Luis Medina

Luis Medina

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/15/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Featuring a high-octane fastball and wicked slider, Medina enjoyed some nice stretches in 2023 and was a popular streamer at times, but he finished his rookie campaign with a rough 5.42 ERA and 1.51 WHIP across 17 starts and six relief appearances. He had the fourth-worst walk percentage (11.5) of the 127 major-league pitchers who logged more than 100 innings and turned in a 3-10 record for an Athletics team that lost 112 games and probably won't be any better in 2024. This wasn't a case of first-year jitters, either, as Medina also had real trouble finding the strike zone as he made his way through the minors. Maybe he can take a sudden step forward from a command standpoint, but it's not something to count on come draft day. On any other team, he might already be stuck in a permanent bullpen role at age 24. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#393
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in March of 2024.
Gets Tommy John surgery
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 7, 2024
Medina (elbow) underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday in Arlington, Texas, Jason Burke of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Since the Tommy John surgery is the first known elbow procedure of Medina's career, he should have a good chance at returning to pitching in games in 12-to-14 months, provided he experiences no setbacks in the rehab process. The timing of the surgery nonetheless means that Medina will be sidelined through most, if not all, of the 2025 season. Medina turned in a 5.18 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 40 innings over his eight starts with Oakland before being shut down with a right elbow sprain in mid-July and eventually going under the knife.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Luis Medina generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Luis Medina generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .259 311 57 38 69 16 2 5
Since 2022vs Right .262 362 81 39 83 25 1 13
2024vs Left .244 94 15 11 20 3 0 2
2024vs Right .311 86 17 9 23 7 0 2
2023vs Left .266 217 42 27 49 13 2 3
2023vs Right .247 276 64 30 60 18 1 11
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.83 1.49 72.2 4 5 0 7.6 4.7 1.1
Since 2022Away 5.84 1.57 77.0 1 9 0 9.0 4.6 1.1
2024Home 4.70 1.76 15.1 2 1 0 4.1 5.9 0.6
2024Away 5.47 1.46 24.2 0 3 0 9.1 3.6 1.1
2023Home 4.87 1.41 57.1 2 4 0 8.5 4.4 1.3
2023Away 6.02 1.62 52.1 1 6 0 8.9 5.0 1.0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luis Medina compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.60
 
K/9
7.2
 
BB/9
4.5
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
5.18
 
WHIP
1.58
 
BABIP
.326
 
GB/FB
1.07
 
Left On Base
67.9%
 
Exit Velocity
83.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.4%
 
Spin Rate
2314 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.9%
 
Swinging Strike
9.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2018
Medina remains one of the game's ultimate boom or bust prospects. He was added to the 40-man roster this offseason despite having never pitched above High-A and was reportedly touching 102 mph with his fastball at the alternate site. He also has a devastating plus-plus curveball and a changeup that is at least plus. Medina was named the Pitcher of the Year in the Puerto Rican winter league after logging a 32:6 K:BB in 16.2 innings. That's not a tough league for someone with Medina's stuff, but the fact that he threw enough strikes to dominate is still an encouraging sign, given his longstanding command/control woes. He also finished 2019 on an upward trajectory, posting a 1.77 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 63 strikeouts over his final 45.2 innings. If he comes out this year throwing enough strikes to dominate at Double-A, the hype will start to build, but he could just as easily log a BB% north of 15%.
The ultimate high-risk/high-reward prospect, Medina could develop into an ace. He could also amount to nothing of value in fantasy. Those who follow prospects know this has long been the case, but 2019 was the first time he actually started flashing his ridiculously high ceiling over a prolonged stretch. Medina had a 3.72 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 93 strikeouts over his final 72.2 innings, and was truly dominant (1.77 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 63 strikeouts) over his final 45.2 innings. Shaky command/control was always his biggest weakness, so it was encouraging to see him walk two or fewer batters in six of his final eight starts, including a two-start run at High-A to close the year. He has an 80-grade fastball, 70-grade curveball and a changeup that flashes as a 60-grade pitch. That's a frontline arsenal. If his command gains are real and he stays healthy, Medina could finish 2020 as a top-five pitching prospect.
Reading into Medina's numbers in rookie ball is an exercise in futility. He is 18 years old, has a projectable 6-foot-2, 196-pound frame, and can park his fastball at 98 mph and reach back for easy triple-digit gas when needed. Those three characteristics are far more important to consider than any box score stats posted between stops in the Dominican Summer League and Appalachian League. A curveball that easily projects as a future plus offering gives him a realistic ninth-inning floor, and a changeup that also shows plus potential points to No. 1 starter ceiling. His command/control was obviously an issue last season. He walked at least two batters in all 10 outings, and only logged five innings twice. However, it takes time to harness such an electric arsenal. Medina may not be quite ready to open the year in a full-season league, but he'll almost certainly finish the year in one. His control issues could lead to more growing pains than the typical high-end pitching prospect, but the reward could also be unique.
More Fantasy News
Shifts to 60-day IL
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 2, 2024
The Athletics transferred Medina (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoing Tommy John surgery
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 25, 2024
Medina will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery Aug. 6, Brent Maguire of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Seeking second opinion on elbow
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 22, 2024
Medina (elbow) will seek a second opinion on the UCL damage that's sidelined him since July 13, the Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to miss 'significant time'
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 14, 2024
Medina, who was placed on the injured list Saturday with a right elbow sprain, is expected to miss "significant time" according to manager Mark Kotsay, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits IL with elbow sprain
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 13, 2024
The Athletics placed Medina on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a right elbow sprain.
ANALYSIS
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