Louis Varland

Louis Varland

28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Varland excelled in his transition to a full-time relief role in 2025, posting a respectable 2.97 ERA (3.15 FIP), 1.20 WHIP and 75:22 K:BB over 72.2 regular-season innings between the Blue Jays and Twins. Pitching in shorter stints, the right-hander added velocity on his four-seamer - he threw it 98.1 mph on average - and added more knuckle curves, tossing it 38 percent of the time. Varland still threw the occasional slider, sinker and changeup, but he relied heavily on his two primary offerings. His curve, in particular, induced more whiffs and ground balls whenever opposing hitters did make contact. Varland established new career-highs with a 13.5 percent swinging strike rate, 25.3 percent K-rate and 52.6 ground ball percentage. Given the 28-year-old has a career 5.18 ERA over 23 starts at the major-league level, it does not appear the Blue Jays have interest in giving Varland another chance to start anytime soon. He's slated to begin the 2026 campaign in a setup role. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#445
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in March of 2025. Traded to the Blue Jays in July of 2025.
Notches first win of 2026
PToronto Blue Jays
April 14, 2026
Varland (1-1) earned the win against the Brewers on Tuesday, allowing one unearned run on two hits while striking out two across 1.1 innings.
Analysis
Jeff Hoffman blew his save chance after giving up two runs in the ninth, and after loading the bases, Blue Jays manager John Schneider opted to turn things over to Varland, who promptly struck out Joey Ortiz in three pitches. Varland was brought back out for the 10th to protect the Jays' three-run lead, and he ended the game by punching out Gary Sanchez. Varland has yet to give up an earned run through 10.1 innings this season and is building off a strong 2025 campaign in which he posted a 2.97 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 23 holds and a 75:22 K:BB across 72.2 innings. The 28-year-old right-hander is clearly trusted to handle high-leverage situations, which makes him a candidate to see save opportunities if Hoffman is unable to snap out of his slow start to the season.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
18
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
17
How many pitches does Louis Varland generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Louis Varland generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2026
 
 
-51%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .279 271 61 13 70 11 1 10
Since 2024vs Right .267 304 79 28 71 15 0 8
2026vs Left .133 16 6 1 2 0 0 0
2026vs Right .273 25 10 2 6 1 0 0
2025vs Left .254 132 29 6 31 7 1 4
2025vs Right .236 164 46 16 34 10 0 2
2024vs Left .325 123 26 6 37 4 0 6
2024vs Right .310 115 23 10 31 4 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.95 1.22 84.1 1 5 0 9.2 2.6 1.3
Since 2024Away 5.33 1.61 49.0 4 5 0 9.9 3.1 1.1
2026Home 0.00 0.88 8.0 0 1 0 13.5 3.4 0.0
2026Away 0.00 1.33 3.0 1 0 0 12.0 0.0 0.0
2025Home 2.18 0.94 41.1 1 1 0 8.7 2.2 0.9
2025Away 4.02 1.53 31.1 3 2 0 10.1 3.4 0.6
2024Home 6.94 1.63 35.0 0 3 0 8.7 2.8 2.1
2024Away 9.20 1.84 14.2 0 3 0 9.2 3.1 2.5
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Stat Review
How does Louis Varland compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.00
 
K/9
13.1
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
98.0 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
0.97
 
BABIP
.331
 
GB/FB
3.25
 
Left On Base
70.0%
 
Exit Velocity
84.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2278 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Louis Varland See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Varland's future role and status as a major league pitcher are in question after he took a big step backward lats season. Varland ended the 2023 season as a weapon out of the bullpen posting a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings with a 17:1 K:BB ratio and a fastball that touched triple digits. The Twins debated whether to keep him in the major league bullpen in the spring, but decided to return him back to the rotation at Triple-A. He wasn't impressive at Triple-A with a 4.75 ERA but he may have been unlucky with a .357 BABIP as he had a 10.4 K/9 and 3.76 xFIP. When he was finally called up to the major league rotation, Varland struggled with home runs. He gave up an astounding 12 homers in 49.2 innings. After seven starts (6.40 ERA) he was moved to the bullpen where he continued to flounder. Despite his troubles, Varland was likely unlucky with a meteoric 21.1 HR/FB rate and .357 BABIP. He still had a strong 96.1 average mph fastball. He could stick in the bullpen next season and will compete for a major league role in the spring.
Varland's improved velocity turned him into a late-season weapon out of the bullpen and has put him in contention for a prominent role in 2024 - but it's not clear whether that will be in the rotation or bullpen. Varland's improved velocity (up to 95.3 mph average fastball from 93.9 mph in the majors the previous season) resulted in a strong year at Triple-A with a 9.8 K/9 and 3.97 ERA and 3.32 FIP. He was called up early in the season as a starter and had initial success with a 3.51 ERA in seven starts, but then gave up 17 runs in 15 innings in his next three starts and was sent to the minors in June. He was called up to the bullpen in September and was a dominant reliever with a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings with a 17:1 K:BB ratio with a fastball that touched triple digits. Varland has said he'd like to remain a starter, but it will be hard for the Twins to keep him out of the bullpen given his success. Still, he's in the mix for the fifth starter role this spring.
Varland was an unheralded 2019 15th-round draft pick out of local Division II Concordia in Minnesota, but made a big leap in 2021 thanks to a large uptick in velocity (to a mid-90s fastball). That bought him a ticket to Double-A to begin 2022 where he impressed with a 3.34 ERA, 119:39 K:BB and 1.34 WHIP in 105 innings over 20 appearances (19 starts). He soon was in the majors for five starts late in the season where he held his own (3.81 ERA and 4.30 FIP). While he had just a 7.2 K/9 in the majors, he had a 10.2 K/9 or higher at every level of the minors. Varland has good control (2.1 BB/9 in the majors and 3.1 BB/9 at Double-A) and keeps hitters off balance with solid change-up and slider off-speed pitches. He'll compete for a rotation spot this spring but may need more time at Triple-A. He could surprise given how he's overachieved at every level so far in his career.
More Fantasy News
Impressive start to season
PToronto Blue Jays
April 13, 2026
Varland struck out the side in a perfect seventh inning during Sunday's loss to the Twins.
Analysis
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Stuck with loss Monday
PToronto Blue Jays
March 31, 2026
Varland (0-1) took the loss Monday as the Blue Jays fell 14-5 to the Rockies, allowing an unearned run on two hits over 1.1 innings of relief. He struck out three without walking a batter.
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Serves up homer Sunday
PToronto Blue Jays
March 23, 2026
Varland struck out one and gave up a solo home run to Carson Williams in an inning of relief during Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Rays.
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Will remain in bullpen
PToronto Blue Jays
December 8, 2025
Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said Monday that Varland will remain in a bullpen role in 2026, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Analysis
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Kicking off bullpen day in Game 4
PToronto Blue Jays
October 7, 2025
Varland is slated to serve as the Blue Jays' opening pitcher Wednesday for Game 4 of the ALDS versus the Yankees, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Long-time interest from Toronto
PToronto Blue Jays
August 8, 2025
According to Keegan Matheson of MLB.com, GM Ross Atkins said last week that the Blue Jays had been interested in acquiring Varland from the Twins for at least two years.
Analysis
Varland, picked up at the trade deadline, has made the transition to a full-time relief role this season and excelled with a 2.08 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 50:14 K:BB over 52 innings while recording 18 holds. The 27-year-old righty is still two seasons away from arbitration eligibility, so he could be a key piece of Toronto's bullpen for years to come. The organization's interest extends back to his time as a starting prospect however, so a transition back to that role in the future can't be ruled out.
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