15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 8/5/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
7-5
ERA
3.44
WHIP
1.25
K
93
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Early was one of the top lefty starters in the minors at the time of his Sept. 9 promotion to the majors, but he exceeded expectations across four big-league starts and earned a start in the playoffs. He tallied a 2.60 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 22.2 K-BB% and 50.0 GB% in 100.1 innings across Double-A and Triple-A and a 2.33 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 31.6 K-BB% in four big-league starts. A 23-year-old whose 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame is still projectable, Early has a bevy of quality offerings, with his sweeper serving as a devastating put-away pitch against lefties while his curveball and changeup are used to dispatch righties. Additionally, he relies on his 93-mph sinker against lefties and his 94-mph four-seamer against righties, showcasing a versatile repertoire that few seasoned big-league starters can match. Early has never logged a walk rate over 9.8 percent and he is good at suppressing hard contact. He also doesn't have a notable injury history, as he didn't add low-to-mid-90s fastball velocity until after he got into pro ball in 2023. Early may have been underrated in the minor leagues, but he generated a substantial amount of buzz in his first taste of the big leagues and should open 2026 in Boston's rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox in March of 2026.
Begins throwing program
Early (elbow) started a throwing program this week, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
Early was diagnosed with left elbow inflammation last week and started throwing again toward the end of the All-Star break. The left-hander will throw from 75 feet Friday before moving to 90 feet Saturday. Early last pitched June 30, and his stay on the 15-day injured list isn't expected to be especially lengthy. He could require a rehab start before rejoining Boston's rotation.
Early was diagnosed with left elbow inflammation last week and started throwing again toward the end of the All-Star break. The left-hander will throw from 75 feet Friday before moving to 90 feet Saturday. Early last pitched June 30, and his stay on the 15-day injured list isn't expected to be especially lengthy. He could require a rehab start before rejoining Boston's rotation.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Connelly Early generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Connelly Early generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-26%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-23%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .186 | 42 | 7 | 22 | 4 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .253 | 80 | 31 | 76 | 11 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .194 | 29 | 6 | 19 | 4 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .252 | 64 | 28 | 62 | 11 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .150 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .259 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-35%
ERA on Road
2026
-37%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.90 | 1.34 | 57.2 | 9.8 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.53 | 1.11 | 53.1 | 10.0 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2026Home | 4.18 | 1.42 | 47.1 | 9.3 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.64 | 1.08 | 44.1 | 8.9 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.61 | 0.97 | 10.1 | 12.2 | 0.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.00 | 1.22 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Connelly Early compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.74K/9
9.1BB/9
3.3HR/9
1.5Fastball
93.5 mphERA
3.44WHIP
1.25BABIP
.285GB/FB
1.20Left On Base
85.1%Exit Velocity
82.7 mphBarrels/BBE
6.4%Spin Rate
2094 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.6%Swinging Strike
10.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
More Fantasy News
Second opinion reveals inflammation
Early received a second opinion on his left elbow earlier in the week, with Dr. Keith Meister confirming Early's initial diagnosis of posterior inflammation, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Getting second opinion
Early is slated to receive a second opinion on his injured left elbow during the upcoming week, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
MRI confirms inflammation
Early has been diagnosed with left posterior elbow inflammation following an MRI, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Moved to IL with inflamed elbow
The Red Sox placed Early on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to left elbow inflammation.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Dealing with elbow issue
Early left Tuesday's contest versus Washington in the fifth inning due to left elbow discomfort, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks not happening
The Red Sox and Early aren't discussing a contract extension for the time being, according to Christopher Smith and Chris Cotillo of MassLive.
Analysis
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.
The Red Sox haven't engaged in talks with Early's representatives about a long-term deal. Part of that could be due to Early's representation, as Excel Sports Management clients rarely pursue early long-term deals, but also because the left-hander has only 20 official days of service in his big-league career. Early looked good in his first taste of big-league action in 2025, though, posting a 2.33 ERA in 19.1 regular-season innings.