Aaron Civale

29-Year-Old PitcherSP

Milwaukee Brewers

15-Day IL

Injury Hamstring

Est. Return 5/1/2025

2025 Stats

W-L

0-1

ERA

15.00

WHIP

1.67

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Civale was a coveted trade acquisition for Tampa Bay at the 2023 deadline, and he was dealt to Milwaukee for little fanfare in 2024. He had a 5.07 ERA in 17 starts with the Rays but had more success for the Brewers with a 3.53 ERA in 13 outings. The right-hander dipped into his bag and broke out the slider following the trade, which was a pitch he didn't utilize while with Tampa Bay. A 4.78 FIP while with Milwaukee indicates he may have been fortunate to get those results and been the beneficiary of the club's strong defense. Civale threw a career-high 161 innings during 2024 and has limited fantasy upside with a career K/9 of 8.2, but he could round out a rotation in deeper leagues if he's able to continue the success he had with the Brewers during the second half of 2024. He was reportedly a candidate to be non-tendered early in the offseason, but he's likely to begin 2025 in the rotation after Milwaukee tendered him a contract. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Dynasty

From Preseason

#372

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 215

DOB 6/12/1995

Born East Windsor, CT

College Northeastern

Drafted 3rd Rd 2016 CLE

Suffers setback

PMilwaukee Brewers

Hamstring

April 11, 2025

Civale suffered a setback in his recovery from a left hamstring strain this week, Sophia Minnaert of FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin reports.

ANALYSIS
Civale has been on the IL since the end of March due to his hamstring, and there's currently no telling how much of an effect his setback will have on his recovery timeline. He'll presumably undergo imaging to determine the extent of the damage, and the team will determine his next steps once the results come back.

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Pitching Stats

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2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2025 MLB Game Log

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2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2023

Even Split

2025

-38%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-2%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-1%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2023vs Left	.245	595	154	42	134	30	1	23
Since 2023vs Right	.246	612	113	44	137	22	0	21
2025vs Left	.250	8	2	0	2	0	0	2
2025vs Right	.400	6	0	1	2	0	0	1
2024vs Left	.254	333	86	26	77	16	0	15
2024vs Right	.250	356	63	26	81	15	0	14
2023vs Left	.234	254	66	16	55	14	1	6
2023vs Right	.237	250	50	17	54	7	0	6
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-14%

ERA at Home

2025

-100%

ERA at Home

2024

-42%

ERA at Home

2023

-46%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2023Home	3.80	1.16	156.1	8	8	0	9.1	2.4	1.2
Since 2023Away	4.43	1.35	130.0	7	7	0	7.5	3.1	1.6
2025Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025Away	15.00	1.67	3.0	0	1	0	6.0	3.0	9.0
2024Home	3.35	1.17	94.0	5	6	0	8.8	2.3	1.5
2024Away	5.78	1.49	67.0	3	3	0	7.7	3.8	1.7
2023Home	4.48	1.16	62.1	3	2	0	9.5	2.5	0.7
2023Away	2.40	1.17	60.0	4	3	0	7.5	2.4	1.1
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Stat Review

How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.00

K/9

6.0

BB/9

3.0

HR/9

9.0

Fastball

91.5 mph

ERA

15.00

WHIP

1.67

BABIP

.134

GB/FB

0.29

Left On Base

0.0%

Exit Velocity

82.1 mph

Barrels/BBE

14.8%

Spin Rate

2469 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

29.6%

Swinging Strike

5.8%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Aaron Civale Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Brewers Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024.

Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.

Civale came into 2021 with a lot of hype, but ended it with more questions than answers. The young hurler re-worked his repertoire in the winter with a desire to go with more four-seamers than two-seam fastballs while adding a split-change to give him six pitches by which to attack hitters. Early on, things went well as Civale was 10-2 in his first 15 starts with a 3.32 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while holding opponents to a .226 average. A finger sprain shut him down in mid-June and kept him out until September where he closed the season 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA (6.85 FIP), 1.31 WHIP and .257 opponents' average. The fastball was particularly painful for Civale as the league slugged over .600 off both the two- and four-seam fastballs, and even the splitter had a .484 SLG against, so the transition work is by no means done. His 2022 success hinges upon that transition getting over the speed bumps.

A popular sleeper pick heading into 2020, Civale looked early on like he was headed for that breakout, posting a 2.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 32:3 K:BB over his first five starts spanning 34 innings. However, things took a turn for the worse and an eight-run blowup on the second-to-last day of the season capped a disappointing stretch run, bringing Civale's final ERA to 4.74. The estimators are kinder to his performance, putting his deserved ERA closer to 4.00 over his total of 12 starts. Civale does not light up the radar gun and there may not be much room for growth when it comes to strikeouts (22.1 K% last season), but he has a diverse pitch mix -- sinker, cutter, curveball, slider, changeup, four-seamer -- and good command. He pitches in a favorable division and for a team that has had success grooming its young starters. It's not a flashy skill set, but Civale is a nice staff filler with ratio upside.

Injuries to Cleveland's rotation opened the door for Civale to make his major-league debut in 2019 and he enjoyed quite a bit of success. His 92.6 mph sinking fastball doesn't overpower hitters and he does not have a true wipeout pitch, but he can change speed and command his pitches well enough to be effective. Although 2019 provided a limited sample size for the right-hander, he pitched five innings or more in nine of his 10 starts. The 24-year-old's performance will likely afford him an opportunity to compete for a starting role in 2020. Civale impressed in his first glimpse of major-league action and could be a fantasy sleeper in 2020; the low strikeout rate will understandably drive many away, but if you squint you can see a bit of Kyle Hendricks upside here. It helps that he pitches in the weak AL Central and has a top-five defense behind him.

More Fantasy News

Slated for bullpen session Saturday

PMilwaukee Brewers

Hamstring

April 2, 2025

Civale (hamstring) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Playing catch

PMilwaukee Brewers

Hamstring

April 1, 2025

Civale (hamstring) played catch Tuesday, Sophia Minnaert of FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin reports.

ANALYSIS
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Going on IL with strained hamstring

PMilwaukee Brewers

Hamstring

March 31, 2025

The Brewers placed Civale on the 15-day injured list Monday with a strained left hamstring, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Managing hamstring issue

PMilwaukee Brewers

Hamstring

March 30, 2025

Civale departed Sunday's start against the Yankees after three innings due to left hamstring cramping, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

ANALYSIS
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Throws three frames Sunday

PMilwaukee Brewers

March 10, 2025

Civale gave up two earned runs over 3.0 innings in Sunday's spring game. He allowed two hits, struck out one batter and walked none.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Chance to be non-tendered

PMilwaukee Brewers

November 1, 2024

According to Adam McCalvy of MLB.com, the Brewers could non-tender Civale during the offseason.

ANALYSIS
The right-hander was acquired from Tampa Bay at the summer trade deadline and pitched well in 14 regular-season starts for Milwaukee with a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 65:25 K:BB across 74 innings. Civale is entering his final year of arbitration eligibility and will receive a sizable raise from last season's $4.9 million salary. Even if the Brewers tender him a contract for 2025, the organization could still offload him via trade this winter.

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