Braxton Garrett

27-Year-Old PitcherSP

Miami Marlins

Out

Injury Elbow

Est. Return 2/1/2025

2024 Stats

W-L

2-2

ERA

5.35

WHIP

1.19

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

The left-hander was effective in 2023 during his first full season as an MLB starter with a 3.66 ERA across 159.2 innings, but he was limited to just seven outings in 2024. Garrett didn't make his season debut until mid-May due to a shoulder issue, and he returned to the injured list a month later due to a flexor strain in his forearm. He also suffered a setback in his rehab during September with an elbow impingement, but he's still expected to be available for the start of spring training. The results aren't worth considering too much given the sample size and injuries, but he had a 34:4 K:BB and 1.19 WHIP, which helped result in a 3.81 FIP. Garrett missed time due to Tommy John surgery shortly after being drafted in 2016, but other than that he's stayed mostly healthy throughout his professional career. The persistent and varying arm issues in 2024 remain a major concern, and further issues wouldn't be surprising after dealing with elbow, forearm and shoulder problems. The upside here is obvious, but the reward of a healthy season from Garrett carries plenty of risk. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 190

DOB 8/5/1997

Drafted 1st Rd 2016

Dealing with elbow impingement

PMiami Marlins

Elbow

October 11, 2024

Garrett was diagnosed with a left elbow impingement last week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Garrett missed multiple months of action with a strained left forearm before suffering a setback with his elbow during a bullpen session in September. He is currently going through a throwing progression at the Marlins' spring training complex in Florida, and the setback isn't considered something that will jeopardize his availability for the start of spring training.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Braxton Garrett generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Braxton Garrett generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-21%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-19%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-38%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.210	284	73	19	54	9	1	5
Since 2022vs Right	.266	909	207	38	226	53	6	29
2024vs Left	.294	38	8	2	10	2	0	1
2024vs Right	.254	123	26	2	30	6	0	4
2023vs Left	.211	156	39	11	30	5	1	3
2023vs Right	.261	503	117	18	124	32	3	17
2022vs Left	.173	90	26	6	14	2	0	1
2022vs Right	.280	283	64	18	72	15	3	8
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-26%

ERA on Road

2024

-71%

ERA on Road

2023

-36%

ERA on Road

2022

-40%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.44	1.29	140.0	4	8	0	10.2	2.1	1.2
Since 2022Away	3.30	1.08	144.2	10	8	0	7.6	1.5	1.0
2024Home	8.35	1.47	18.1	0	1	0	10.8	2.0	1.0
2024Away	2.41	0.91	18.2	2	1	0	5.8	0.0	1.4
2023Home	4.46	1.25	80.2	3	4	0	9.3	1.5	1.5
2023Away	2.85	1.04	79.0	6	3	0	8.3	1.8	0.8
2022Home	2.63	1.29	41.0	1	3	0	11.6	3.5	0.7
2022Away	4.40	1.21	47.0	2	4	0	7.1	1.5	1.1
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Stat Review

How does Braxton Garrett compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

8.50

K/9

8.3

BB/9

1.0

HR/9

1.2

Fastball

90.2 mph

ERA

5.35

WHIP

1.19

BABIP

.332

GB/FB

1.94

Left On Base

54.1%

Exit Velocity

83.6 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.5%

Spin Rate

2112 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

29.4%

Swinging Strike

9.9%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Braxton Garrett Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Marlins Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2021

2020

2018

2017

Garrett's first full season in the big-league rotation was a rousing success, as he struck out more than five batters for every one he walked and maintained a 3.66 ERA over 159.2 innings. The seventh overall pick by Miami in 2016, he lost essentially two years of development time due to Tommy John surgery and the pandemic. While the left-hander doesn't light up the radar gun, the slider has proven to be a quality swing-and-miss pitch for him (40% Whiff the last two seasons). He keeps the ball on the ground and locates all six of his pitches for strikes. Those playing the fantasy game may find it tough to get excited about such a control-dependent pitcher lacking overpowering dominance (career 23.3 K%), but the skills point to a mid-3.00s ERA being sustainable. Still just 26, Garrett should be able to add innings to his 2023 total.

Garrett began the season with Triple-A Jacksonville, on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. When he was able to take the hill, Garrett pitched well for seven starts before being called up in early June. He initially struggled, at least on the surface a .411 BABIP and 67% LOB mark bloated his 5.24 ERA well over the associated 3.38 FIP and 3.68 xFIP. Regression ensued as Garrett recorded a 3.02 ERA and 1.10 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a solid 25.4% K-BB% mark and 3.62 FIP and 3.45 xFIP. Garrett doesn't have the pedigree of some of his teammates, but he's always been able to miss bats and his control has improved over the last couple of seasons. Miami has a bevy of fledgling arms, but Garrett has a chance to break camp in the back end of their rotation. He checks all the boxes for a mixed league streamer.

