Jesus Luzardo

Jesus Luzardo

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
Out
Injury Back
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
At age 25 last season, Luzardo established himself as a legitimate frontline starter for Miami, and he may not be done ascending. He went into the All-Star break riding high, having allowed just two runs in 25.2 innings with a 35:5 K:BB in his final four starts of the first half. There was talk about what the Marlins might do to manage Luzardo's workload after injuries previously limited him to just over 100 innings in a big-league season. In the end the team didn't do anything to limit Luzardo and he soared past 180 innings when including his four-inning outing in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series. It's the type of jump in innings that we're not used to seeing, and the results suffered down the stretch as the innings added up, though it's debatable whether the workload increase itself is a reason to be cautious with Luzardo entering 2024. He could be in the running to start Opening Day with Sandy Alcantara out after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#332
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.5 million contract with the Marlins in January of 2024.
Won't throw for six more weeks
PMiami Marlins
Back
August 5, 2024
Luzardo (back) will remain shut down from throwing for at least six more weeks, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Luzardo had been participating in workouts throughout July that focused on strengthening his forearm and shoulder. Still, he's yet to throw since being placed on the injured list June 22, and he isn't particularly close to doing so. It's looking increasingly unlikely that Luzardo will pitch again in 2024, especially with the non-contending Marlins having little at stake as the regular season winds down. Luzardo went 3-6 with a 5.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 58:22 K:BB over 66.2 innings before landing on the IL with a lumbar stress reaction.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Jesus Luzardo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jesus Luzardo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .221 280 88 18 57 10 2 7
Since 2022vs Right .229 1135 298 94 235 63 4 34
2024vs Left .267 50 13 5 12 4 0 2
2024vs Right .241 224 45 17 49 8 1 7
2023vs Left .215 159 51 7 32 5 2 3
2023vs Right .246 582 157 48 130 38 1 19
2022vs Left .203 71 24 6 13 1 0 2
2022vs Right .189 329 96 29 56 17 2 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.65 1.13 190.0 9 12 0 10.2 2.7 0.9
Since 2022Away 3.93 1.22 155.2 8 11 0 9.9 3.2 1.3
2024Home 4.81 1.07 39.1 2 3 0 8.7 1.8 0.9
2024Away 5.27 1.50 27.1 1 3 0 6.6 4.6 1.6
2023Home 2.99 1.11 108.1 5 4 0 10.6 2.9 0.9
2023Away 4.48 1.38 70.1 5 6 0 10.2 2.6 1.4
2022Home 4.25 1.23 42.1 2 5 0 10.4 2.8 0.9
2022Away 2.64 0.90 58.0 2 2 0 11.0 3.4 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jesus Luzardo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.64
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
95.1 mph
 
