't have gone much better, as he posted a 1.171 OPS. His struggles in the majors suggest he could use more seasoning in the minors, and the Rockies aren't famous for moving young players quickly, but the lack of quality options in front of him means a good camp could nonetheless earn him a starting role. Even if he wins one, however, he might not be good for anything other than power, as he struck out 28.7 percent of the time throughout his minor-league career and offers little with his legs or glove.
The No. 23 overall pick in 2019, Toglia has yet to make his full-season debut and he is already 22, but he is still one of the best hitting prospects in Colorado's farm system, somewhat by default. The 6-foot-5, 226-pound first baseman can also play the outfield, and unlike most sluggers his size, he projects to add value with his glove. A switch hitter, Toglia does more damage from the left side, where he displays plus power to all fields. He projects to walk at a high clip, but given his size and the 25.6 K% he logged in short-season ball after signing in 2019, strikeouts should also be a noticeable part of the equation as he moves up the ladder. The Rockies seem to be half-heartedly entertaining a rebuild, which would clear the way for Toglia in a year or two. He played at the alternate site and in the fall instructional league. Look for him to split the 2021 season between High-A and Double-A.
On the one hand, it is immensely valuable in fantasy to have an everyday position player who plays half his games in Colorado. On the other hand, the Rockies' organizational depth chart is quite crowded and the front office has shown a willingness to bring in washed up veterans to block promising players like Ryan McMahon and Garrett Hampson. It's impossible to know if Toglia will get a fair shake at first base in a few years, but he has the type of offensive upside that is easy to dream on. Selected out of UCLA with the No. 23 overall pick, Toglia has easy plus power to all fields and a patient approach (15.9 BB% in the Northwest League). The 6-foot-5 switch hitter's swing is a little long, which will probably always lead to strikeout percentages in the mid-to-upper 20s, but the OBP and power of a middle-of-the-order masher should be consistently on display as he climbs the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Reaches 25-homer mark
1BColorado Rockies
September 20, 2024
Toglia went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and a double in Friday's 6-4 loss to the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Belts homer in win
1BColorado Rockies
September 14, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 6-5 extra-inning win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Powers Rockies to win
1BColorado Rockies
September 6, 2024
Toglia went 2-for-3 with a three-run homer, a double and a walk in Friday's 3-2 victory over Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs 22nd homer
1BColorado Rockies
September 6, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-3 with a solo home run, two runs scored and a stolen base Thursday against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Huge performance in win
1BColorado Rockies
August 24, 2024
Toglia went 2-for-3 with a solo home run, a walk and three additional runs scored in Saturday's 9-2 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receiving run at first
1BColorado Rockies
May 26, 2023
C.J. Cron doesn't have a clear timeline for his return from a back injury, according to Patrick Lyons of TheDNVR.com, which should allow Toglia to continue seeing regular reps at first base for the near future.
ANALYSIS
Toglia has six starts at first base in 10 games since Cron landed on the injured list, though he has yet to find much success at the plate with a .174/.240/.217 slash line. Mike Moustakas started the other four contests at first and could take a larger share of the playing time if Toglia's offensive struggles persist.
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