Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
15-Day IL
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 4/24/2026
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elbow trouble sabotaged Miller's 2025 season, as he was first shut down in mid-May with inflammation before making a second trip to the injured list in June. His performance when available was a far cry from his breakout 2024, with his FIP jumping from 3.58 to 5.17. Miller's stuff was down and he finished the regular season with just an 18.9 K% over 90.1 innings. While he pitched well for Seattle in the postseason with a 2.51 ERA across 14.1 innings and indicated he was feeling the best he had all season, there was talk of another PRP shot after the Mariners were eliminated. Surgery was not expected to be necessary heading into the offseason, but it sounds like Miller may need additional treatment for what is said to be a small bone spur in his right elbow. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#256
ADP
Signed a one-year, $2.44 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2025. Contract includes $6.08 million team option ($15,000 buyout) for 2026.
Shelved by oblique strain
PSeattle Mariners
Oblique
March 25, 2026
The Mariners placed Miller on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to a left oblique strain.
Analysis
Miller strained his left oblique in late February and was limited to just one appearance during Cactus League play. He's thrown a pair of bullpen sessions recently and hasn't encountered any known setbacks, but the righty will require several weeks to be build back up, per Adam Jude of The Seattle Times. Emerson Hancock will occupy a spot in the Mariners rotation until Miller is ready to make his 2026 debut.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
Even Split
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .223 551 115 50 111 25 2 25
Since 2024vs Right .224 545 130 29 113 22 0 13
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .258 171 30 18 39 9 1 10
2025vs Right .274 221 44 16 54 13 0 7
2024vs Left .207 380 85 32 72 16 1 15
2024vs Right .192 324 86 13 59 9 0 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.18 1.03 141.1 8 6 0 9.7 2.5 1.0
Since 2024Away 4.59 1.21 129.1 8 8 0 6.5 2.7 1.5
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 5.80 1.38 45.0 2 3 0 8.2 3.4 2.0
2025Away 5.56 1.43 45.1 2 3 0 6.6 3.4 1.4
2024Home 1.96 0.87 96.1 6 3 0 10.4 2.1 0.6
2024Away 4.07 1.10 84.0 6 5 0 6.4 2.4 1.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Miller See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Miller See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025.
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it.
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Set to throw bullpen Tuesday
PSeattle Mariners
Oblique
March 17, 2026
Miller (oblique) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
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Bullpen session scrapped
PSeattle Mariners
Oblique
March 11, 2026
Miller did not throw a bullpen session as scheduled Wednesday because his left oblique didn't feel right, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
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Set for normal bullpen session
PSeattle Mariners
Oblique
March 11, 2026
Miller (oblique) will throw a normal bullpen session Wednesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
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Returns to mound work
PSeattle Mariners
Side
March 8, 2026
Miller (side) threw a 25-pitch touch-and-feel bullpen session Sunday at about 80 percent intensity, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
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Ready to throw again
PSeattle Mariners
Side
March 4, 2026
Miller (side) is slated to play catch Wednesday, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Poised for arbitration hearing
PSeattle Mariners
January 15, 2026
Miller requested $2.625 million and was offered $2.25 million by the Mariners when arbitration figures were exchanged last week, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.
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