ERA
5.00
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.286
 
GB/FB
1.03
 
Left On Base
65.3%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.5%
 
Spin Rate
2168 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.6%
 
Swinging Strike
13.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Heading into 2022, Luzardo was not only an injury risk, but how well he'd pitch when healthy was also unclear. A year later, he's still a health risk after making only 18 starts due to a midseason forearm strain, but Luzardo assuaged performance fears by dominating, especially late. On May 10, Luzardo was sporting a 4.03 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with 41 strikeouts but 16 walks in 29 innings. He then went on the IL to return on August 1. The lefty recorded a 3.03 ERA and .98 WHIP the rest of the way, fanning 79 with only 19 walks in his final 71.1 frames. Luzardo featured a 96-mph fastball, but his changeup was most effective, generating a 25.9% swinging strike rate. Luzardo needs to maintain his improved control, and of course avoid injury, but if he does, the southpaw has a chance to fulfill the vast promise teased as he was coming up in the Athletics system.
Luzardo endured a brutal 2021 season between Oakland and Miami, but hope springs eternal with young arms this time of year. We're seeing that in camp with the 24-year-old lefty. Luzardo was up a couple ticks from last season in his March 22 Grapefruit League appearance, routinely touching 98-99 mph with his fastball, generating quite a bit of buzz on social media. He was once a big-time prospect and it's easy to dream on the upside if he gets on track with the Marlins, but Luzardo has dealt with a lot of health issues in his young career. He had Tommy John surgery before he was drafted, his 2019 was mostly wiped out by shoulder and lat trouble and he hurt his pinkie playing video games last year. Be realistic with workload expectations.
Luzardo tested positive for COVID-19 in July and worked out of the bullpen for the A's initially as he built up. He ended up making his first career start Aug. 4 and was up-and-down from there, turning in some clunkers but also flashing brilliance like he did in scoreless starts against Arizona and San Francisco. The lefty throws 95-96 mph with his four-seamer and sinker, and both his changeup and curveball had whiff rates of 45% per Statcast. His season ended in disappointing fashion with Luzardo serving up multiple homers in both postseason appearances (four in 7.2 innings). Luzardo has undergone Tommy John surgery and missed most of 2019 with a rotator cuff strain and subsequent Grade 2 lat strain, so there is considerable injury risk here. The play may be to wait to invest until 2022 since Luzardo still carries a lot of prospect shine and needs a season to build up before he can be a workhorse.
Luzardo seemed on track to make the Opening Day rotation before a rotator cuff strain and a subsequent Grade 2 lat strain wiped out much of his season. Including the playoffs, Luzardo logged 63.2 innings, so the top concern with him for 2020 is workload. It is unclear how the A's will manage his role throughout the season, but we shouldn't expect Luzardo to log much more than 100 innings in the big-league rotation. He threw his 83-mph curveball, 96-mph sinker, 87-mph changeup and 97-mph fourseam fastball all between 20 and 31 percent of the time, filling up the zone and effectively keeping hitters off balance. All four pitches have at least plus potential, especially when his command is on. He has the repertoire to improve upon his 42.3 GB% over a larger sample. Durability concerns will linger until the 6-foot southpaw proves he can handle a starter's workload, but Luzardo clearly has ace-level stuff.
The A’s jumped Luzardo over Low-A, assigned him to the Cal League and promoted him to Double-A after just three starts at High-A. It was around that point when he cemented his status as the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game. The foundation for his filthy three-pitch mix is a low-to-mid-90s fastball that he locates to both sides of the plate. Once ahead in the count, he sits hitters down with his plus changeup or above-average curveball. At 6-foot-1, 205 pounds, Luzardo doesn’t cut the figure of a typical ace, but has the combination of stuff, command and pitchability that is typically seen in frontline starters. He logged 109.1 innings in his first full season since undergoing Tommy John surgery, and should eclipse 150 innings if he stays relatively healthy. The A’s surprisingly called up Sean Manaea in late April of 2016 with just three starts at Triple-A under his belt, so we could see Luzardo in the big-league rotation pretty early this season.
It's not often that teams part with lefties with advanced pitchability who project to have at least two plus pitches, but that's exactly what the Nationals did in a mid-July trade that netted them Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson while sending Luzardo, Sheldon Neuse and Blake Treinen to Oakland. Luzardo's fastball sits in the mid-90s and he boasts above-average command and a changeup that projects as a second plus offering. He fell to the 94th pick in the 2016 draft after undergoing Tommy John surgery less than two months before the draft. However, prior to the injury, he was seen as a first-round talent. Even if his curveball never becomes better than an average pitch, the package equates to a No. 3 starter. His 2017 production was outstanding, but he was working on strict pitch counts and his overall repertoire was way too advanced for most short-season hitters. Building up his workload and getting more consistent with his secondaries will be his directives for 2018. He could move extremely quickly once the training wheels come off in 2019.
More Fantasy News
Taking part in strengthening work
PMiami Marlins
Back
July 18, 2024
Luzardo (back) has been participating in bike workouts and working on forearm and shoulder strengthening in recent weeks, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moved to 60-day IL
PMiami Marlins
Back
June 23, 2024
The Marlins transferred Luzardo (back) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Likely out 4-to-6 weeks
PMiami Marlins
Back
June 22, 2024
Marlins manager Skip Schumaker said that Luzardo, who was placed on the 15-day injured list earlier Saturday with a lumbar stress reaction, will likely be out for 4-to-6 weeks, the Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Headed to injured list
PMiami Marlins
Back
June 22, 2024
The Marlins placed Luzardo on the 15-day injured list Saturday due to a lumbar stress reaction.
ANALYSIS
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Missing Saturday's start
PMiami Marlins
Back
June 21, 2024
Luzardo (back) won't start Saturday's game against the Mariners, Daniel Alvarez-Montes of ElExtraBase.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Teams still checking in
PMiami Marlins
July 7, 2024
Per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, multiple teams have touched base with the Marlins regarding Luzardo's availability despite the fact he's on the 60-day injured list with a lumbar stress reaction.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander isn't eligible to be reinstated from the IL until Aug. 18 -- well past the July 30 trade deadline -- and there's certainly no guarantee he'll be available at that point. Luzardo also struggled a bit when healthy this season with a 5.00 ERA and 7.8 K/9, though a 3.0 BB/9 and 1.25 WHIP are closer to his 2023 numbers. Between injuries and inconsistent performance this year, the 26-year-old's trade value certainly isn't at its peak. Luzardo has two more years of arbitration eligibility before hitting free agency after the 2026 campaign, so the Marlins likely won't be in a rush to trade him this summer.
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