Dylan Carlson

Dylan Carlson

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Chicago Cubs AAA
2026 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Dylan Carlson in 2026. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in January of 2026.
DFA'd to make room for Suzuki
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
April 10, 2026
The Cubs designated Carlson for assignment Friday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
Analysis
The move clears room on the 26-man roster for Seiya Suzuki, who was activated from the 10-day IL in a corresponding move Friday. Carlson went 0-for-4 with one run scored and a pair of strikeouts across four plate appearances with Chicago.
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Batting Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left .565 191 12 2 14 0 .206 .283 .282
Since 2024vs Right .594 319 25 7 32 5 .203 .279 .315
2026vs Left .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2026vs Right .000 1 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2025vs Left .529 72 3 1 5 0 .206 .250 .279
2025vs Right .652 169 14 5 15 3 .201 .290 .362
2024vs Left .603 116 9 1 9 0 .212 .310 .293
2024vs Right .533 149 10 2 17 2 .206 .268 .265
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2024
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024Home .644 230 19 4 25 4 .239 .304 .340
Since 2024Away .532 280 18 5 20 1 .174 .261 .271
2026Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026Away .000 4 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2025Home .662 109 8 2 12 2 .237 .312 .351
2025Away .575 132 9 4 8 1 .175 .250 .325
2024Home .628 121 11 2 13 2 .241 .298 .330
2024Away .505 144 8 1 12 0 .179 .278 .228
Minor League Left/Right Batting Splits (AAA)
Since 2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2026
No Stats
2025
 
 
+49%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2024vs Left .963 23 1 2 .333 .391 .571
Since 2024vs Right .867 118 4 16 .283 .432 .435
2026vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Left .921 23 1 2 .333 9.000 .571
2025vs Right .617 103 3 15 .284 44.000 .420
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right .782 15 1 1 .273 6.067 .545
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.00
 
BB Rate
0.0%
 
K Rate
50.0%
 
BABIP
.000
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.000
 
OBP
.000
 
SLG
.000
 
OPS
.000
 
wOBA
.000
 
Exit Velocity
84.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
50.0%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Expected BA
.067
 
