15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 4/16/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Strider's 2024 season lasted all of nine innings when a bone fragment cut into his UCL and attempted to undo the repairs done by his 2019 Tommy John surgery. The good news is that this injury was not a complete tear, so Dr. Keith Meister was able to use the internal brace procedure to repair it in mid-April. The most recent pitcher to come back from this procedure was Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen who had his surgery in late July 2023 and returned in 2024 to pitch rather effectively, albeit for just 36 innings between Triple-A and the big leagues. Bryan Woo had the surgery in early April of 2021 and worked just under 60 innings at the lower levels of the minor leagues in 2022. The simple fact is we do not know how much Strider will be able to pitch in 2025. The internal brace procedure has a shorter recovery time than full Tommy John surgery, but someone being back on the mound and being back to their presurgery level of performance are two different matters. The risk/reward here is tremendous, but drafting Strider as a staff ace and then potentially seeing him work below 100 innings in 2025 would have trickle-down effects to many fantasy rosters. We've yet to see a starting pitcher have this surgery and resume a presurgery workload the following season. Perhaps Strider will be the first, but don't count on it. Read Past Outlooks
Season debut likely next week
Atlanta manager Brian Snitker indicated Thursday that the team plans for Strider (elbow) to make his season debut next week, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Strider yielded one run while striking out 13 over 5.1 innings in a rehab start with Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, getting his pitch count up to 90. While Snitker would not officially commit to Strider coming off the 15-day injured list next week, he could just be waiting to make sure the righty bounces back well from the outing Friday. Strider could start as soon as Tuesday in Toronto, but he's been pitching on five days' rest during his rehab assignment, so Wednesday might be the likelier target date.
Strider yielded one run while striking out 13 over 5.1 innings in a rehab start with Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, getting his pitch count up to 90. While Snitker would not officially commit to Strider coming off the 15-day injured list next week, he could just be waiting to make sure the righty bounces back well from the outing Friday. Strider could start as soon as Tuesday in Toronto, but he's been pitching on five days' rest during his rehab assignment, so Wednesday might be the likelier target date.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .217 | 146 | 46 | 81 | 12 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .209 | 147 | 17 | 75 | 12 | |||
| 2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .316 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .222 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .211 | 141 | 44 | 75 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .208 | 140 | 14 | 71 | 12 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-27%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.64 | 1.09 | 97.0 | 14.6 | 2.5 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.38 | 1.15 | 98.2 | 12.4 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 11.25 | 2.50 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 6.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.60 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 14.4 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.35 | 1.03 | 93.0 | 14.8 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.36 | 1.15 | 93.2 | 12.3 | 3.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Strider led the National League in wins, strikeouts, and FIP, and would have won the NL Cy Young Award if not for that meddling lefty in San Diego. It was an incredible season of work for the talented pitcher out of Clemson, so when things are *this* good, we should look at how things could go in a different direction because it is more likely to happen than Strider continuing to ascent at such a rapid rate given there isn't much else he can do better than what he has done thus far. Strider just saw his workload increase 49% year over year when you factor in his postseason work from each of the past two seasons, and that happened at the age of 24. Recent names who threw at least 180 innings at such a young age include McKenzie and Manoah in 2022 and Urias in 2021. Urias did just fine the next season but the other two certainly had issues. The list is longer than space permits in this recap, but the odds lean to Strider backsliding a bit in fantasy value for 2024.
More Fantasy News
Dazzles in 90-pitch rehab start
Strider (elbow) allowed one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out 13 batters over 5.1 innings on Thursday in his third rehab start for Triple-A Gwinnett.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to hit 90 pitches Thursday
Strider (elbow) has a target of about 90 pitches for his rehab start at Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, which is likely to be his final appearance in the minors before being activated from the 15-day injured list, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Next rehab start scheduled
Strider (elbow) will make another rehab start for Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in Friday's rehab start
Strider (elbow) fired 5.1 scoreless, no-hit innings for Triple-A Gwinnett on Friday. He walked two and struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Making second rehab start
Strider (elbow) is making a rehab start Friday for Triple-A Gwinnett, Grant McAuley of 92.9 The Game Atlanta reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Using slider more this season
Strider, who is scheduled to start Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader against the Mets after two straight postponements, has increased the usage of his slider to 34.9 percent through his first five outings of 2023, per David O'Brien of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander's fastball usage is down slightly to 59.1 percent, but he remains reliant on those two pitches. A two-pitch mix is usually a major limitation for starting pitchers, but Strider continues to dominate with a 1.80 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 49:11 K:BB over 30 innings after he finished 2022 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in just 131.2 frames. The 24-year-old also has a changeup he throws 4.3 percent of the time, but there's no real need to further rely on the tertiary pitch while his first two offerings are so dominant.
The right-hander's fastball usage is down slightly to 59.1 percent, but he remains reliant on those two pitches. A two-pitch mix is usually a major limitation for starting pitchers, but Strider continues to dominate with a 1.80 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 49:11 K:BB over 30 innings after he finished 2022 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in just 131.2 frames. The 24-year-old also has a changeup he throws 4.3 percent of the time, but there's no real need to further rely on the tertiary pitch while his first two offerings are so dominant.