Garrett was called upon to make a pair of starts for the Marlins last season despite having previously logged a single appearance above High-A ball. He fared well in his debut, allowing one run and striking out six over five innings, but was far less effective his next time out, yielding four earned runs in 2.2 frames. The southpaw doesn't throw hard -- he averaged less than 90 mph on his fastball in his two big-league appearances -- but has registered over a strikeout per inning over the course of his brief professional career thanks to a standout curveball and mature pitching acumen. Those skills could allow Garrett to ascend to a role as a solid mid-rotation starter, especially if he is able to bump up his velocity. He is likely to open 2021 at Triple-A but should be among the first in line for a big-league rotation spot should the opportunity become available.

Tommy John surgery delayed Garrett's professional development, but the No. 7 overall pick in 2016 finally logged his first full season and looked like a future No. 3 starter. A 22-year-old lefty with an excellent frame (6-foot-3, 190 pounds), Garrett features a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 mph, a plus curveball that has long been his calling card and an average changeup. He is still pretty projectable, so we could see his fastball add some juice and his changeup could be at least an above-average offering by the time he reaches the majors. He has an easy delivery that portends above-average command, and he showed last year (52.7 GB%) that he is already adept at inducing weak contact. This should be his final full season in the minors, opening at Double-A and finishing at Triple-A, with a 2021 MLB debut on tap if he stays healthy.

Garrett, who the Marlins selected with the No. 7 pick in the 2016 draft, only logged 15.1 innings in 2017 before eventually needing Tommy John surgery in late June. This, after he didn't pitch at all the year he was drafted as the Marlins attempted to exercise caution with his workload. Even though Garrett won't return to game action until July or August of this year, at the earliest, he is still one of the top prospects in a system that was essentially bare before this offseason's rebuild. A lefty with the potential for a plus fastball, plus curveball and above-average command, Garrett could top out as a No. 2 starter if his recovery goes perfectly and his changeup develops. The more likely outcome is that he develops into a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Given how much his development is delayed, Garrett is unlikely to reach the majors until 2021 or 2022.

Garrett might be the safest of the high school arms from the 2016 draft class, which is an odd statement considering he is the only pitcher who was selected in the first 30 picks who has not yet pitched in a game. The Marlins opted to let Garrett take his time in his recovery from Tommy John surgery rather than rush him to an affiliate. He fell to the Marlins with the seventh pick, but his $4.15 million bonus ranks third in the class, reflecting his pre-draft pedigree. Unfortunately that pedigree does not quite translate over to fantasy. Garrett, a 6-foot-3, 190-pound southpaw, should be owned in leagues that roster 125-plus prospects, but he lacks frontline upside. A low-90s fastball and plus curveball lead a three-pitch mix, and if everything goes well, he will develop into a No. 3 starter. Jason Groome, Forrest Whitley, Riley Pint and Matt Manning are preferable investments among the prep arms from his draft class.

More Fantasy News

Suffers setback

PMiami Marlins

Forearm

September 21, 2024

Manager Skip Schumaker said Saturday that Garrett experienced discomfort in his elbow during his latest bullpen session, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Makes second rehab start

PMiami Marlins

Forearm

September 17, 2024

Garrett (forearm) tossed three scoreless innings in his rehab start with Triple-A Jacksonville on Wednesday, striking out three batters while scattering three hits and two walks.

ANALYSIS
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Rehab start on tap

PMiami Marlins

Forearm

September 4, 2024

Garrett (forearm) is scheduled to make a rehab start with Single-A Jupiter on Thursday, Kevin Barral of FishonFirst.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Throws live BP

PMiami Marlins

Forearm

September 3, 2024

Garrett (forearm) threw a two innings of live batting practice Saturday, MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Throws 25 pitches in bullpen

PMiami Marlins

Forearm

August 23, 2024

Garrett (forearm) threw a 25-pitch bullpen session Friday and is scheduled to complete another Tuesday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Likely trade chip

PMiami Marlins

June 2, 2024

According to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, the Marlins have received trade interest from multiple teams for their starting pitchers, including Garrett.

ANALYSIS
Garrett missed the first six weeks of the campaign due to a shoulder injury and surrendered 11 runs in his first two starts, but he's given up just one run in his past two outings, one of which was a complete game shutout. The left-hander threw a career-high 159.2 innings last season and had a 3.66 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 156:29 K:BB. Garrett will enter his first year of arbitration eligibility in 2025, so the Marlins should net a sizable return in any potential trade.

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