Jose Berrios
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
16-11
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.15
K
153
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Berrios put together an impressive bounce-back campaign, shaving more than a run and a half off his ERA after he finished with the worst ERA among qualified starters in 2022. He bumped his strikeout rate back up to 23.5% -- modest, but a big improvement on the previous year and much more in line with his career norms. Berrios offers up four pitches to opposing hitters -- sinker, slurve, four-seamer, changeup -- and he's willing to challenge within the zone even if he doesn't win every battle. It was nice to see that his struggles in 2022 didn't affect his confidence too much, as his walk rate remained low at 6.6%. We've seen what the downside looks like with Berrios, but he has eight years of starting experience at this point and his track record is that of a viable mid-rotation starter. There may still be a buy-low window in fantasy as the memory of his disastrous 2022 lingers. Read Past Outlooks
Knocked around by Marlins
Berrios (16-11) allowed six runs on six hits and three walks over three innings Friday, striking out four and taking a loss against Miami.
ANALYSIS
Berrios never found his footing and was chased early. He coughed up three runs in the first inning and two more in the second. His wild pitch in the third inning allowed a sixth run to score before he left the contest. Berrios had allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight straight starts before Friday's hiccup. Despite the poor outing, he posted a strong 2.95 ERA in 12 starts after the All-Star break. Overall, he finished his 2024 campaign with a 3.60 ERA and a 153:54 K:BB through 192.1 innings.
Berrios never found his footing and was chased early. He coughed up three runs in the first inning and two more in the second. His wild pitch in the third inning allowed a sixth run to score before he left the contest. Berrios had allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight straight starts before Friday's hiccup. Despite the poor outing, he posted a strong 2.95 ERA in 12 starts after the All-Star break. Overall, he finished his 2024 campaign with a 3.60 ERA and a 153:54 K:BB through 192.1 innings.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Jose Berrios generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Jose Berrios generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .257 | 250 | 91 | 285 | 54 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .251 | 236 | 60 | 255 | 31 | |||
2024vs Left | .214 | 85 | 36 | 80 | 18 | |||
2024vs Right | .259 | 68 | 18 | 88 | 13 | |||
2023vs Left | .261 | 97 | 31 | 97 | 16 | |||
2023vs Right | .220 | 87 | 21 | 76 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .298 | 68 | 24 | 108 | 20 | |||
2022vs Right | .276 | 81 | 21 | 91 | 9 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-24%
ERA at Home
2024
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.57 | 1.20 | 274.2 | 8.3 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.67 | 1.30 | 279.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 3.18 | 1.10 | 93.1 | 6.9 | 2.7 | ||||
2024Away | 4.00 | 1.20 | 99.0 | 7.4 | 2.4 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.17 | 90.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 3.97 | 1.20 | 99.2 | 8.2 | 2.6 | ||||
2022Home | 4.24 | 1.32 | 91.1 | 8.8 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 6.36 | 1.52 | 80.2 | 6.7 | 2.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.83K/9
7.2BB/9
2.5HR/9
1.5Fastball
93.7 mphERA
3.60WHIP
1.15BABIP
.260GB/FB
1.39Left On Base
80.1%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.8%Spin Rate
2061 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.5%Swinging Strike
9.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Considering Berrios was a top-75 pick in most leagues, he goes down as one of the biggest busts of the season. Few predicted a sizable step forward, but even fewer predicted the kind of collapse we saw as Berrios had the worst ERA and WHIP among qualified starters. Despite that, he still had a winning record at 12-7 which speaks to the talent around him in Toronto. The right-hander's strikeout rate plummeted as he allowed a ton of contact in the zone, and while the estimators suggest he was a little unlucky on account of a high BABIP, Berrios mostly deserved his batted-ball luck. His HardHit% and xwOBACON marks ranked in the bottom 15% of the league, per Statcast, not to mention he allowed 29 homers (fourth most in MLB). After his first partial season with the team in 2021, the Blue Jays bet big on Berrios in the form of a seven-year, $131 million contract extension. They will give him a long leash to get back to the form he showed over the five seasons prior to 2022.
More Fantasy News
Stuck with hard-luck loss
Berrios (16-10) took the loss Friday against Tampa Bay, allowing one run on six hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in seventh straight win
Berrios (16-9) picked up the win Saturday, allowing one run on two hits and two walks over seven innings in a 7-2 victory over the Cardinals. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Another strong outing in 15th win
Berrios (15-9) picked up the win over Atlanta on Saturday, allowing one run on five hits and one walk over six innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant despite illness
Berrios (14-9) earned the win over Minnesota on Saturday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five batters over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Throws 7.2 innings in win
Berrios (13-9) allowed three runs (two earned) on eight hits over 7.2 innings Monday, striking out six and earning a win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Strong month recognized
Berrios was named the American League Pitcher of the Month for March/April on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The honor is well deserved for the 29-year-old right-hander, who made seven starts and posted a 1.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31:13 K:BB across 43.2 innings. Berrios also has a 4-2 record, which puts him well on pace to shatter the career high of 14 wins he set in both 2017 and 2019.
The honor is well deserved for the 29-year-old right-hander, who made seven starts and posted a 1.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31:13 K:BB across 43.2 innings. Berrios also has a 4-2 record, which puts him well on pace to shatter the career high of 14 wins he set in both 2017 and 2019.