Cristian Pache

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Miami Marlins AAA

2024 Stats

AVG

.200

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

It wasn't too long ago that Pache was one of the game's more exciting prospects, the sort of player who could headline a package for Matt Olson. Yet he found himself incapable of securing an Opening Day roster spot with the lowly Athletics last March, and with his minor-league options exhausted, he was traded to the Phillies for a minor-league reliever. A bench role on a good team suits Pache's current skill set just fine, and the result was the 24-year-old's best big-league campaign to date - though that's an admittedly low bar to clear. Knee and elbow injuries limited him to just 48 games, and his role as a defensive replacement limited his playing time still further to just 95 trips to the plate, but his .238/.319/.417 slash line was good for a nearly-average 99 wRC+, a fine mark for a role player. Pache earned the occasional start against left-handers, including a pair in the postseason, though the emergence of fellow glove-first right-handed outfielder Johan Rojas could limit those opportunities in 2024. While Pache may now be a legitimate big-league bench player, it would take both a move and some substantial growth at the plate to give him much fantasy appeal. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

From Preseason

#362

ADP

League AAA

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man No

Height 6'2"

Weight 185

DOB 11/19/1998

Drafted 2015

Outrighted to Triple-A

OFMiami Marlins AAA

September 26, 2024

The Marlins outrighted Pache to Triple-A Jacksonville on Wednesday.

ANALYSIS
Pache passed through waivers unclaimed after being removed from the 40-man roster and will remain in the organization for the time being. The 25-year-old is a career .181/.243/.275 hitter over parts of five major-league seasons.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+68%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+49%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+106%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+55%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.671	276	24	4	28	2	.233	.305	.365
Since 2022vs Right	.400	262	19	2	17	3	.145	.201	.199
2024vs Left	.611	130	9	1	10	1	.207	.292	.319
2024vs Right	.410	53	4	0	6	0	.184	.226	.184
2023vs Left	.924	57	8	2	9	1	.314	.375	.549
2023vs Right	.449	38	4	0	2	1	.121	.237	.212
2022vs Left	.598	89	7	1	9	0	.220	.281	.317
2022vs Right	.386	171	11	2	9	2	.138	.185	.201
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS on Road

2024

+14%

OPS at Home

2023

+16%

OPS at Home

2022

+36%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.520	251	16	3	18	3	.180	.259	.261
Since 2022Away	.553	287	27	3	27	2	.198	.251	.302
2024Home	.590	87	6	1	10	0	.197	.287	.303
2024Away	.519	96	7	0	6	1	.202	.260	.258
2023Home	.800	40	4	1	5	1	.265	.359	.441
2023Away	.691	55	8	1	6	1	.220	.291	.400
2022Home	.385	124	6	1	3	2	.143	.207	.179
2022Away	.523	136	12	2	15	0	.186	.228	.295
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Stat Review

How does Cristian Pache compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.27

BB Rate

9.3%

K Rate

35.0%

BABIP

.317

ISO

.079

AVG

.200

OBP

.273

SLG

.279

OPS

.552

wOBA

.252

Exit Velocity

89.9 mph

Hard Hit Rate

35.3%

Barrels/PA

2.7%

Expected BA

.197

Expected SLG

.292

Sprint Speed

25.1 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.5%

Line Drive %

15.2%

Fly Ball %

34.3%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Pache received his first extended run in the majors during 2022 and unsurprisingly provided strong defense in center field, but he was abysmal at the plate with a .166/.218/.241 slash line in 91 games. His 35 wRC+ was the worst in the majors for any player with at least 200 plate appearances. A 26.9 percent strikeout rate was solid for a rookie campaign, but a 5.8 percent walk rate and 3.4 percent barrel rate need more improvement. Pache is entering his age-24 season and is out of minor-league options, and his spot on Oakland's big-league roster is precarious after the acquisition of Esteury Ruiz, who is expected to receive the chance to start in center field after being acquired from Milwaukee in the Sean Murphy trade.

Pache is a talented young player with some upside, but unfortunately he is still far from realizing his full potential. He is a terrific defender with speed, and that alone should keep him in the major leagues for many years. His offensive game has not been statistically impressive, but remember he has competed at the upper levels of the minors at ages 20-22, with a year away from everyday competition. In his current form, he is Kevin Kiermaier with less playing time, making him an interesting very late endgame speed source while hoping the rest of his offense is not a complete drain on your roster.

