15-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 5/29/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
0.84
WHIP
1.03
K
17
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Brown, a fifth-round pick out of Wayne State University in 2019, made tremendous strides over the past couple years after posting an ERA north of 5.00 as a rookie. His 2.43 ERA in 2025 was less than half that and more than a full run below his 2024 mark (3.49). On the strength of a six-pitch mix highlighted by the four-seamer, sinker and knuckle curve, Brown broke out for Houston last season to earn his first All-Star selection, finishing as a Cy Young finalist in the AL. He cleared 200 strikeouts for the first time in his career while holding opponents to a combined .201 batting average, a top-10 mark among qualified starters in MLB. Brown has learned to keep the ball in the park, he neutralizes hitters on both sides of the plate and seems likely to improve upon his career high of 12 wins from a season ago. Both the player and organization deserve credit for developing this arm into one that nearly reached the pinnacle of the profession in 2025, though it will be tough to maintain that level of success. The underlying numbers portend something closer to a low-3.00s ERA as opposed to mid-2.00s. Read Past Outlooks
Has Grade 2 shoulder strain
Brown has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right shoulder strain and will be shut down from throwing "for a few weeks."
Analysis
Brown will have to get built back up following the shutdown period, so he is looking at a lengthy absence even if he doesn't encounter any setbacks. The right-hander had gotten off to an excellent start this season before getting hurt, yielding just one run with a 17:6 K:BB over 10.2 innings covering two outings.
Brown will have to get built back up following the shutdown period, so he is looking at a lengthy absence even if he doesn't encounter any setbacks. The right-hander had gotten off to an excellent start this season before getting hurt, yielding just one run with a 17:6 K:BB over 10.2 innings covering two outings.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Hunter Brown generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Hunter Brown generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-59%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .199 | 225 | 80 | 137 | 19 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .240 | 177 | 43 | 157 | 16 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .071 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .174 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .195 | 115 | 40 | 65 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .208 | 91 | 17 | 68 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .209 | 103 | 37 | 71 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .279 | 76 | 23 | 85 | 8 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-11%
ERA at Home
2026
-100%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.71 | 1.08 | 182.2 | 10.1 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.04 | 1.20 | 183.1 | 9.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0.84 | 1.03 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 5.1 | ||||
| 2026Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.30 | 0.98 | 86.0 | 10.5 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.54 | 1.07 | 99.1 | 9.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.35 | 1.19 | 86.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.64 | 1.36 | 84.0 | 9.6 | 2.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Hunter Brown compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.83K/9
14.3BB/9
5.1HR/9
0.0Fastball
96.1 mphERA
0.84WHIP
1.03BABIP
.277GB/FB
1.67Left On Base
90.9%Exit Velocity
80.3 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2270 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
17.0%Swinging Strike
10.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
In eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA and a 5.52 FIP, and he allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, three walks and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4 percent K-BB percentage the rest of this season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped, as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch, and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an actual batting average against over .250, and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties, keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to its overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate?
More Fantasy News
Lands on IL with shoulder strain
The Astros placed Brown on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to a right shoulder strain.
Analysis
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Strikes out eight in win Tuesday
Brown (1-0) earned the win against the Red Sox on Tuesday, allowing one run on one hit and two walks while striking out eight across six innings.
Analysis
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Strikes out nine in no-decision
Brown did not factor into the decision Thursday against the Angels, allowing four hits and four walks across 4.2 scoreless innings. He struck out nine.
Analysis
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Dominant in spring
Brown pitched four scoreless innings in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Nationals, issuing just two walks while striking out nine.
Analysis
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Named Opening Day starter
Manager Joe Espada announced Wednesday that Brown will start the Astros' Opening Day game March 26 versus the Angels at Daikin Park, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finalist for AL Cy Young
Brown has been named a finalist for the 2025 American League Cy Young Award.
Analysis
Brown made at least 30 starts for the second consecutive campaign in 2025, and he had excellent numbers with a 2.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and a career-high 206 strikeouts across 31 starts and 185.1 innings in the regular season. He's competing with Garrett Crochet and Tarik Skubal for the AL Cy Young award.
Brown made at least 30 starts for the second consecutive campaign in 2025, and he had excellent numbers with a 2.43 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and a career-high 206 strikeouts across 31 starts and 185.1 innings in the regular season. He's competing with Garrett Crochet and Tarik Skubal for the AL Cy Young award.










