Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#369
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2024.
No-decision in final outing
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 29, 2024
Falter did not factor into the decision in Sunday's loss to the Yankees, allowing four earned runs on four hits and three walks in three innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
Falter's first two pitches of the contest were both laced for extra-base hits -- a double by Gleyber Torres and a two-run shot by Trent Grisham. Falter never fully recovered, allowing two more runs in the third inning before being pulled after 62 pitches. The 27-year-old started a career-high 28 games for the Pirates in 2024, finishing with a respectable 4.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 97:45 K:BB in 142.1 innings. Although the southpaw showed improvement from previous seasons, his paltry 6.3 K/9 (eighth percentile) made him a low-upside fantasy option.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
76
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .286 269 49 11 73 18 0 12
Since 2022vs Right .264 1016 182 71 244 50 4 38
2024vs Left .277 126 19 6 33 9 0 3
2024vs Right .255 463 78 39 105 25 1 14
2023vs Left .364 69 12 3 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .269 278 48 17 70 12 1 11
2022vs Left .229 74 18 2 16 4 0 3
2022vs Right .273 275 56 15 69 13 2 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-56%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.59 1.25 153.0 10 10 0 7.4 2.1 1.5
Since 2022Away 4.44 1.34 154.0 6 12 0 6.2 2.7 1.4
2024Home 3.98 1.25 74.2 5 4 0 6.5 2.7 1.2
2024Away 4.92 1.33 67.2 3 5 0 5.7 3.1 0.9
2023Home 4.85 1.18 39.0 2 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2023Away 5.83 1.63 41.2 0 6 0 5.6 2.8 2.2
2022Home 5.49 1.35 39.1 3 3 0 8.5 1.6 2.1
2022Away 2.42 1.10 44.2 3 1 0 7.5 2.0 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.16
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
4.43
 
WHIP
1.29
 
BABIP
.284
 
GB/FB
0.95
 
Left On Base
69.7%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.3%
 
Spin Rate
1985 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.4%
 
Swinging Strike
9.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
Falls to Brewers
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2024
Falter (8-9) took the loss Tuesday against Milwaukee, allowing four runs on five hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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One out shy of quality start
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 17, 2024
Falter (8-8) allowed two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out three over 5.2 innings, taking the loss Tuesday versus the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Marlins for eighth win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 11, 2024
Falter (8-7) earned the win Wednesday over Miami, allowing two hits and three walks over 7.1 scoreless innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Settles down for seventh win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 5, 2024
Falter (7-7) earned the win Thursday, allowing three runs on seven hits and two walks over five innings against the Nationals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 30, 2024
Falter did not factor into the decision in Friday's 10-8 loss to Cleveland, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk over four innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
June 28, 2022
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
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