Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/20/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
3-1
ERA
3.89
WHIP
1.41
K
27
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Javier posted career highs with 31 starts and 162 innings. However, his skills fell precipitously from the previous season. Most notably, Javier's slider wasn't nearly as effective, fueling a strikeout rate drop from 33.2 percent to 23.1 percent. His 3.44 BB/9 compared to a 3.15 BB/9 in 2022 suggests a decline in control, but Javier's BB% was nearly identical to the previous campaign. The reason is his BABIP last year was .272, 48 points higher than the .228 mark from 2022. The increase in base runners bumped up the plate appearance denominator in BB%. As a fly ball pitcher, a .272 BABIP is plausible; he was fortunate the prior season. Inconsistent release points rendered Javier's slider and four-seam fastball less dominant, but he showed signs of improvement down the stretch and into the postseason. The Astros are a smart organization, so Javier will probably make the needed adjustments. Still, expecting a rebound to 2022 levels is aggressive. Splitting the difference between the last two seasons is the sage approach. Read Past Outlooks
GM hoping for late July return
Astros general manager Dana Brown said Thursday that Javier (elbow) is projected to return in late July of next season, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
It's an ambitious timeline considering Javier underwent Tommy John surgery in June. Any projected timetable at this stage of rehab is approximate, but it does appear Brown expects Javier to have a good shot to contribute shortly after the All-Star break next season.
It's an ambitious timeline considering Javier underwent Tommy John surgery in June. Any projected timetable at this stage of rehab is approximate, but it does appear Brown expects Javier to have a good shot to contribute shortly after the All-Star break next season.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
77
How many pitches does Cristian Javier generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Cristian Javier generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-30%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-46%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .240 | 169 | 77 | 163 | 23 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .169 | 211 | 56 | 99 | 23 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .306 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .164 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 1 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .273 | 69 | 35 | 90 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .189 | 90 | 27 | 53 | 13 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .189 | 90 | 31 | 54 | 8 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .147 | 104 | 21 | 35 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-38%
ERA at Home
2024
-84%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 2.78 | 1.05 | 171.2 | 10.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.46 | 1.23 | 173.2 | 9.8 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.93 | 1.14 | 28.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2024Away | 12.15 | 2.55 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 9.5 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.71 | 1.21 | 68.0 | 9.4 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.17 | 1.31 | 94.0 | 8.4 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.26 | 0.89 | 75.2 | 11.4 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2022Away | 2.84 | 1.01 | 73.0 | 12.1 | 3.1 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Cristian Javier compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.42K/9
7.0BB/9
4.9HR/9
1.0Fastball
91.7 mphERA
3.89WHIP
1.41BABIP
.269GB/FB
0.53Left On Base
76.0%Exit Velocity
81.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2444 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
18.5%Swinging Strike
10.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
After throwing only 101.1 innings in 2021, Javier started the year in the bullpen with the intention of conserving innings for the playoffs. The plan worked perfectly as Javier ended up starting 25 of his 30 appearances, compiling 148.2 frames before dominating in the postseason. Javier benefited from a fortunate 83.6% LOB mark and .228 BABIP. With a 26% groundball rate, his low 9.1% HR/FB mark came in handy. Javier's success wasn't just luck-driven as he posted a career high 24.3% K-BB%, the eighth best among pitchers with at least 140 innings. He used his four-seamer 60% of the time and a slider at a 28% clip. These are Javier's best pitches, but he mixes in a curve and changeup. He's due an ERA correction, but the kid gloves should be off with Javier working with no innings restrictions. Fly ball pitchers carry extra risk, but Javier's 33% strikeout rate limits concerns, so he warrants SP2/SP3 status.
More Fantasy News
Moved to 60-day IL
The Astros transferred Javier (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tommy John surgery scheduled
Javier (forearm) is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery Thursday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes on IL for right forearm
The Astros placed Javier on the 15-day injured list Monday due to right forearm discomfort.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with forearm discomfort
Javier is dealing with forearm discomfort and didn't throw his scheduled bullpen session Sunday, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky results in no-decision
Javier did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over the Angels, allowing four runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out one over four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Losing rotation spot?
The Astros have yet to announce a starter for Wednesday's game against the Orioles, which would be Javier's typical turn through the rotation, per Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle.
ANALYSIS
Javier allowed two earned runs over five innings during his previous start but has a 6.99 ERA across his past 14 outings, dating back to June 21. The right-hander has been a staple of Houston's rotation over the past few years, but he's been unable to replicate the 3.05 ERA he posted from 2020-22 and could be at risk of losing his place in the rotation.
Javier allowed two earned runs over five innings during his previous start but has a 6.99 ERA across his past 14 outings, dating back to June 21. The right-hander has been a staple of Houston's rotation over the past few years, but he's been unable to replicate the 3.05 ERA he posted from 2020-22 and could be at risk of losing his place in the rotation.