2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.69
K
3
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elbow trouble sabotaged Miller's 2025 season, as he was first shut down in mid-May with inflammation before making a second trip to the injured list in June. His performance when available was a far cry from his breakout 2024, with his FIP jumping from 3.58 to 5.17. Miller's stuff was down and he finished the regular season with just an 18.9 K% over 90.1 innings. While he pitched well for Seattle in the postseason with a 2.51 ERA across 14.1 innings and indicated he was feeling the best he had all season, there was talk of another PRP shot after the Mariners were eliminated. Surgery was not expected to be necessary heading into the offseason, but it sounds like Miller may need additional treatment for what is said to be a small bone spur in his right elbow. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $2.44 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2025. Contract includes $6.08 million team option ($15,000 buyout) for 2026.
No-decision in season debut
Miller (oblique) allowed two runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out three over 5.1 innings in a no-decision versus the Astros on Wednesday.
Analysis
Miller missed over a quarter of the season while recovering from a left oblique strain. He threw 58 of 81 pitches for strikes in his season debut, so he may have had a slight workload limitation in place. That will likely continue in his next start, tentatively expected to be against the White Sox, as Miller and Luis Castillo are expected to work as a tandem in that game to buy the Mariners some time to sort out what to do with their rotation, which has six healthy starters. As long as Miller pitches well, he's likely to be a starter moving forward, though he'll also need to stay healthy as he tries to bounce back from an ugly 5.68 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 90.1 innings in the 2025 regular season, which was disrupted by elbow troubles.
Miller missed over a quarter of the season while recovering from a left oblique strain. He threw 58 of 81 pitches for strikes in his season debut, so he may have had a slight workload limitation in place. That will likely continue in his next start, tentatively expected to be against the White Sox, as Miller and Luis Castillo are expected to work as a tandem in that game to buy the Mariners some time to sort out what to do with their rotation, which has six healthy starters. As long as Miller pitches well, he's likely to be a starter moving forward, though he'll also need to stay healthy as he tries to bounce back from an ugly 5.68 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 90.1 innings in the 2025 regular season, which was disrupted by elbow troubles.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
Even Split
2026
-27%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .226 | 116 | 51 | 114 | 25 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .227 | 132 | 29 | 118 | 14 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .429 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .313 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .258 | 30 | 18 | 39 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .274 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .207 | 85 | 32 | 72 | 15 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .192 | 86 | 13 | 59 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-30%
ERA at Home
2026
-100%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.18 | 1.03 | 141.1 | 9.7 | 2.5 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.54 | 1.23 | 134.2 | 6.4 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2026Away | 3.38 | 1.69 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.80 | 1.38 | 45.0 | 8.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.56 | 1.43 | 45.1 | 6.6 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.96 | 0.87 | 96.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.07 | 1.10 | 84.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.00K/9
5.1BB/9
1.7HR/9
1.7Fastball
97.5 mphERA
3.38WHIP
1.69BABIP
.368GB/FB
1.00Left On Base
92.1%Exit Velocity
80.8 mphBarrels/BBE
0.0%Spin Rate
2158 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
18.9%Swinging Strike
8.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025.
More Fantasy News
Activated for season debut
The Mariners reinstated Miller (oblique) from the 15-day injured list ahead of his scheduled start Wednesday in Houston.
Analysis
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Making season debut Wednesday
Miller (oblique) will return from the 15-day injured list to start Wednesday's game in Houston, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports
Analysis
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Likely to return next week
The Mariners are leaning toward activating Miller (oblique) from the 15-day injured list next week in Houston, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Making next rehab start Wednesday
Miller (oblique) is scheduled to make his next rehab start with High-A Everett on Wednesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Completes second rehab start
Miller (oblique) struck out six and gave up one hit and one walk over three scoreless innings Friday in a rehab start with High-A Everett.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Poised for arbitration hearing
Miller requested $2.625 million and was offered $2.25 million by the Mariners when arbitration figures were exchanged last week, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.