Aaron Ashby

Aaron Ashby

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Milwaukee Brewers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ashby began experiencing left shoulder discomfort in August of 2022, exactly four weeks after he signed a five-year, $20.5 million pre-arbitration contract extension with the Brewers. That shoulder issue began rearing its ugly head again in the spring of 2023, eventually leading to April 7 season-ending surgery. He was able to fit in a minor-league rehab assignment at the tail end of the 2023 campaign but surrendered 14 runs -- 12 earned -- on seven hits and 14 walks over seven innings (seven appearances) between High-A Wisconsin, Double-A Biloxi and Triple-A Nashville. Ashby is expected to be ready for the 2024 major-league season and still presumably possess a nasty slider-changeup combo to pair with his mid-90s fastball, but it'll take a lot of trust to reach for him in any sort of fantasy setting this spring. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#409
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $20.5 million contract extension with the Brewers in July of 2022. Contract includes $9 million team options for 2028 and $13 million team option for 2029.
Joins big-league club
PMilwaukee Brewers
August 25, 2024
The Brewers recalled Ashby from Triple-A Nashville on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander has started in 14 of his 25 appearances for Nashville this season, and he's recently been operating out of the bullpen. Ashby has delivered six straight scoreless appearances at Triple-A and has a 14:1 K:BB during that stretch. He'll step into a relief role for the Brewers, taking the roster spot of Nick Mears (forearm).
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
33
Last 10 Games
24
Last 5 Games
19
How many pitches does Aaron Ashby generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Ashby generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .220 136 45 14 26 6 0 3
Since 2022vs Right .246 458 114 43 100 19 2 14
2024vs Left .147 38 15 4 5 1 0 1
2024vs Right .205 81 18 6 15 5 0 1
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .250 98 30 10 21 5 0 2
2022vs Right .254 377 96 37 85 14 2 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-82%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.82 1.00 51.0 1 3 0 10.8 2.6 1.1
Since 2022Away 4.89 1.56 84.2 2 9 1 10.4 4.5 1.2
2024Home 0.77 0.60 11.2 0 0 0 13.1 0.8 0.0
2024Away 4.32 1.38 16.2 1 2 0 8.6 4.9 1.1
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 3.43 1.12 39.1 1 3 0 10.1 3.2 1.4
2022Away 5.03 1.60 68.0 1 7 1 10.9 4.4 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Aaron Ashby compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.30
 
K/9
10.5
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
96.3 mph
 
ERA
2.86
 
WHIP
1.06
 
BABIP
.277
 
GB/FB
2.93
 
Left On Base
62.5%
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.5%
 
Spin Rate
2118 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.8%
 
Swinging Strike
10.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
You want to look at his 2-10 record with a 4.44 ERA last season and just discard him into the scrapheap of your 2023 draft plans. Do so at your own peril because Ashby could bounce back in a big way this season. He still has that filthy slider that the league struggles to square up, but he ran into troubles last season with his changeup that the league had no trouble hitting in 2022 (.295) after struggling to hit it in 2021 (.167). The xBA on the pitch in 2021 said he was lucky, but the near 80-point gap in those two rates on the pitch in 2022 was simply unfair. The rest of Ashby's skillset holds up rather well if he can get his repertoire back under control. Milwaukee believes in the talent as they gave him a five-year contract with options in the midst of his summer struggles. The pieces for a successful 2023 are there if Ashby can get realigned this winter.
Ashby appears to be on track to be the Brewers' next high-end homegrown starting pitcher. The 23-year-old southpaw relies primarily on a 97-mph sinking fastball, a hard-breaking mid-80s slider and an upper-80s changeup with above-average drop. Given his fastball velocity and the fact that his top secondaries are thrown relatively hard, opposing hitters are in for an uncomfortable at-bat, as long as his command is on. His walk rate in the minors often hovered around 11 percent, which added reliever risk to his profile, but Ashby's 9.0 BB% in the majors gave us a glimpse of the upside when everything is clicking. While missing bats is a big part of Ashby's profile, he also showcased elite groundball tendencies at Triple-A (66.9%) and in the majors (61.3%). For context, Luis Castillo led all qualified pitchers with a 56.6 percent groundball rate last season. The Brewers will likely go with a six-man rotation if everyone is healthy, and from a talent and upside standpoint, Ashby is no worse than fourth in the pecking order.
More Fantasy News
Optioned to Triple-A
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 7, 2024
The Brewers optioned Ashby to Triple-A Nashville on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Fights control in loss
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 5, 2024
Ashby (0-2) took the loss Wednesday as the Brewers were downed 2-0 by the Phillies, giving up two runs on two hits and five walks over five innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled ahead of start
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 5, 2024
The Brewers recalled Ashby from Triple-A Nashville on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Wednesday
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 4, 2024
The Brewers will recall Ashby from Triple-A Nashville to start Wednesday's game versus the Phillies, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could start Wednesday vs. Phillies
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 4, 2024
Ashby joined the Brewers' taxi squad in Philadelphia and could be formally called up from Triple-A Nashville to start or work as a bulk reliever in Wednesday's game against the Phillies, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Joining MLB roster?
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 4, 2024
Ashby has yet to officially be added to the MLB roster but is with the team in Philadelphia and has a locker in the Brewers clubhouse, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander is likely up with the Brewers as starting depth since Robert Gasser is dealing with an elbow issue. Ashby gave up four earned runs over 3.2 frames in his lone outing of the season for Milwaukee, and he has a 6.80 ERA over 43.2 innings at Triple-A Nashville. He struggled early on in 2024 in his return from shoulder surgery but has given up just two runs in his last two starts at Triple-A.
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