Jose Berrios

Jose Berrios

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 4/24/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Berrios won 50 percent of his starts for a 74-win team in 2024, so naturally, the regression monster came for him and he won just nine of his 30 starts for the team that came within a centimeter of winning the World Series. Berrios has thrown more innings than any other pitcher since the start of the 2019 season, besting Zack Wheeler by one inning. The mileage is beginning to show on his arm, as the average velocity on his four-seamer has declined 1.3 mph from just two seasons ago, while his sinker is down another 1.6 mph. What Berrios lacks in velocity these days, he makes up with guile, throwing four to five pitches to both sides of the plate and still has solid whiff rates on his slurve and change-ups. The home run issue is here to stay, as 2017 was the only season in which Berrios had a HR/9 below 1.0, so expectations of a sub 3.50 ERA would be unwise. The challenge he ran into in 2025 before being shut down with right elbow inflammation was a high (for him) 8.0 percent walk rate, which, combined with his gopheritis, pushed his ERA over 4.00 for the first time in three seasons. He was left off the postseason roster with the elbow issue, so check in on that before pulling this trigger. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#420
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'0"
Weight 205
DOB 5/27/1994
Born Bayamon, Puerto Rico
College None
Drafted 2012 MIN
Signed a seven-year, $131 million contract extension with the Blue Jays in November of 2021. Contract includes two-year, $48 million player option for 2027 and 2028.
Will throw off mound this week
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
March 26, 2026
Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said Thursday that Berrios (elbow) will throw off the mound before the end of this week, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Berrios was diagnosed last week with a stress fracture in his right elbow, but he and the Blue Jays believe that the hurler will be able to pitch through the injury. The right-hander hasn't made a game appearance in three weeks, so even if things go smoothly with his elbow, Berrios will need time to get built up before Toronto considers him for its rotation.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .229 793 163 78 161 20 5 26
Since 2024vs Right .259 691 128 32 167 31 1 31
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .247 374 78 42 81 11 1 8
2025vs Right .260 324 60 14 79 19 1 18
2024vs Left .214 419 85 36 80 9 4 18
2024vs Right .259 367 68 18 88 12 0 13
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
Even Split
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.86 1.22 174.2 14 5 0 7.4 2.9 1.1
Since 2024Away 3.87 1.23 183.2 11 11 0 7.3 2.6 1.7
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Home 4.65 1.35 81.1 4 2 0 7.9 3.2 1.3
2025Away 3.72 1.25 84.2 5 3 0 7.1 2.9 1.5
2024Home 3.18 1.10 93.1 10 3 0 6.9 2.7 1.0
2024Away 4.00 1.20 99.0 6 8 0 7.4 2.4 1.9
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Stat Review
How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.46
 
