60-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 6/16/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
0.84
WHIP
1.03
K
17
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Brown, a fifth-round pick out of Wayne State University in 2019, made tremendous strides over the past couple years after posting an ERA north of 5.00 as a rookie. His 2.43 ERA in 2025 was less than half that and more than a full run below his 2024 mark (3.49). On the strength of a six-pitch mix highlighted by the four-seamer, sinker and knuckle curve, Brown broke out for Houston last season to earn his first All-Star selection, finishing as a Cy Young finalist in the AL. He cleared 200 strikeouts for the first time in his career while holding opponents to a combined .201 batting average, a top-10 mark among qualified starters in MLB. Brown has learned to keep the ball in the park, he neutralizes hitters on both sides of the plate and seems likely to improve upon his career high of 12 wins from a season ago. Both the player and organization deserve credit for developing this arm into one that nearly reached the pinnacle of the profession in 2025, though it will be tough to maintain that level of success. The underlying numbers portend something closer to a low-3.00s ERA as opposed to mid-2.00s. Read Past Outlooks
Rejoining rotation Tuesday
Brown (shoulder) will be reinstated from the 60-day injured list to start Tuesday's game against the Tigers, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
The right-hander has fully recovered from a Grade 2 shoulder strain and is ready to rejoin the Astros after completing a four-start rehab assignment. Brown built up to five innings and 78 pitches during his final rehab outing with Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday, so he may have only a minor workload restriction in his first start with Houston after the lengthy absence. The 27-year-old was dominant in his first two starts of the season prior to being shelved April 5, giving up just one run on five hits with a 17:6 K:BB across 10.2 innings.
The right-hander has fully recovered from a Grade 2 shoulder strain and is ready to rejoin the Astros after completing a four-start rehab assignment. Brown built up to five innings and 78 pitches during his final rehab outing with Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday, so he may have only a minor workload restriction in his first start with Houston after the lengthy absence. The 27-year-old was dominant in his first two starts of the season prior to being shelved April 5, giving up just one run on five hits with a 17:6 K:BB across 10.2 innings.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Hunter Brown generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Hunter Brown generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-59%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .199 | 225 | 80 | 137 | 19 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .240 | 177 | 43 | 157 | 16 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .071 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .174 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .195 | 115 | 40 | 65 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .208 | 91 | 17 | 68 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .209 | 103 | 37 | 71 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .279 | 76 | 23 | 85 | 8 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
ERA at Home
2026
-100%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.71 | 1.08 | 182.2 | 10.1 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.04 | 1.20 | 183.1 | 9.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0.84 | 1.03 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2026Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.30 | 0.98 | 86.0 | 10.5 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.54 | 1.07 | 99.1 | 9.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.35 | 1.19 | 86.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.64 | 1.36 | 84.0 | 9.6 | 2.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Hunter Brown compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.83K/9
14.3BB/9
5.1HR/9
0.0Fastball
96.1 mphERA
0.84WHIP
1.03BABIP
.277GB/FB
1.67Left On Base
90.9%Exit Velocity
80.3 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2270 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
17.0%Swinging Strike
10.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
In eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA and a 5.52 FIP, and he allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, three walks and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4 percent K-BB percentage the rest of this season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped, as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch, and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an actual batting average against over .250, and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties, keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to its overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate?
More Fantasy News
Making another rehab start
Brown (shoulder) will make his next start at Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Nearing IL reinstatement
Astros manager Joe Espada said Friday that the team is weighing whether to have Brown (shoulder) make one more rehab start in the minors before returning from the 60-day injured list, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Next rehab start set
Brown (shoulder) will make his next rehab start with Triple-A Sugar Land on Thursday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Analysis
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Shifting rehab to Triple-A
Brown (shoulder) will make his next rehab start this weekend at Triple-A Sugar Land, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Eyeing mid-June return from IL
Brown (shoulder) struck out five and gave up one hit and no walks over two scoreless innings Sunday in a rehab start for Double-A Corpus Christi.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finalist for AL Cy Young
Brown has been named a finalist for the 2025 American League Cy Young Award.
Analysis
Brown made at least 30 starts for the second consecutive campaign in 2025, and he had excellent numbers with a 2.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and a career-high 206 strikeouts across 31 starts and 185.1 innings in the regular season. He's competing with Garrett Crochet and Tarik Skubal for the AL Cy Young award.
Brown made at least 30 starts for the second consecutive campaign in 2025, and he had excellent numbers with a 2.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and a career-high 206 strikeouts across 31 starts and 185.1 innings in the regular season. He's competing with Garrett Crochet and Tarik Skubal for the AL Cy Young award.










