2025 Stats
W-L
11-9
ERA
3.35
WHIP
1.24
K
124
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Bello's 3.35 ERA looks strong on the surface, but underlying metrics suggest it should have been closer to a run higher. He benefited from an unusually low BABIP for a groundball pitcher and a favorable left-on-base rate. Although he sharpened his control and did a better job limiting home runs, his strikeout rate dropped sharply to a modest 17.7 percent. A shift in pitch mix contributed to the decline: he threw more four-seamers and added a cutter while reducing his slider and changeup usage, even though those two pitches generate most of his whiffs. The Red Sox have a solid track record of helping pitchers adjust, so there's a pathway for Bello to regain some of his lost swing-and-miss ability. Still, if the strikeout rate remains low, his ERA is likely to fall in line with the estimators. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Part of trade talks
Bello has been the subject of recent trade talks, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
According to a December report from Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon of The Athletic, the Red Sox "quietly shopped" Bello -- something the organization disputed at the time -- but a league source confirmed to McCaffrey that Bello's name has surfaced in trade discussions. What's changed since December is that Boston's added several starters and has a wealth of starting options that could make other teams enviable. In addition to Bello, Patrick Sandoval and Jordan Hicks are generating interest. The 26-year-old Bello is entering the third year of a six-year deal and is seen as a young, controllable mid-rotation starter another organization might covet. Apparently, Boston is more likely to trade Bello than its top prospects, Connelly Early or Payton Tolle. Bello posted a 3.35 ERA in 2025, but it could have been higher given a favorable BABIP (.268) and a lack of swing-and-miss ability (17.7 strikeout percentage, 6.7 K/9).
According to a December report from Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon of The Athletic, the Red Sox "quietly shopped" Bello -- something the organization disputed at the time -- but a league source confirmed to McCaffrey that Bello's name has surfaced in trade discussions. What's changed since December is that Boston's added several starters and has a wealth of starting options that could make other teams enviable. In addition to Bello, Patrick Sandoval and Jordan Hicks are generating interest. The 26-year-old Bello is entering the third year of a six-year deal and is seen as a young, controllable mid-rotation starter another organization might covet. Apparently, Boston is more likely to trade Bello than its top prospects, Connelly Early or Payton Tolle. Bello posted a 3.35 ERA in 2025, but it could have been higher given a favorable BABIP (.268) and a lack of swing-and-miss ability (17.7 strikeout percentage, 6.7 K/9).
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-5%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .267 | 183 | 105 | 262 | 35 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .238 | 226 | 63 | 207 | 24 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .232 | 67 | 41 | 83 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .243 | 57 | 18 | 64 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .313 | 44 | 21 | 93 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .229 | 88 | 24 | 72 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
Even Split
2025
-13%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.01 | 1.36 | 260.1 | 7.4 | 3.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.03 | 1.25 | 225.2 | 7.7 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.53 | 1.30 | 102.0 | 6.8 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.06 | 1.13 | 64.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.86 | 1.35 | 81.2 | 7.5 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.66 | 1.33 | 75.1 | 7.6 | 2.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.10K/9
6.7BB/9
3.2HR/9
0.9Fastball
94.6 mphERA
3.35WHIP
1.24BABIP
.275GB/FB
1.72Left On Base
73.5%Exit Velocity
82.8 mphBarrels/BBE
4.8%Spin Rate
2191 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.7%Swinging Strike
8.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler.
More Fantasy News
Coughs up two in brief start
Bello didn't factor into the decision during Wednesday's 4-3 loss to the Yankees, giving up two earned runs on four hits and a walk over 2.1 innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
Analysis
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Takes third straight loss
Bello (11-9) took the loss Thursday against the Blue Jays, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits and three walks while striking out three over five-plus innings.
Analysis
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Struggles to provide length in loss
Bello (11-8) was charged with the loss Thursday against the Athletics, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks in four innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Stumbles against Yanks
Bello (11-7) took the loss Saturday as the Red Sox were downed 5-3 by the Yankees, giving up four runs on five hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Turns in quality start
Bello allowed three runs on four hits and a walk while striking out two over six innings in a no-decision versus the Diamondbacks on Sunday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Emerging in trade talks
Bello has been discussed in recent trade talks, according to Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.