K/9
7.5
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
92.5 mph
 
ERA
4.17
 
WHIP
1.30
 
BABIP
.289
 
GB/FB
1.21
 
Left On Base
72.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.7%
 
Spin Rate
2060 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.8%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Berrios had us worried for awhile, but he ended up with a rather valuable fantasy season considering his surrounding circumstances. Berrios won 50 percent of his starts, which is outstanding considering he played for a last-place team that won 74 games all season. He began the season with a phenomenal April in which he won four of his first seven starts, never allowing more than two earned runs in any of them. He then came back to earth, allowing eight earned runs in his eighth start and then closing the first half by allowing 11 home runs over his final eight outings prior to the All-Star break. Berrios sliced more than a full run off his 4.01 first half ERA by stepping up his strikeout rate nearly five full percentage points and ceased hitting batters as 12 of the 13 batters he hit in 2024 came before the break. The 30-plus homers on the season predestined him to a higher ERA, as only Robbie Ray has pitched to an ERA below 3.50 despite allowing 30 or more homers in recent seasons. Berrios is no longer the strikeout guy he was in his earlier years, but he is fifth in innings worked since 2021, trailing only Nola, Webb, Wheeler and Burnes. We would be asking a lot of Berrios to go out and win another 50 percent of his starts for a team that is likely going to be a non-contender once again, but he hasn't missed a start in eons, and you just cannot buy that type of volume these days. If you take some pitching upside risks early in the draft, Berrios is an excellent volume play to help offset the earlier risks.
Berrios put together an impressive bounce-back campaign, shaving more than a run and a half off his ERA after he finished with the worst ERA among qualified starters in 2022. He bumped his strikeout rate back up to 23.5% -- modest, but a big improvement on the previous year and much more in line with his career norms. Berrios offers up four pitches to opposing hitters -- sinker, slurve, four-seamer, changeup -- and he's willing to challenge within the zone even if he doesn't win every battle. It was nice to see that his struggles in 2022 didn't affect his confidence too much, as his walk rate remained low at 6.6%. We've seen what the downside looks like with Berrios, but he has eight years of starting experience at this point and his track record is that of a viable mid-rotation starter. There may still be a buy-low window in fantasy as the memory of his disastrous 2022 lingers.
Considering Berrios was a top-75 pick in most leagues, he goes down as one of the biggest busts of the season. Few predicted a sizable step forward, but even fewer predicted the kind of collapse we saw as Berrios had the worst ERA and WHIP among qualified starters. Despite that, he still had a winning record at 12-7 which speaks to the talent around him in Toronto. The right-hander's strikeout rate plummeted as he allowed a ton of contact in the zone, and while the estimators suggest he was a little unlucky on account of a high BABIP, Berrios mostly deserved his batted-ball luck. His HardHit% and xwOBACON marks ranked in the bottom 15% of the league, per Statcast, not to mention he allowed 29 homers (fourth most in MLB). After his first partial season with the team in 2021, the Blue Jays bet big on Berrios in the form of a seven-year, $131 million contract extension. They will give him a long leash to get back to the form he showed over the five seasons prior to 2022.
While it may not have been the breakthrough season some expected, Berrios did not disappoint. He added a tick to his K% while walking a career low 5.8%, resulting in a personal best 20.4% K-BB%. Berrios amassed 192 innings, tied for sixth most in MLB. In fact, his 108 games started since 2018 is tied for second highest in the league. The righty maintained the velocity gained in 2020, boding well for sustaining an elevated K%. Berrios was acquired by the Blue Jays at the trade deadline, and he impressed enough to rewarded with a seven-year deal. Berrios doesn't have the flashy allure of other starting pitchers, but durability and reliability are fantasy assets. There likely isn't another level, and a full season in the AL East could put a dent in his numbers, but Berrios should be able to withstand the heat and post low-level ace numbers.
Berrios had a similar season at the top of Minnesota's rotation to his two prior All-Star years with some skills growth. Berrios increased his average fastball velocity to a career-high 94.3 mph and a career-high 9.7 K/9. His gains were somewhat offset by a 3.7 BB/9, his worst rate since his struggles in his rookie season. In the opposite of his two prior seasons, he started slow (5.92 ERA over his first five starts) and finished strong (2.79 ERA over his final seven starts). Berrios is able to keep hitters off balance with an excellent curve ball that helped him generate a swinging strike rate of 11.6%, which was 20th in MLB among qualified pitchers. If he can keep the walks in check and avoid any prolonged slumps, he and Kenta Maeda will form a strong 1-2 at the top of the Minnesota rotation.
Berrios had a career-best 3.68 ERA and made his second consecutive All-Star team, but faded in the second half for a second consecutive season. Berrios had a 3.00 ERA before the All-Star break, and 4.64 ERA in the second half. He had a 5.83 ERA over his last eight starts with a 1.55 HR/9 and appeared on fumes heading into the playoffs. His late-season fade belies his durability, as he topped 200 innings for the first time (15th in IP) and has never spent time on the injured list. While his strikeout rate declined slightly (from 25.4% to 23.2%) he improved his groundball (careeer-best 42.1%) and walk rates (career-best 6.1%). He also improved on the road after struggling away from home earlier in his career. Berrios looks set to remain a steady presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could take a leap forward if he can avoid another late-season decline.
Berrios became an All-Star in his second full season and enters 2019 as Minnesota's unquestioned ace. He boosted his K/9 from 8.6 to 9.5 while maintaining roughly league-average walk (2.8 BB/9) and groundball rates (41.5%). Unfortunately his strikeout gains were offset by a spike in HR/FB rate (9.1% to 12.8%), so his WHIP (1.14) moved into a top-20 range, while his ERA (3.84) ranked 32nd among qualified starters. In addition to limiting baserunners and missing bats, Berrios stood out for his durability, ranking 18th in MLB with 192.1 innings while logging seven-plus innings in 13 starts. He did appear to run out of gas late in the season with a 4.56 ERA and 4.7 BB/9 over the last two months, but still had a 10.1 K/9 over that stretch. Berrios has also had a troubling home-away split in his career, with a 4.85 road ERA last season. With good health, the 24-year-old righty should repeat his 2018 and with good luck and/or skills growth, he could surpass it.