Expected SLG
.096
 
Sprint Speed
24.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
50.0%
 
Line Drive %
0.0%
 
Fly Ball %
50.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
There was a time when Carlson was one of the top prospects in baseball. There likely wasn't a scenario where managers envisioned Carlson signing a one-year deal at age 26 after being dumped by his second organization, but Baltimore swooped in and gave him a six-figure guarantee after he was non-tendered by Tampa Bay at the deadline. The Rays acquired Carlson at the last second of the deadline and hoped there was some more magic dust in the cupboard that had been applied to Randy Arozarena and Tommy Pham when those two outfielders were acquired from St. Louis, but the canister must have had an expiration date, as Carlson did very little for the Rays. He hit all three of his homers for them and hit 20 points better after the trade, but his actual and expected batting average on non-off-speed pitches was below .200 and his swing-and-miss rate was at least 30 percent on all pitch types. The old adage that says, once you display a skill, you own it, applies here, because Carlson has nearly 1,750 plate appearances in his major league career, and outside of a hot second half of 2021 in which he hit 11 homers with a .277/.343/.505 slash line, he has done very little over the remaining 1,500 plate appearances on his resume.
Just a few short years ago, Carlson was regarded as a promising, up-and-coming big leaguer, but his shine has taken a considerable hit on account of his .230/.316/.364 batting line over the past two seasons (743 plate appearances). He injured his left ankle in mid-May of last year and battled the ankle throughout the campaign before ultimately undergoing surgery in September. The outfielder was cleared for running and baseball activities in December, but he will still be brought along slowly in spring training. Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol once considered Carlson his leadoff hitter of the future, and his optimism was justified after a 2021 season in which Carlson had 53 extra-base hits and a .343 OBP at the age of 22. Now 25, Carlson figures to bounce back with better luck on the health front, though he is not assured a regular role out of camp and may in fact open the year as the Cardinals' fourth outfielder.
Carlson's own manager was driving the hype train last spring, predicting big things for a player he envisioned as his leadoff man. That train went off the rails in a hurry as Carlson mostly struggled before landing on the injured list in May with a hamstring strain. A thumb sprain put him back on the shelf in September and the outfielder couldn't really get going in between. In the end, Carlson slashed .236/.316/.380 across 488 plate appearances. After popping 18 home runs in 2021, Carlson managed eight long balls last season to go along with five steals in seven attempts. If there's a silver lining it's that Carlson trimmed his strikeout rate five percentage points to 19.3%. Keep in mind too that Carlson is still only 24 years old and will be for the entirely of the 2023 season. While far too young to give up on, the switch hitter had dramatic platoon splits and the Cardinals may be forced dial back his playing time slightly if his struggles against lefties continue.
Many prospects cruising through Double A and Triple A when they're 20 years old are overmatched in the majors if they debut the next season. Such was the case for Carlson in 2020 before he picked things up down the stretch. Carlson's follow-up was much better as he demonstrated many of the skills earning him top prospect status. Specifically, Carlson improved his plate discipline by walking more and fanning less. His overall average exit velocity was only 29th percentile, but it was closer to league average on flyballs, supporting power. A low exit velocity on grounders combined with 73rd percentile sprint speed and a little good fortune yielded a .250 BABIP on groundballs, 11 points above average. It all added up to a 113 wRC+, impressive for a 22-year-old. Carlson has 25-15 upside, just temper expectations this season. Pay for moderate growth, likely from continued improvement with his plate discipline.
The best Cardinals hitting prospect since Oscar Taveras, Carlson was a spring training standout and would have spent the bulk of the year in the majors under normal circumstances. He eventually got the call in mid-August when the Cardinals resumed play following a team-wide COVID-19 outbreak. He struggled and was demoted in early September. While it's damning with faint praise, Carlson was the Cardinals' best hitter after getting recalled Sept. 18. Including three playoff games, he hit .288/.389/.533 over his final 54 PA. Strikeouts were still an issue over that stretch (27.8 K%), but he got a lot more patient (13.0 BB%) as he settled in against big-league pitching. He doesn't have eye-popping exit velocity readings or blazing speed (74th percentile), but the 22-year-old switch hitter projects to be good at every aspect of the game. He should open the year with a prime lineup spot and everyday role.
In just one season, Carlson went from an interesting sleeper in the Cardinals' system to a top-10 prospect in all of baseball, and he is now knocking on the door of the majors. He was the second-youngest player and second-best hitter (142 wRC+) in the Texas League, and his 10.8 BB% and 20.3 K% are marks we would expect from a player several years older. Carlson's 33.3 Oppo% and 25.9 LD% on that circuit were also elite marks and his above-average speed led to 18 steals on 25 attempts. The switch hitter posted the best statistics of his career in 18 games at Triple-A, but there was obviously a lot of noise in those numbers. Carlson has a chance to be a plus contributor in all five roto categories, but it's his high floor that makes him so appealing in dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of who the Cardinals open the year with in the outfield, Carlson should force the issue sometime in the first half.
More Fantasy News
Contract selected
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
March 24, 2026
The Cubs selected Carlson's contract from Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.
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Will make roster
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
March 24, 2026
Carlson was informed Tuesday that he will make Chicago's Opening Day roster, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
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Making case for roster spot
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
March 9, 2026
Carlson is having a solid spring with a 1.071 OPS across 20 Cactus League at-bats, and he stands a decent chance at earning an Opening Day bench spot with the Cubs, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
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Nets NRI from Cubs
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
January 26, 2026
The Cubs signed Carlson to a minor-league contract Saturday that includes an invitation to spring training, Greg Zumach of The Baseball Tribune reports.
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Opts for free agency
OFFree Agent  AAA
November 6, 2025
Carlson elected free agency Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to break camp with Cubs
OFChicago Cubs  AAA
March 23, 2026
Carlson has a high chance to make the Cubs roster for Opening Day, according to Brett Taylor of Bleacher Nation.
Analysis
The Cubs optioned Kevin Alcantara to Triple-A Iowa on Monday, meaning Carlson has a leg up in the race to earn the final bench spot. Carlson had a career-worst season in 2025 with the Orioles, hitting .203 with a .614 OPS across 83 regular-season games. It was his third straight season hitting under .220, but he's shown enough in spring training to be considered a reliable option for a bench spot.
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