2026 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
2.29
WHIP
1.27
K
20
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Early was one of the top lefty starters in the minors at the time of his Sept. 9 promotion to the majors, but he exceeded expectations across four big-league starts and earned a start in the playoffs. He tallied a 2.60 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 22.2 K-BB% and 50.0 GB% in 100.1 innings across Double-A and Triple-A and a 2.33 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 31.6 K-BB% in four big-league starts. A 23-year-old whose 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame is still projectable, Early has a bevy of quality offerings, with his sweeper serving as a devastating put-away pitch against lefties while his curveball and changeup are used to dispatch righties. Additionally, he relies on his 93-mph sinker against lefties and his 94-mph four-seamer against righties, showcasing a versatile repertoire that few seasoned big-league starters can match. Early has never logged a walk rate over 9.8 percent and he is good at suppressing hard contact. He also doesn't have a notable injury history, as he didn't add low-to-mid-90s fastball velocity until after he got into pro ball in 2023. Early may have been underrated in the minor leagues, but he generated a substantial amount of buzz in his first taste of the big leagues and should open 2026 in Boston's rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2026.
Sharp in first win of 2026
Early (1-0) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and two walks over six innings in a 9-5 victory over the Twins. He struck out five.
Analysis
The young southpaw delivered his first quality start of the season along with his first win, and the only blemish on his line was a first-inning solo shot by Austin Martin. Early tossed 52 of his 85 pitches for strikes, and he has yet to give up more than two runs in an outing in 2026. He'll take a 2.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 20:10 K:BB through 19.2 innings into his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home early next week against the Yankees.
The young southpaw delivered his first quality start of the season along with his first win, and the only blemish on his line was a first-inning solo shot by Austin Martin. Early tossed 52 of his 85 pitches for strikes, and he has yet to give up more than two runs in an outing in 2026. He'll take a 2.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 20:10 K:BB through 19.2 innings into his next trip to the mound, which is scheduled to come at home early next week against the Yankees.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Connelly Early generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Connelly Early generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-37%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-31%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .152 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .241 | 34 | 12 | 27 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .154 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .224 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .150 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .259 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-42%
ERA on Road
2026
-62%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.14 | 1.19 | 14.1 | 11.3 | 3.1 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 1.82 | 1.18 | 24.2 | 11.3 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2026Home | 4.50 | 1.75 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | ||||
| 2026Away | 1.72 | 1.15 | 15.2 | 9.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.61 | 0.97 | 10.1 | 12.2 | 0.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.00 | 1.22 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Connelly Early compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.00K/9
9.2BB/9
4.6HR/9
0.5Fastball
93.4 mphERA
2.29WHIP
1.27BABIP
.283GB/FB
1.18Left On Base
84.7%Exit Velocity
85.4 mphBarrels/BBE
7.7%Spin Rate
2096 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.8%Swinging Strike
9.0%Prospect Rankings History
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Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Goes 4.1 innings in no-decision
Early didn't factor into the decision Friday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on five hits and two walks with five strikeouts across 4.1 innings.
Analysis
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Goes four innings Saturday
Early did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Padres, allowing two runs on three hits and four walks with four strikeouts across four innings.
Analysis
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Strikes out six in no-decision
Early did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 3-2 loss to the Reds, allowing one run on five hits and two walks with six strikeouts over 5.1 innings.
Analysis
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Wins spot in Boston rotation
Early will open the season in the Boston rotation, making his first start Sunday in Cincinnati, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Makes Opening Day roster
Early has made the Red Sox's Opening Day roster, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks not happening
The Red Sox and Early aren't discussing a contract extension for the time being, according to Christopher Smith and Chris Cotillo of MassLive.
Analysis
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.