2026 Stats
W-L
2-0
ERA
5.49
WHIP
1.27
K
14
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Ober's status as an anchor at the top of the rotation is in question after a subpar season. He began last season looking like his prior three years with a 3.48 ERA and 50:14 K:BB ratio in his first 62 innings. He then fell apart in June by giving up 30 ER and 14 HR in 30 IP in five starts (all losses). He may have been pitching hurt as he then missed July with a left hip impingement. He wasn't much better when he returned with a 4.80 ERA in his final ten starts. Ober had a sharp decline in velocity to a 90.3 mph average fastball from 91.8 mph in 2024. His strikeout rate tanked to 19.2% from 26.9% in 2024 as a result. His home runs allowed also increased to 1.85/9 from 1.37/9 in 2024. Ober doesn't have overpowering stuff, but it's offset by his outstanding control (5.0% BB%) and superb change-up (.262 wOBA allowed). If healthy this spring and showing an uptick in velocity, he could have a bounceback season. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $3.55 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Goes six innings in win
Ober (2-0) earned the win Monday, allowing four runs on seven hits and a walk over six innings against the Red Sox. He struck out seven.
Analysis
Ober wasn't at his best but picked up his second win of the campaign, backed by a strong showing from the Twins' offense. While four earned runs isn't ideal, the right-hander's seven strikeouts matched his combined total from his first three outings of the season, a positive development. Through four starts in 2026, Ober owns a 5.49 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with a 14:5 K:BB across 19.2 innings.
Ober wasn't at his best but picked up his second win of the campaign, backed by a strong showing from the Twins' offense. While four earned runs isn't ideal, the right-hander's seven strikeouts matched his combined total from his first three outings of the season, a positive development. Through four starts in 2026, Ober owns a 5.49 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with a 14:5 K:BB across 19.2 innings.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-36%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .230 | 146 | 34 | 150 | 30 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .250 | 179 | 45 | 165 | 29 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .194 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .302 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .274 | 54 | 16 | 85 | 17 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .275 | 66 | 15 | 74 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .190 | 87 | 15 | 58 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .223 | 104 | 28 | 78 | 15 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-10%
ERA on Road
2026
-23%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 4.76 | 1.16 | 181.1 | 8.7 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.30 | 1.12 | 163.1 | 8.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2026Home | 5.17 | 1.28 | 15.2 | 7.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2026Away | 6.75 | 1.25 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.12 | 1.20 | 82.2 | 7.6 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.09 | 1.43 | 63.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.34 | 1.11 | 83.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.67 | 0.91 | 95.2 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.80K/9
6.4BB/9
2.3HR/9
0.9Fastball
88.9 mphERA
5.49WHIP
1.27BABIP
.303GB/FB
0.81Left On Base
58.6%Exit Velocity
80.4 mphBarrels/BBE
6.7%Spin Rate
2163 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.7%Swinging Strike
9.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation.
More Fantasy News
Earns first win
Ober (1-0) allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out two over 5.2 innings to earn the win over the Tigers on Wednesday.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Battles through four frames
Ober didn't factor into the decision Friday against the Rays, allowing three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out four in four innings of work.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Goes four innings in no-decision
Ober did not factor into the decision Sunday against Baltimore, allowing three runs on four hits and a walk across four innings. He struck out one.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Velocity drop continues
Ober allowed a run on two hits and two walks while striking out none during Tuesday's Grapefruit League game against the Phillies. According to Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic, the right-hander averaged 88.2 mph with his fastball and generated just three swinging strikes.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Velocity remains down
Ober allowed one run on five hits and one walk while striking out two over 2.2 innings during Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Red Sox. According to Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic, the right-hander averaged 88.8 mph with his fastball.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.