Pache has been an exciting, yet flawed prospect for five years now, and he finally reached the majors in 2020, getting four regular-season plate appearances and another 25 across 12 playoff games. The righty-hitting outfielder hit his first MLB home run in the NLCS off lefty Julio Urias. His hit tool has always been his worst tool, while his center field defense is a game-changing weapon that should keep him in the lineup for a few years no matter how much he struggles at the plate (within reason). His 70-grade speed will aid him in the outfield and on the sprint speed leaderboard, but he was 8-for-21 on SB attempts at Double-A (60.4% success rate for his career) and did not even attempt a steal in 26 games at Triple-A. Pache has enough pop to ambush mistakes, but his AVG and OBP will likely relegate him to the bottom third of the lineup. He should open the year as Atlanta's everyday center fielder.

This has always been the case with Pache, but as he nears his big-league debut, it is worth repeating: his hit tool is easily his worst tool. If he can't fix his extremely pull-heavy approach, he will be easily neutralized by shifts in the majors. This doesn't mean he is not an awesome real-life prospect. He could win multiple Gold Gloves in center field and could hit 25-plus home runs in his peak power seasons. There would not be a big gap between his real-life and fantasy value if his plus speed translated as well on the bases as it does in center field, but he was 8-for-21 on stolen-base attempts at Double-A (60.4% success rate for his career) and did not even attempt a steal in 26 games at Triple-A. So, for all the 60s and 70s on his scouting report, if he only hits .250 with 25 home runs and a handful of steals while batting at the bottom of the order, he will be a late-round pick in mixed leagues.

There may not be a more overrated position player for dynasty leagues than Pache. He does very well on real-life prospect rankings because he has a chance to be an 80-grade defender in center field, but there is a big gap between his projected defensive value and what he will likely contribute at the dish. Pache has been able to post decent batting averages, largely because his speed allows him to leg out groundballs against minor-league defenders. He is still learning to utilize his 70-grade wheels on the bases -- Pache was only 10-for-18 on stolen-base attempts last year, including the Arizona Fall League. The Braves are trying to coax more power out of him, which has resulted in elevated strikeout totals. He is being fast-tracked to the big leagues because of his glove, while his bat probably needs two more seasons in the minors. His defense will earn him an everyday job, which could lead to 20-plus steals, which is the main selling point for fantasy.

Pache has 200 hits in 176 games as a pro and zero of those have left the yard. Five or six years ago, he wouldn't have been very appealing in fantasy leagues, but as a 70-grade runner with solid bat-to-ball skills, he is intriguing in today's speed deprived landscape. His center field defense is elite, which means he doesn't have to do much damage with the bat to profile as a regular. If he gets everyday at-bats, Pache could offer 30-plus steals annually throughout his 20s. He was the youngest hitter in the Sally League and was still almost a league average hitter (98 wRC+) without hitting a home run. Some evaluators expect him to eventually offer double-digit homer pop as he continues to grow into his athletic 6-foot-2 frame. He has a pull-heavy approach (50.4 percent), which is a bit concerning, so it's not a lock that he will hit better than .260 or .270. Fortunately Pache's walk rate continues to trend up, and if that continues, his stolen-base upside will increase, as will his chances of hitting atop a big-league lineup.

The Braves' recent uptick in international activity is starting to bear fruit, with Pache being just the latest in a line of high-pedigree hitters to impress as a 17-year-old in his stateside debut. He fits the mold of a lanky, toolsy center field prospect. Pache hit .309/.349/.391 with four doubles, seven triples and zero homers across stops in the Gulf Coast and Appalachian leagues, but at 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, and with plus bat speed, it won't be long before he starts hitting balls over the fence in games. His plus-plus speed and knack for making good contact define his present offensive skill set, and for someone who could spend the bulk of his age-18 season at Low-A Rome, that should be enough to get the attention of prospect hounds. In leagues where owners need to be overhasty to land prospects like Victor Robles or Ronald Acuna, it's worth taking a flier on Pache this offseason in case he hits the ground running in the Sally League.

More Fantasy News

Exits 40-man roster

OFMiami Marlins AAA

September 24, 2024

The Marlins designated Pache for assignment Tuesday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.