Those who held firm in the belief that Berrios was the pitcher we saw in the minors and not the pitcher we saw in the majors in 2016 were handsomely rewarded last season. Berrios struggled so mightily in his big-league debut (8.02 ERA, 5.4 BB/9) it put into question his minor-league success, high pedigree (No. 32 overall pick in 2012) and prominent placement on prospect rankings from 2014 to 2016. He put those concerns to rest once called up to the majors in May by vastly reducing his walks (3.0 BB/9) while maintaining a solid strikeout rate (8.6 K/9) thanks largely to a 94 mph sinker with excellent late movement. He also heavily utilizes his four-seam fastball and hard 82 mph curveball, while occasionally mixing in a changeup, which is clearly his worst pitch. He'll need to improve his performance on the road (5.17 ERA and 12 homers allowed in 15 away starts), but otherwise looks set to take the mantle as Minnesota's ace at age 23.
Berrios entered last year as Minnesota's top pitching prospect, but his first tour of the majors went so poorly it raised questions about his viability to make an impact with the Twins. Berrios began the season at Triple-A and was spectacular at Rochester with a 2.51 ERA and 10.1 K/9 along with the good control he displayed in minors (2.9 BB/9). It was a different story in the majors, as he was hit hard across three stints. Berrios had an 8.02 ERA, gave up 12 home runs in 14 starts and was uncharacteristically wild with a 5.4 BB/9. Successful major league pitchers frequently struggle in their first trip to the majors, but few performed as poorly as Berrios. He did have a respectable 7.5 K/9 and 93.3 mph average fastball in the majors and earned a win with a decent final start (one earned run in five innings). He'll likely need to regroup at Triple-A at the start of the season before he gets another chance in the majors.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, is Minnesota's top pitching prospect and could win a spot in the starting rotation this spring. He began last season at Double-A Chattanooga and was dominant with a 3.08 ERA and 9.2 K/9. He then was even better after being promoted to Triple-A with a 2.62 ERA and 9.9 K/9. Minnesota decided not to call him up in September over concerns about his workload. People once questioned his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), but he's put most of those issues to rest after dominating at the higher levels of the minors. It's possible the Twins could keep Berrios at Triple-A for a couple weeks to gain an extra year of control, but he has proven all he can in the minors, and should be a mainstay in the Twins' rotation at some point in the early going.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, jumped three levels in 2014 and has staked his claim to be considered Minnesota's top pitching prospect. He began the season at High-A, but was promoted to Double-A in July after going 9-3 with a 1.96 ERA and 109:23 K:BB ratio in 96.1 innings. His numbers were not as impressive at Double-A as he had a 3.54 ERA and just a 6.2 K/9, but he held his own as a younger player age 20 at the level. Berrios then made one appearance in September at Triple-A. He has a mid-90s fastball and showed strong strikeout rates before Double-A (10.2 K/9 at High-A) with good control. While some analysts question his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), he's also seen as athletic with strong secondary pitches. Berrios will likely begin the season at Double-A, but a strong first few months could push him to the majors by the end of the summer.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, was impressive in his first full season as a professional. He had a 3.99 ERA, 8.7 K/9 and 100:40 K:BB ratio with Low-A Cedar Rapids at just 19 years old. He did give up 10 runs in 10 innings in his final two starts, after missing time with a right elbow contusion, but he's expected to be fully healthy by spring training. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at 6-0, 190, but he's able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. A strong season at High-A could put him in position to join the Minnesota rotation in 2015.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, had an impressive professional debut as he had a 1.17 ERA and 49:4 K:BB in 30.2 innings between two levels of rookie ball. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at six-feet and 190 pounds, but he is able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. He could quickly rise to among Minnesota's top pitching prospects with a strong showing in his first full season.
More Fantasy News
Placed on 15-day injured list
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
March 25, 2026
The Blue Jays placed Berrios (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
Analysis
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Out with stress fracture in elbow
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
March 18, 2026
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Wednesday that Berrios has been diagnosed with a stress fracture in his right elbow and won't be available for Opening Day, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Will visit doctor Tuesday
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
March 13, 2026
Berrios will have an in-person visit with a doctor Tuesday to evaluate his elbow inflammation, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Scratched with elbow inflammation
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
March 12, 2026
Berrios was scratched from his scheduled Grapefruit League start against the Phillies on Thursday due to right elbow inflammation, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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No-hits Yankees over four frames
PToronto Blue Jays
March 1, 2026
Berrios gave up zero hits or runs over four innings Saturday in the Blue Jays' split-squad game against the Yankees. He struck out two and walked two.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
'Not happy' with bullpen shift
PToronto Blue Jays
December 30, 2025
Berrios, who finished the season on the injured list due to elbow inflammation, wasn't happy about being removed from the rotation late in the regular season and wasn't with the team for the World Series, reports Keegan Matheson of MLB.com.
Analysis
The 31-year-old was bumped to the bullpen in mid-September and made just one relief appearance before landing on the injured list, which was remarkably the first IL stint of his MLB career. Prior to 2025, Berrios had made exactly 32 regular-season starts in six consecutive full-length campaigns, and he closed out 2025 with a 4.17 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 138:56 K:BB over 166 frames. He no longer appears to fit cleanly in Toronto's rotation, with the re-signing of Shane Bieber and additions of Dylan Cease and Cody Ponce significantly bolstering the unit. Berrios clearly still wants to start and certainly has the track record to do so, which could prompt the Blue Jays to trade him this winter.
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