Alexander Canario

Alexander Canario

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Canario has seen a little time with the Cubs the last two seasons, but he's still waiting for the opportunity to seize a regular role. He appeared in 15 games last year after playing in six games in 2023, and he's posted a strong .857 OPS across 42 MLB at-bats. The 24-year-old has displayed some good offensive ability in the minors as well, including last year, when he sported an .850 OPS and popped 18 home runs across 64 games for Triple-A Omaha. The problem for Canario right now is finding his place with Chicago. He primarily plays the corner outfield spots, but that's where the Cubs have Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ. Youngster Pete Crow-Armstrong is also seemingly locked into center for the foreseeable future, and Cody Bellinger will be back in 2025 as well to play the outfield and serve as a DH. Until Canario can supplant any of those players, his best-case scenario is serving as a reserve outfielder at the MLB level, which isn't particularly appealing to fantasy managers. However, there is some upside here in case Canario is able to secure more playing time at any point. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mets in March of 2025. Traded to the Pirates in March of 2025.
Smacks first homer
OFPittsburgh Pirates
April 13, 2025
Canario went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, two walks and a second run scored in Saturday's 5-2 loss to the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Canario was responsible for Pittsburgh's lone run off Andrew Abbott -- he led off the fifth inning with a 402-blast off the left-hander to centerfield, cutting the Pirates' deficit to 4-1. The home run was just Canario's second hit in seven games this year. The 24-year-old outfielder has displayed impressive power in the minor leagues -- he hit 37 home runs across three levels in 2022 -- though Canario's yet to get an extended run in the majors. He should get that opportunity with the Pirates.
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2020
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3/303/314/14/24/44/54/64/74/84/94/114/12987654321
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
Even Split
2025
 
 
+209%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+64%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .778 25 4 1 2 0 .292 .320 .458
Since 2023vs Right .778 39 5 2 7 1 .206 .308 .471
2025vs Left .773 11 2 1 1 0 .200 .273 .500
2025vs Right .250 8 2 0 0 0 .000 .250 .000
2024vs Left .875 8 2 0 1 0 .375 .375 .500
2024vs Right .762 20 2 1 1 1 .235 .350 .412
2023vs Left .667 6 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333
2023vs Right 1.091 11 1 1 6 0 .273 .273 .818
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+105%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+55%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .583 43 6 2 6 1 .175 .233 .350
Since 2023Away 1.198 21 3 1 3 0 .389 .476 .722
2025Home .205 15 2 0 0 0 .071 .133 .071
2025Away 2.750 4 2 1 1 0 .500 .750 2.000
2024Home .689 20 3 1 1 1 .222 .300 .389
2024Away 1.071 8 1 0 1 0 .429 .500 .571
2023Home 1.000 8 1 1 5 0 .250 .250 .750
2023Away .889 9 0 0 1 0 .333 .333 .556
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alexander Canario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.75
 
