2026 Stats
W-L
5-5
ERA
3.81
WHIP
1.32
K
72
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Early was one of the top lefty starters in the minors at the time of his Sept. 9 promotion to the majors, but he exceeded expectations across four big-league starts and earned a start in the playoffs. He tallied a 2.60 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 22.2 K-BB% and 50.0 GB% in 100.1 innings across Double-A and Triple-A and a 2.33 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 31.6 K-BB% in four big-league starts. A 23-year-old whose 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame is still projectable, Early has a bevy of quality offerings, with his sweeper serving as a devastating put-away pitch against lefties while his curveball and changeup are used to dispatch righties. Additionally, he relies on his 93-mph sinker against lefties and his 94-mph four-seamer against righties, showcasing a versatile repertoire that few seasoned big-league starters can match. Early has never logged a walk rate over 9.8 percent and he is good at suppressing hard contact. He also doesn't have a notable injury history, as he didn't add low-to-mid-90s fastball velocity until after he got into pro ball in 2023. Early may have been underrated in the minor leagues, but he generated a substantial amount of buzz in his first taste of the big leagues and should open 2026 in Boston's rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2026.
Ineffective in fifth loss
Early (5-5) took the loss Sunday, allowing six runs on 11 hits and two walks over 4.2 innings against the Rangers. He struck out three.
Analysis
After allowing a leadoff long ball to Wyatt Langford, Early struggled to settle in, surrendering a three-run homer to Kyle Higashioka in the second inning and a two-run double to Brandon Nimmo in the fourth frame. He's allowed five home runs over the last three starts and 14 overall across 75.2 innings. It marked a season-worst outing for the southpaw in both hits and runs allowed, as his previous highs were six hits and five runs. Owning a 3.81 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 72:29 K:BB across 75.2 innings (14 starts), Early will look to get back on track next time out, tentatively scheduled for Saturday against the Mariners.
After allowing a leadoff long ball to Wyatt Langford, Early struggled to settle in, surrendering a three-run homer to Kyle Higashioka in the second inning and a two-run double to Brandon Nimmo in the fourth frame. He's allowed five home runs over the last three starts and 14 overall across 75.2 innings. It marked a season-worst outing for the southpaw in both hits and runs allowed, as his previous highs were six hits and five runs. Owning a 3.81 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 72:29 K:BB across 75.2 innings (14 starts), Early will look to get back on track next time out, tentatively scheduled for Saturday against the Mariners.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Connelly Early generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Connelly Early generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-16%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .202 | 32 | 6 | 19 | 4 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .257 | 69 | 27 | 69 | 10 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .216 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 4 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .256 | 53 | 24 | 55 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .150 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .259 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-39%
ERA on Road
2026
-41%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 4.34 | 1.38 | 47.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.66 | 1.16 | 47.1 | 9.9 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2026Home | 4.82 | 1.50 | 37.1 | 8.4 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.82 | 1.15 | 38.1 | 8.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.61 | 0.97 | 10.1 | 12.2 | 0.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.00 | 1.22 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Connelly Early compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.48K/9
8.6BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.7Fastball
93.3 mphERA
3.81WHIP
1.32BABIP
.287GB/FB
1.13Left On Base
84.6%Exit Velocity
82.7 mphBarrels/BBE
6.7%Spin Rate
2063 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.4%Swinging Strike
9.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Fans six in fourth loss
Early (5-4) took the loss Monday against the Rays, allowing two runs on five hits and four walks in 4.2 innings. He struck out six.
Analysis
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Fans six in third loss
Early (5-3) took the loss Tuesday as the Red Sox fell 4-2 to the Orioles, giving up four runs on six hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out six.
Analysis
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Twirls gem in fifth win
Early (5-2) notched the win Wednesday against Atlanta, allowing no runs on four hits and three walks in seven innings. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Earns fourth win Wednesday
Early (4-2) earned the win Wednesday against the Royals, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk with five strikeouts across 6.1 innings.
Analysis
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No-decision against Atlanta
Early did not factor into the decision Friday against Atlanta. He allowed two runs on five hits while striking out six without a walk across five innings.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks not happening
The Red Sox and Early aren't discussing a contract extension for the time being, according to Christopher Smith and Chris Cotillo of MassLive.
Analysis
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.