Carson Williams

Carson Williams

22-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Williams has the power and speed to notch 25/25 seasons at some point in his 20s. His 30-grade hit tool is the only non-plus tool in his arsenal, but it's bad enough that it could affect Williams' playing time in 2026. While Williams hit just .172 with a 41.5 percent strikeout rate in 106 plate appearances in the majors, he also got off to a rocky start at Triple-A in 2025. He had an .893 OPS and 32.6 percent strikeout rate over his final 47 games at Triple-A after logging a .673 OPS and 35.2 percent strikeout rate in his first 64 games. Williams still struck out too much over that strong stretch, but he also doesn't turn 23 until the middle of the 2026 season. His struggles are due more to poor contact rates and elevated swinging-strike rates rather than consistently bad swing decisions. He should be better in his second tour of the majors, but Williams will still likely hit below .240 this year, even in a best-case scenario. It seems that the Rays have organized the roster so that Williams will have a chance to earn regular playing time, with Taylor Walls ready to soak up as many starts at shortstop as needed if Williams needs more refinement at Triple-A or just needs a day off. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#419
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Rays in March of 2026.
Wins shortstop job
SSTampa Bay Rays
March 24, 2026
The Rays recalled Williams from Triple-A Durham on Tuesday and will have him start at shortstop in Thursday's season opener at St. Louis, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Analysis
The injury to Taylor Walls (oblique) made Williams' call-up likely, and the Rays have now made it official. Williams had a solid showing this spring with a .779 OPS, one home run and one stolen base, though it came with a 1:7 BB:K. The 22-year-old has major swing-and-miss issues, but Williams could hit for enough power and steal enough bases to be a viable fantasy contributor even if he proves a drag in the batting-average category.
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Batting Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2026
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+47%
OPS vs LHP
2024
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left .667 40 4 3 4 1 .167 .250 .417
Since 2024vs Right .509 71 8 2 8 1 .176 .200 .309
2026vs Left .000 3 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2026vs Right 1.000 2 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500
2025vs Left .725 37 3 3 4 1 .182 .270 .455
2025vs Right .494 69 8 2 8 1 .167 .191 .303
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+117%
OPS at Home
2026
 
 
-100%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+118%
OPS at Home
2024
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .830 47 9 4 8 1 .214 .283 .548
Since 2024Away .382 64 3 1 4 1 .145 .172 .210
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away .400 5 1 0 0 0 .200 .200 .200
2025Home .830 47 9 4 8 1 .214 .283 .548
2025Away .380 59 2 1 4 1 .140 .169 .211
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carson Williams compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.14
 
BB Rate
5.7%
 
K Rate
41.5%
 
BABIP
.240
 
ISO
.182
 
AVG
.172
 
OBP
.219
 
SLG
.354
 
OPS
.573
 
wOBA
.252
 
Exit Velocity
85.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
23.2%
 
Barrels/PA
4.7%
 
Expected BA
.171
 
Expected SLG
.314
 
Sprint Speed
24.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
58.2%
 
Line Drive %
12.7%
 
Fly Ball %
29.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carson Williams See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carson Williams See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Williams was hit on the hand by a pitch and exited a game June 12 before returning June 18. Before the hit-by-pitch, Williams slashed .294/.376/.552 with 10 home runs, 15 steals and a 27.1 percent strikeout rate in 49 games. After the HBP, he slashed .225/.331/.400 with 10 home runs, 17 steals, and a 29.6 percent strikeout rate in 66 games. It's possible the hand injury hurt his production and he'll be the pre-injury version of himself in 2025, and it's also possible the post-HBP decline was a coincidence and Williams is just the hitter we saw over the whole season (.256/.352/.469, 11.5 BB%, 28.5 K%). He has always had extremely strong tools with the exception of his hit tool -- his power, speed, defense and throwing arm all grading as at least plus. It's easy to get scared off by all the strikeouts, but players like Trevor Story and Jazz Chisholm had similar strikeout and walk rates to Williams in the minors and went on to be excellent fantasy options. The defensive component, particularly at shortstop where Tampa Bay lacks another quality long-term option, should buy Williams a lot of chances at the big-league level in the coming years. He should spend most, if not all of 2025 at Triple-A.
Williams has all the tools except the most important tool (hit), but he may be able to make enough contact to still make it as an everyday shortstop in the Willy Adames mold. An athletic 6-foot-1, 180 pounds, Williams is a plus defensive shortstop with above-average speed and a 70-grade arm. After hitting 19 home runs in 113 games in his full-season debut as a 19-year-old, Williams hit 23 homers in just 105 games at High-A before getting bumped to Double-A and Triple-A to finish out the season (since those leagues had longer seasons). He'll head back to Double-A this year, and he'll be promoted as quickly as his hit tool warrants. The Wander Franco situation is difficult to project, but unlike Taylor Walls and Osleives Basabe (not enough offense) or Junior Caminero (not enough range), Williams is a no-doubt everyday shortstop as long as he can keep the strikeout rate in the 25-30 percent range. He has a 31.6 percent strikeout rate for his career and had a 31.4 percent strikeout rate in 2023, so he has plenty of work still to do.
Williams had a 32.1 K% and 62.7 Contact% in his age-18/19 season at Single-A, yet he remains relevant in all dynasty leagues because his other four tools range from above-average (run) to plus-plus (arm). He has monster right-handed power for his age and is a lock to stick at shortstop. Williams slashed .252/.347/.471 with 19 home runs and 28 steals on 38 attempts (73.7% success rate). As is often the case with players this toolsy, the hit tool will make or break things for Williams.
More Fantasy News
Could start Opening Day
SSTampa Bay Rays
March 19, 2026
Williams is back with the Rays in big-league camp Thursday and could begin the season as the club's primary shortstop since Taylor Walls is out with an oblique injury, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Beginning season at Triple-A
SSTampa Bay Rays
March 17, 2026
The Rays optioned Williams to Triple-A Durham on Tuesday, Ryan Bass of FanDuel Sports Network Sun reports.
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Pushing for roster spot
SSTampa Bay Rays
March 9, 2026
Williams went 2-for-3 in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers and is now 7-for-19 with an RBI this spring.
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Goes deep in second straight
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 20, 2025
Williams went 1-for-4 with a solo home run Friday against the Red Sox.
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Not in Rays' lineup
SSTampa Bay Rays
September 16, 2025
Williams is absent from the lineup for Tuesday's contest against the Blue Jays.
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