BB Rate
15.8%
 
K Rate
21.1%
 
BABIP
.091
 
ISO
.188
 
AVG
.125
 
OBP
.263
 
SLG
.313
 
OPS
.576
 
wOBA
.266
 
Exit Velocity
92.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
50.0%
 
Barrels/PA
10.5%
 
Expected BA
.160
 
Expected SLG
.438
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
33.3%
 
Line Drive %
0.0%
 
Fly Ball %
66.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
A hard-hitting righty slugger with some notable flaws, Canario has one minor-league option year remaining, which will likely assure he begins the year at Triple-A. He'll enter the year eligible at UT-only in most formats, but he's a solid right fielder who could gain outfield eligibility during the season or heading into 2025. Shoulder and ankle injuries limited him to 42 games at Triple-A and the majors in 2023. His .276/.342/.524 slash line at Triple-A was above league average (111 wRC+), but his 28 percent strikeout rate was a little higher than we'd like to see from a 23-year-old bat-first player at Triple-A. He's already with his second organization (traded from San Francisco along with Caleb Kilian at the 2021 trade deadline for Kris Bryant), and he would probably benefit from another trade, as he won't be displacing Seiya Suzuki or Ian Happ. There are some similarities to Nelson Velazquez - a righty slugger who was mostly limited to short-side platoon work with the Cubs but emerged as an everyday option late last season with the rebuilding Royals.
In 2021, Canario looked like a slugger with a very low probability of hitting enough to make it as a big-league regular. His 2022 was strong enough that he protected his place on the 40-man roster, but there are still significant questions about the hit tool. Unfortunately, he suffered a broken ankle and dislocated shoulder this offseason in the Dominican Winter League. The power-hitting corner outfielder will miss the start of the season, and he would likely benefit from a rehab assignment before getting back into action at Triple-A. Canario hit .252 with a 27.5 K% on the year, but his 0.62 BB/K in 20 games at Triple-A was his best mark since he was in the Dominican Summer League in 2017. Canario has 70-grade power and will hope to make enough contact to have a Franmil Reyes type of career arc.
Canario could be a Jorge Soler type of producer in real life and in fantasy, hitting plenty of home runs with too many strikeouts while shifting between right field and designated hitter. However, he is still several years away from potentially realizing that best-case scenario. He did a ton of damage at the plate in 2019, but he struck out too much and didn't walk enough. This past summer at the alternate training site, Canario worked on making better swing decisions in an effort to improve his hit tool. He moves well for his size, but will likely slow down to the point that he is not much of a threat on the bases by the time he reaches the majors. The right-handed slugger dealt with recurring left shoulder injuries in 2019 and 2020, culminating in surgery to repair a torn labrum and dislocation that will sideline him through spring training this year. He should open his age-21 season at High-A.
When evaluating Canario's 2019 season, we should largely overlook his 10-game obliteration of the AZL. A 19-year-old hitter repeating that level is a knock in and of itself. Once he got to the Northwest League, he still posted gaudy numbers, but some flaws started to show. Canario gets to his 70-grade raw power with ease. His groundball rate was below 28% at both stops -- only Mike Trout (24.3 GB%) did that last year among qualified MLB hitters. His grooved swing and poor ball/strike recognition led to a 33.6 K% (including NWL playoffs). Strikeouts are his clear weakness, and if he doesn't make necessary adjustments, he will get exposed as he climbs the ladder (think Seuly Matias). Of course, if he improves his command of the zone, he would easily profile as a cleanup-hitting right fielder. An average runner, Canario still saw time in center field last year, but figures to outgrow that position.
Those anxiously trying to add a prospect who dominated in the Dominican Summer League this past season should look at Canario's 2018 as a dose of reality. He logged a 147 wRC+ as a 17-year-old in the DSL in 2017, showcasing a combination of power and speed that was difficult to ignore. However, the DSL is a very unique league. Players who excel there are not guaranteed to have similar success in stateside rookie leagues. Take Canario, whose K% jumped from 14.6% to 24.5% after the jump to the AZL. The quality of his contact also suffered, as he struggled to take what pitchers were giving him (often selling out for power), and saw fewer mistakes to crush. He struck out 14 times in his first eight AZL games, but hit .277/.380/.468 with six home runs and six steals in his final 167 PA. Canario still has a chance to develop into a five-category force (above-average power and speed), but needs to work on using the whole field while letting his power come naturally.
More Fantasy News
Joins roster
OFPittsburgh Pirates
April 3, 2025
The Pirates added Canario to their 26-man roster Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Traded to Pittsburgh
OFPittsburgh Pirates
March 31, 2025
The Pirates acquired Canario from the Mets on Monday in exchange for cash considerations, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dropped from 40-man
OFNew York Mets
March 27, 2025
The Mets designated Canario for assignment Thursday, Abbey Mastracco of the New York Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealt to New York
OFNew York Mets
February 24, 2025
The Mets acquired Canario from the Cubs on Monday in exchange for cash considerations, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Removed from 40-man roster
OFChicago Cubs
February 20, 2025
The Cubs designated Canario for assignment Thursday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Bound for waivers
OFNew York Mets
March 25, 2025
The Mets are expected to place Canario, who is out of minor-league options, on waivers ahead of Opening Day, reports Mike Puma of the New York Post.
ANALYSIS
Canario was acquired from the Cubs after being designated for assignment in late February, and he crushed the ball in 17 spring games with three homers and a 1.030 OPS, though he also had a 34.9 percent strikeout rate. The 24-year-old's only real path to a roster spot was for New York to make a trade or have an outfielder suffer an injury during camp, but Brandon Nimmo, Juan Soto, Tyrone Taylor, Jose Siri and Jesse Winker are all still with the club and healthy. It wouldn't be surprising for another club to take a chance on Canario given his power potential, and any realistic landing spot would likely provide an improved path to playing time.
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