2026 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.93
K
13
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Bello's 3.35 ERA looks strong on the surface, but underlying metrics suggest it should have been closer to a run higher. He benefited from an unusually low BABIP for a groundball pitcher and a favorable left-on-base rate. Although he sharpened his control and did a better job limiting home runs, his strikeout rate dropped sharply to a modest 17.7 percent. A shift in pitch mix contributed to the decline: he threw more four-seamers and added a cutter while reducing his slider and changeup usage, even though those two pitches generate most of his whiffs. The Red Sox have a solid track record of helping pitchers adjust, so there's a pathway for Bello to regain some of his lost swing-and-miss ability. Still, if the strikeout rate remains low, his ERA is likely to fall in line with the estimators. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Struggles out of gate
Bello (1-2) took the loss against the Tigers on Saturday, allowing four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four across four innings.
Analysis
It was going to be tough for Bello to come away with the win Saturday as he faced Tarik Skubal on the mound, but the former did himself no favors in the first inning. Bello ran up his pitch count to 35 in the opening frame, somehow limiting the damage to just one run despite loading the bases. He settled in over the next two innings before giving up another three runs in the fourth, and Bello was unable to avoid the loss as his teammates generated just one run. He has given up three runs or more in three of his first four starts of the season and has a 6.75 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over 18.2 innings. Bello will look to bounce back in his next start, which is tentatively slated for next week at home against the rival Yankees.
It was going to be tough for Bello to come away with the win Saturday as he faced Tarik Skubal on the mound, but the former did himself no favors in the first inning. Bello ran up his pitch count to 35 in the opening frame, somehow limiting the damage to just one run despite loading the bases. He settled in over the next two innings before giving up another three runs in the fourth, and Bello was unable to avoid the loss as his teammates generated just one run. He has given up three runs or more in three of his first four starts of the season and has a 6.75 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over 18.2 innings. Bello will look to bounce back in his next start, which is tentatively slated for next week at home against the rival Yankees.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-18%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .252 | 145 | 90 | 182 | 24 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .245 | 145 | 45 | 146 | 14 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .342 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .282 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .232 | 67 | 41 | 83 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .243 | 57 | 18 | 64 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-10%
ERA on Road
2026
-35%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 4.26 | 1.41 | 186.0 | 7.5 | 3.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 3.84 | 1.24 | 161.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2026Home | 8.59 | 2.32 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 8.6 | ||||
| 2026Away | 5.56 | 1.68 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 4.0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.53 | 1.30 | 102.0 | 6.8 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.06 | 1.13 | 64.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.08K/9
6.3BB/9
5.8HR/9
1.4Fastball
94.1 mphERA
6.75WHIP
1.93BABIP
.346GB/FB
2.06Left On Base
62.9%Exit Velocity
80.9 mphBarrels/BBE
8.7%Spin Rate
2118 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.1%Swinging Strike
15.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler.
More Fantasy News
Stymies St. Louis for first win
Bello (1-1) earned the win Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks with two strikeouts across 6.2 innings.
Analysis
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Another poor outing Monday
Bello took a no-decision Monday against the Brewers, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and four walks in 3.1 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Roughed up in first start of 2026
Bello (0-1) took the loss against the Astros on Tuesday, allowing six runs (five earned) on eight hits and three walks while striking out two across 4.2 innings.
Analysis
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Rough spring continues
Bello allowed five runs on four hits and one walk while striking out one over two innings in Friday's spring start against Atlanta.
Analysis
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Roughed up by Toronto
Bello allowed four runs on four hits and one walk while striking out two over 1.1 innings during Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays. He didn't factor into the decision.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Emerging in trade talks
Bello has been discussed in recent trade talks, according to Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.